Committee on Earth Observing Satellites Land Product Validation subgroup LBA Fire and Deforestation Accuracy Assessment 26 July 2004 Jeff Morisette

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Committee on Earth Observing Satellites Land Product Validation subgroup LBA Fire and Deforestation Accuracy Assessment 26 July 2004 Jeff Morisette (301)

CEOS/WGCV/LPV Organizational Structure CEOS Committee on Earth Observing Satellites WGCV Working Group on Cal/Val LPV Land Product Validation Subgroup (current chair = Jeff Morisette)

GOAL: ensure that critical scientific questions relating to Earth observation and global change are covered and that satellite missions do not unnecessarily overlap each other. PRIMARY OBJECTIVES: Committee on Earth Observing Satellites 1: to optimize benefits of spaceborne Earth observations through cooperation of its participants in mission planning and in development of compatible data products, formats, services, applications, and policies 2: to serve as a focal point for international coordination of space- related Earth observation activities; and 3: to exchange policy and technical information to encourage complementarity and compatibility of observation and data exchange systems.

CEOS comprising 41 space agencies and other national and international organizations created in 1984 recognized as the major international forum for the coordination of Earth observation satellite programs and for interaction of these programs with users of satellite data worldwide Individual participating agencies make their best efforts to implement CEOS recommendations …“recommendations” often come from the CEOS Working Groups.

Working Group on Information Systems & Services (WGISS) Working Group on Calibration and Validation (WGCV) Education and Training (WG-Edu) Strategic Implementation Team (SIT) Ad Hoc Team on Utilization Ad Hoc Working Group on Earth Observation Ad Hoc Group on Earth Observations (GEO) CEOS Organization

Working Group on Cal/Val GOAL: ensure long-term confidence in the accuracy and quality of Earth observation data and products. SPECIFIC TASKS: 1.sensor-specific calibration and validation 2.geophysical parameter and derived product validation. -a forum for calibration and validation information exchange, coordination, and cooperative activities -promotes the international exchange of technical information and documentation, joint experiments, and the sharing of facilities, expertise, and resources. WGCV also seeks to be the recognized first point of contact for the international user-community as far as calibration and validation is concerned. With the advent of the Integrated Global Observing Strategy (IGOS), the WGCV has devoted increased attention to the validation of higher-level products.

WGCV Organization Atmospheric Chemistry Subgroup Infrared and Visible Optical Sensors (IVOS) Subgroup Land Product Validation (LPV) Subgroup Microwave Sensors (MS) Subgroup Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) Subgroup Terrain Mapping (TM) Subgroup - The goals and activities of WGCV are summarized in its Three-Year Work Plan. Current chair: Steve Ungar, NASA GSFC

Land Product Validation subgroup Initial focus (matching GOFC/GOLD implementation teams): oLand cover/land cover change oBiophysical parameters (starting with LAI) oFire and burn scar Established in 2000 A topic-specific (non-wavelength-specific) subgroup

Big Picture LPV provides a validation service to the Integrated Global Observation Strategy (IGOS) –Global Terrestrial Observation System Terrestrial Observation Panel for Climate (TOPC) Global Observation of Forest Cover/Land Dynamics –Global Carbon Observing System Implications: –Focus Products: Biophysical, Land Cover, Fire Disturbance, & Albedo –Working in conjunction with GOFC/GOLD’s regional networks –Opportunity/Need to integrate with TEMS, GT-Net, & UN’s GLC-net

Validation: the process of assessing by independent means the quality of the data products derived from the system outputs (LPV will operates under this definition, but also with the understanding that validation activities should consider user accuracy needs and feedback to algorithm improvements.) CEOS WGCV Definition

Mission Statement & Goals to foster quantitative validation of higher level global land products derived from remote sensing data and relay results so they are relevant to users to increase the quality and economy of global satellite product validation via developing and promoting international standards and protocols for field sampling, scaling, error budgeting, data exchange for global land product validation to advocate mission-long validation and intercomparison programs for current and future earth observing satellites

Quick links to: Listserves Announments WGCV CEOS and CEOS calendar web curator: Jaime Nickeson Pull-down menu for main topical areas: Land cover Biophysical Fire/Burn Surface Radiation Each pull-down lists: Background Producers * Meetings Case studies Inter-comparisons * producers page will link to accuracy statements for each product, where MODLAND accuracy statements are serving as an example to the international community

Five listservs established General information regarding LPV activity, both scientific and administrative surface RADiation products, including surface reflectance/atmospheric correction, land surface temperature, albedo and BRDF BIOphysical parameters, including vegetation indices, leaf area index, FPAR, and vegetation productivity Land Cover and land cover change products FIRE, burn scar, and fire emissions products (related to action WGCV 20-11)

LPV “Special Issue” Special Issue: describing the state of the art research on both protocol and results for validation and accuracy assessment of global land products (Liang, Baret and Morisette, eds.) Three sections: –Surface Radiation variables –Ecosystem variables –Land cover characteristics (including land cover change, fire, and burnt area) Solicit a summary from User/GCM community to write a note for each section on the implication for the uncertainty/validation of the products

“Intercomparison” General Timeline LAI Albedo Fire related Land cover Topical meeting to establish data requirements Decide on Sites Develop data sharing infrastructure Field Campaigns & individual product analysis Synthesis of results Boston U, 1998 Frascati, Italy 2001 Montana August 2004 Boston U, 2002 Avignon 2005 Lisbon, 2001 Darmstadt 2004 Toulouse, 2001 UMd, fall 2004 Boston U, Feb ‘02 (special issue)

LPV/GOFC/GOLD Sites “As part of the network, special consideration will be given to the site for provision of high-resolution satellite data and subsets from global products “It is expected that high-resolution products derived by the site contact, their institutions or collaborators, will be available to other researchers working within this network within a reasonable time of their production (within ~6 months) and appropriate documentation on how the fire product(s) was(were) produced. “While there is no formal method to enforce this agreement, sites failing to cooperate within the network will lose any special data provisions as secured through this network.” From the “site registration form”

Accuracy/Confidence Layers MODIS Land cover product (MOD12Q1) MODIS land coverAssociated Confidence layer (lighter = more confidence) Note lower confidence in deforestation areas

Accuracy/Confidence Layers Larger circles are MODIS fires Red = high confidence Blue = lower confidence ASTER fire counts Adjacency index

“Typical” Validation “Reference data” (such as a field observation) Satellite product value Regression analysis or Error Matrix

Validation to assess confidence layer Confidence Layer values Agreement between product and observed

Foster’s Kreb’s rule “every datum should come with an explicit estimate of its uncertainty.”* LPV is working to apply this rule to satellite derived global land products. * Krebs's Ecological Methodology (1989)

MODIS Validation Next steps… From MODIS science team meeting 13 July 2004… Continue pilot activities on utilizing networks for validation across global range of conditions – based on published protocols Integrate “accuracy statements” on MODIS Land team validation page and into CEOS/WMO data base Feedback from critical user to establish accuracy requirements in light of uncertainty estimates (Montana meeting) Develop strategy for stage three validation of “critical products/Climate Data Records