Exp.Curve 2012. Planed tasks Prediction of behavior for each task! We should determine the time constant τ Rising exponential Falling exponential.

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Presentation transcript:

Exp.Curve Planed tasks Prediction of behavior for each task! We should determine the time constant τ Rising exponential Falling exponential

Exp.Curve Math and portals We assume exp. Curve scenario

Exp.Curve STOP WORK HERE 37% OF WORK LEFT (TO BE DONE)

Exp.Curve When to stop work! We stop work when curve starts to go in saturation!

Exp.Curve Large number of portal with different Locations......end up with different results

Exp.Curve Portals behave similar We select best portals !!!

Exp.Curve There are differences Depends if portal is already live? If work will be continued after planed period etc....

Exp.Curve The Normal Probability Distribution Graph of the Normal Probability Density Function  x f ( x )

Exp.Curve What we will have?

Exp.Curve 10% of portals will be extraordinary!!!

Exp.Curve Normal Curve 68% 95% 99.7% Approximate percentage of area within given standard deviations (empirical rule).