City and County of San Francisco’s Draft Guidance for Incorporating Sea Level Rise into Capital Planning in San Francisco: Assessing Vulnerability, Risk,

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Presentation transcript:

City and County of San Francisco’s Draft Guidance for Incorporating Sea Level Rise into Capital Planning in San Francisco: Assessing Vulnerability, Risk, and Adaptation Current Port of San Francisco Sea Level Rise (SLR) Effects Why do we care and what are we doing about it? Sea Level Rise Estimates for San Francisco Review of Draft Guidance for Incorporating Sea Level Rise into CCSF Capital Planning: Assessing Vulnerability, Risk & Adaptation

King Tides, Storm Surges and Wind Waves are already overtopping the Embarcadero and the frequency and severity of these events will increase. Current Sea Level Rise Effects at the Port

Why do we care? Preservation of port’s real estate portfolio is crucial to the survival of the port Critical infrastructure (BART, MUNI, SFPUC, DPW) is located within our Jurisdiction and may be vulnerable Who is paying attention? Mayor Lee assigned a SF Adapt sea level rise committee consisting of representatives from 7 city departments to develop a strategy What are we doing about it? Collaborating to develop a “how to” guide to incorporate sea level rise into capital planning and project design Why the guidelines? Interdepartmental collaboration is essential for prioritizing risk and developing adaptation measures. Use of consistent science, assumptions, and methods across departments will facilitate project funding and implementation For whom? Initially for the CPC, but may ultimately have broader application How? Research on example guidelines, best available science, methods for evaluating risk and planning for adaptation, evaluating existing city projects Why do we care and what are we doing about it?

NRC Report YearProjections (Likely) Extreme Limits of Ranges (Unlikely but Possible) ± 2 inFrom 2 to 12 in ± 4 inFrom 5 to 24 in ± 10 inFrom 17 to 66 in Source: National Research Council (2012) Sea Level Rise Estimates for San Francisco Relative to Year 2000 At this time, the use of NRC projections and ranges is appropriate for capital planning purposes because they encompass the best available science, have been derived considering local and regional processes and conditions, and their use is consistent with current state guidance.

Guidance for Incorporating Sea Level Rise into CCSF Capital Planning: Assessing Vulnerability, Risk & Adaptation