Measuring a Nation’s Income

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Measuring a Nation’s Income 10 Measuring a Nation’s Income

Microeconomics vs. Macroeconomics Study of how households and firms Make decisions Interact in markets Macroeconomics Study of economy-wide phenomena Including inflation, unemployment, and economic growth

The Economy’s Income and Expenditure Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Measures the total income of everyone in the economy Measures the total expenditure on the economy’s output of goods and services For an economy as a whole Income must equal expenditure Circular-flow diagram – assumptions: All goods and services – bought by households Households - -spend all of their income

The circular-flow diagram 1 The circular-flow diagram Households buy goods and services from firms, and firms use their revenue from sales to pay wages to workers, rent to landowners, and profit to firm owners. GDP equals the total amount spent by households in the market for goods and services. It also equals the total wages, rent, and profit paid by firms in the markets for the factors of production.

Measurement of Gross Domestic Product Gross domestic product (GDP) Market value of all final goods and services Produced within a country In a given period of time “GDP is the market value…” Market prices - reflect the value of the goods

Measurement of Gross Domestic Product “… of all…” All items produced in the economy And sold legally in markets Excludes most items Produced and sold illicitly Produced and consumed at home “… final…” Value of intermediate goods is already included in the prices of the final goods

Measurement of Gross Domestic Product “… goods and services…” Tangible goods & intangible services “… produced…” Goods and services currently produced “… within a country…” Goods and services produced domestically, regardless of the nationality of the producer “… in a given period of time” A year or a quarter

The Components of GDP Y = C + I + G + NX Identity Y = GDP C = consumption I = investment G = government purchases NX = net exports

The Components of GDP Consumption Investment Spending by households On goods and services Exception: purchases of new housing Investment Spending on capital equipment, inventories, and structures Including household purchases of new housing Inventory accumulation

The Components of GDP Government purchases Government consumption expenditure and gross investment Spending on goods and services By local, state, and federal governments Does not include transfer payments

The Components of GDP Net exports = Exports - Imports Exports Imports Spending on domestically produced goods by foreigners Imports Spending on foreign goods by domestic residents

The components of U.S. GDP 2007, GDP of the United States = $14 trillion GDP per person = $45,838 Consumption = $32,225 per person Investment = $7,061 per person Government purchases = $8,912 per person Net exports = –$2,360 per person

(in billions of dollars) 1 GDP and its components Total (in billions of dollars) Per person (in dollars) Percent of total Gross domestic product, Y Consumption, C Investment, I Government purchases, G Net exports, NX $13,843 9,732 2,132 2,691 –712 $45,838 32,225 7,061 8,912 –2,360 100% 70 15 19 -5 This table shows total GDP for the U.S. economy in 2007 and the breakdown of GDP among its four components. When reading this table, recall the identity Y = C + I + G + NX.

Real Versus Nominal GDP Total spending rises from one year to the next Economy - producing a larger output of goods and services And/or goods and services are being sold at higher prices Nominal GDP Production of goods and services Valued at current prices

Real Versus Nominal GDP Real GDP Production of goods and services Valued at constant prices Designate one year as base year Not affected by changes in prices For the base year Nominal GDP = Real GDP

2 Real and Nominal GDP Prices and Quantities Year Price of hot dogs Quantity of hamburgers 2008 2009 2010 $1 $2 $3 100 150 200 $4 50 Calculating Nominal GDP ($1 per hot dog × 100 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger × 50 hamburgers) = $200 ($2 per hot dog × 150 hot dogs) + ($3 per hamburger × 100 hamburgers) = $600 ($3 per hot dog × 200 hot dogs) + ($4 per hamburger × 150 hamburgers) = $1,200 Calculating Real GDP (base year 2008) ($1 per hot dog × 150 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger × 100 hamburgers) = $350 ($1 per hot dog × 200 hot dogs) + ($2 per hamburger × 150 hamburgers) = $500 Calculating the GDP Deflator ($200 / $200) × 100 = 100 ($600 / $350) × 100 = 171 ($1,200 / $500) × 100 = 240 This table shows how to calculate real GDP, nominal GDP, and the GDP deflator for a hypothetical economy that produces only hot dogs and hamburgers.

Real Versus Nominal GDP The GDP deflator Measure of the price level Ratio of nominal GDP to real GDP times 100 =100 for the base year Measures the current level of prices relative to the level of prices in the base year Inflation Economy’s overall price level is rising

Real Versus Nominal GDP Inflation rate Percentage change in some measure of the price level from one period to the next The GDP deflator Can be used to take inflation out of nominal GDP (“deflate” nominal GDP)

Real GDP over recent history The GDP data Real GDP grows over time Growth is not steady Recession Real GDP declines Lower income Rising unemployment Falling profits Increased bankruptcies

Real GDP in the United States 2 Real GDP in the United States This figure shows quarterly data on real GDP for the U.S. economy since 1965. Recessions—periods of falling real GDP—are marked with the shaded vertical bars.

GDP - Good Measure of Economic Well-being? GDP – “single measure of the economic well-being of a society” Economy’s total income Economy’s total expenditure Larger GDP Good life Better healthcare Better educational systems Measure - ability to obtain many of the inputs into a worthwhile life

GDP - Good Measure of Economic Well-being? GDP – not a perfect measure of well-being Doesn’t include Leisure Value of almost all activity that takes place outside markets Quality of the environment No distribution of income

International differences in GDP and the quality of life Rich countries - Higher GDP per person Better Life expectancy Literacy Internet usage Poor countries - Lower GDP per person Worse

International differences in GDP and the quality of life Low GDP per person More infants with low birth weight Higher rates of infant mortality Higher rates of maternal mortality Higher rates of child malnutrition Less common access to safe drinking water Fewer school-age children are actually in school Fewer teachers per student Fewer televisions; Fewer telephones Fewer paved roads Fewer households with electricity

GDP and the quality of life 3 GDP and the quality of life Country Real GDP per person (2005) Life expectancy Adult literacy (% of population) Internet usage United States Japan Germany Russia Mexico Brazil China Indonesia India Pakistan Bangladesh Nigeria $41,890 31,267 29,461 10,845 10,751 8,402 6,757 3,843 3,452 2,370 2,053 1,128 78 years 82 79 65 76 72 70 64 63 47 99% 99 92 89 91 90 61 50 69 63 % 67 45 15 18 19 9 7 3 0.3 4 The table shows GDP per person and three other measures of the quality of life for twelve major countries.