Qi Li, UCD Geary Institute Kasper Richter, World Bank Patrick Paul Walsh, UCD Geary Institute Fertility, Ageing and Socio-Economic Conditions in Thailand.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
MACROECONOMICS What is the purpose of macroeconomics? to explain how the economy as a whole works to understand why macro variables behave in the way they.
Advertisements

1 Public Economics South African research topics Andrew Donaldson National Treasury August 2009.
RURAL YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT AND COPING STRATEGIES IN THE NEAR EAST AND NORTH AFRICA (NENA) REGION by Samir Radwan IFAD Governing Council Roundtable on Promoting.
Human Capital: Education and Health in Economic Development
Apirak Kosayodhin Advisor to Prime Minister of Thailand Reinvent Thailand ASIA : Road to New Economy.
Regional Disparity in Thailand by Assist. Prof. Duangmanee Laovakul Faculty of Economics Thammasat University Siam City Hotel September 09, 09.
The Future of India in the World Economy Comments by Johannes Jütting OECD Development Centre Paris, 22 June, 2007.
World Bank Development Project Proposal: Brazil By Jeffery Wong.
Measuring GDP and Economic Growth Chapter 1 Instructor: MELTEM INCE
Chapter 7 Urbanization and Migration Economic Development of Asia.
Chinese Economy: Current Issues and Future Scenarios FAN Gang National Economic Research Institute China Reform Foundation November, 2004.
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 8 Human Capital: Education and Health in Economic Development.
Human Capital: Education and Health in Economic Development
Copyright © 2004 South-Western 6 Supply, Demand, and Government Policies.
Chapter 10: Agricultural and Rural Development. Contribution of Agriculture Produce – food to meet basic nutritional needs – raw materials to help the.
C h a p t e r f o u r © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Economics R. Glenn Hubbard, Anthony Patrick O’Brien—1 st ed. Prepared by: Fernando & Yvonn.
Pension Systems in Asia-Pacific: Main Issues and Diagnosis Presentation by Michiel Van der Auwera 16 October 2007.
The Danish labour market situation Helsinki, May
Review of Concepts and Approaches in Labour Market Analysis Pundy Pillay.
YOUTH EMPLOYMENT IN THE MENA REGION GLOBAL YOUTH CONFERENCE 2012 Caroline Freund, Chief Economist MENA.
Human Capital and Inclusive Growth Jesús Crespo Cuaresma Department of Economics University of Innsbruck
Supply Side policies AS Economics.
Demographic Transition in Thailand Population as enumerated by the censuses. YearPopulation Million Million Million Million.
Missing links between gender, economy and statistics Ewa Ruminska-Zimny, UNECE Conference of European Statisticians Group of Experts on Gender Statistics.
Sunday, August 30, 2015 Women’s Status and the Changing Nature of Rural Livelihoods in Asia Agnes Quisumbing International Food Policy Research Institute.
Evaluation of RURAL MIGRANT SKILLS DEVELOPMENT AND EMPLOYMENT PROJECT CzechDET2009 Group 3.
1 ALLEVIATING THE REGULATORY BURDEN: THAILAND CASE STUDY at Regional Conference on Investment Climate and Competitiveness in East Asia- from Diagnostics.
Thailand Investment Climate Assessment Update Xubei Luo The World Bank Bangkok August 21st, 2008.
Chapter 2 Labor Supply.
STRUCTURAL CHANGE / DUAL SECTOR MODEL (LEWIS) Done by: Tip.
Chapter 11 Economic Challenges
Population Trends and Development John Bongaarts Population Council.
Fiji Economy & Tourism Sector Outlook. PRESENTATION OUTLINE  Domestic Economy Outlook  GDP  Trading Partners  Exchange Rate  Inflation  Current.
Goethe Business School Global Economic Environment Paul Bernd Spahn.
Module 12: Advanced Session on using the RAP ILO, 2013.
Copyright 2010, The World Bank Group. All Rights Reserved. Part 1 Labor Market Information Produced in Collaboration between World Bank Institute and the.
The economic Impact of HIV/AIDS in Uganda A Workshop on Economic Epidemiology, Makerere University 3 rd -5 th August 2009 Fred Matovu, Ph.D.
Mahbubul Islam Khan.  Economy has been growing at a rate of around 6% per annum  Economy underwent remarkable structural transformation  Agriculture’s.
Project Funding For Infrastructure Development in Bangkok Kanit Sangsubhan, Ph.D. Fiscal Policy Research Institute Sustainable Growth, Regional Balance,
Social Security: Where Are We? Where Are We Going? Melanie Griffin.
Macroeconomics Unemployment Economics. Warm-Up Using diagrams, explain the difference between cost-push and demand-pull inflation.
Current Labor Conditions in the Hemisphere: Present Challenges XIII Inter-American Conference of Ministers of Labor Salvador de Bahía, Sept Jürgen.
1 Investment Climate Constraints and Thailand Competitiveness Albert G. Zeufack, PhD. The World Bank Seminar on Sustainable Growth, Regional Balance and.
The classic core-periphery model: Myrdal & Friedmann Center Periphery Scarce Labor Abundant Capital Abundant Labor Scarce Capital Supply of materials and.
1 Thailand: Investment Climate, Firm Competitiveness, and Growth World Bank’s Presentation of Preliminary Findings Workshop Intercontinental Hotel, Bangkok,
1 Outline of social budget Nov 2010 Bangkok Hiroshi Yamabana International Financial and Actuarial Service (ILO FACTS) Social Security Department ILO
Determinants of women’s labor force participation and economic empowerment in Albania Juna Miluka University of New York Tirana September, 14, 2015.
1 Inter-American Development Bank IDB Labor Training Programs and their Evaluation POVERTY AND SOCIAL PROTECTION NETWORK 9 TH HEMISPHERIC MEETING Pablo.
Employment  Activity or Participation Rate is the percentage of any given group in the population either in work or unemployed.  Net Migration is immigration.
TRENDS AND CHALLENGES IN SOCIAL SECURITY: LESSONS FROM LATIN AMERICA Andras Uthoff Independent consultant. Ex Officer in Charge Social Development Division.
Demographic change and migration: challenges & solutions. Lithuanian case By Rimantas Šadžius Minister of Finance Republic of Lithuania.
Growth and Migration in Japan MARIAM AL-THANI AYA EL WARDANY.
1. Low living standards 2. Low levels of labour productivity 3. High rate of population growth 4. Economic structure dominated by primary sector production.
BANGLADESH: More and Better Jobs to Accelerate
Platform Development and Communication
3 The Demand for Labor.
Chapter 26.
How to increase job creation in Uganda
Tore W. Kiøsterud Conference on Urbanization and Affordable Housing
CEDEFOP Session 2: Closer look at the roadmap Potential impacts of Brexit and other macroeconomic issues Production of Skills Supply and Demand Forecasts.
Development Priorities in The Kyrgyz Republic・JICA’s Assistance Program Basic Policy Economic development and poverty eradication by strengthening export.
Public participation in tax policy and administration
2 Overview of the Labor Market.
Housing Development Program (HDP) in Ethiopia
Building the assessment matrix
Effective Partnerships: What’s Involved, Who’s Involved?
Industrial Revolution
Thailand’s Investment Climate: Looking Forward
9-6: World War II: The U.S. Home Front
Coverage and Changes in Spending Compared to Current Law, 2020
Presentation transcript:

Qi Li, UCD Geary Institute Kasper Richter, World Bank Patrick Paul Walsh, UCD Geary Institute Fertility, Ageing and Socio-Economic Conditions in Thailand

How do Thai Firms Perceive the Investment Climate? Thai firms identify several categories of concerns: Dissatisfaction with overall economic situation (macroeconomic instability, economic policy uncertainty, insufficient demand for products, competition from imports) Inadequate supply of skills (skills and education of available workers, skilled labor shortage) Concerns with regulations and bureaucratic burden (tax administration and tax rates, bureaucratic burden, labor regulations, import regulations) Infrastructure and support services (electricity, utility prices, lack of business support services, lack of finance, inadequate supply of infrastructure)

Age Structure by Urban and Rural in Year 1991, 1995 and 2000 Rural Urban

Ageing Index by Area

Fertility by Season and Urban and Rural during 1991 – 2000

One year Inward Migration by Region and Age Cohort during 1991 – 2000 Age 10 –20 Age 20 – Age 50 – * 1: Urban Areas; 2: Rural Areas

Under Three Years Inward Migration by Region and Age Cohort during 1991 – 2000 Age 10 –20 Age 20 – Age 50 – * 1: Urban Areas; 2: Rural Areas

Waged and Unwaged Income Level in Thailand during 1991 – 2000

Waged and Unwaged Income Level By Urban and Rural during 1991 – 2000 Waged Unwaged

Waged and Unwaged Employment Share By Urban and Rural during 1991 – 2000 By Year

Waged and Unwaged Income Level By Urban and Rural during 1991 – 2000 * The initial levels are normalized to unit.

Childbearing Women Participation Rate By Urban and Rural Areas

Waged and Unwaged Employment Share of Childbearing Women By Urban and Rural during 1991 – 2000

Economic Effects on Age Structure Change through Fertility Rate Fertility Urban Rural Short Immigration 3.130* Rural > Urban Long Immigration * Rural > Urban Short Immigration * Urban > Rural Long Immigration 1.777* Urban > Rural Waged income Young/Old12.841*2.728* Unwaged income Young/Old-5.582*0.321 Waged Income (Childbearing)-1.384*-0.621* Unwaged Income (Childbearing)1.249* Pension-1.561*1.296* Childbearing Women *-0.148* Employment Structure Waged/Unwaged Public Sector-3.025*0.241 Farm * Bangkok * North *0.226 Northeast * South *

Economic Effects on Age Structure through Mortality Rate (Urban) The corresponding economic variables at cohort level have been controlled, such as Waged income, Unwaged income, Pension and Education at cohort level. And we also control some cohort structure variables, such as gender structure of cohorts.

Economic Effects on Age Structure through Mortality Rate (Rural) The corresponding economic variables at cohort level have been controlled, such as Waged income, Unwaged income, Pension and Education at cohort level. And we also control some cohort structure variables, such as gender structure of cohorts.

(Sen) Economic and Human Development

Economic Effects on Age Structure Change through Inward Migration Rate Age Cohort Relative Waged Income *0.546*0.585*0.544* * Relative Unwaged Income 0.051* *0.080* Relative Pension *-0.086*0.294*0.054*-0.346* Participation Rate 1.667*-0.428* *-1.999* Education 0.064* *-0.111* Overtime *-0.091*-0.154*-0.300*0.142* Public *1.021*-1.432*0.825* Private 0.480*-0.353* *0.887* business-0.092*0.111* *-0.487*0.209 farm-0.043*0.039* * * Bangkok 0.361*-0.294*-0.581*-0.643*-0.837*0.625* North * * Northeast * *-0.327*-0.961* South * * Urban * *1.609*