Burning Plasma Bringing a Star to Earth Final Report of the Burning Plasma Assessment Committee John F. Ahearne Sigma Xi, Duke University Raymond Fonck.

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Presentation transcript:

Burning Plasma Bringing a Star to Earth Final Report of the Burning Plasma Assessment Committee John F. Ahearne Sigma Xi, Duke University Raymond Fonck University of Wisconsin

2 The take-home message A burning plasma experiment is critically needed to advance fusion science –Join ITER –If ITER doesn’t go forward, reassess to move ahead An effective burning plasma experiment cannot be done on a flat budget –Augmentation of the U.S. program is required Priorities must be set for a balanced program –Community should focus on realistic opportunities, and identify and prioritize the critical questions

3 Scope of the committee’s work Assess plans for a burning plasma experiment (BPX) program –Assess value of and need for BPX –Assess scientific and technical readiness –Identify plan for optimized results Issues outside of scope –Inertial confinement fusion –How to (best) develop fusion power –Fusion-reactor-specific technology

4 Committee membership “Outside” Experts“Fusion/BPX” Experts John Ahearne, Duke/Sigma Xi, co-chairRaymond Fonck, U Wisconsin, co-chair John Bahcall, IASStephen Cowley, Imperial College Gordon Baym, U IllinoisWilliam Nevins, LLNL Ira Bernstein, YaleRon Parker, MIT Edward Frieman, SIOTony Taylor, GA Joseph Hezir, EOP Group, Inc.Michael Ulrickson, Sandia Ellen Zweibel, U WisconsinMichael Zarnstorff, Princeton Burton Richter, Stanford Walter Gekelman, UCLA Claudio Pellegrini, UCLA Cliff Surko, UCSD

5 Need for a BPX Burning plasma experiment is a necessary scientific milestone on the road to the development of fusion power BPX is a critical missing element of the current program

6 Scientific value of a BPX Development of fusion energy science –Plasma turbulence, transport at large scales –Alpha-particle effects on confinement and stability –Stability limits in presence of self-heating –Behavior and control of self-sustained (burning) plasma Basic plasma physics & general scientific interest –Laboratory astrophysics, extreme conditions –Self-organizing complex systems

7 Technological value of a BPX Will enable –Initial study of materials behavior and integrity –Tritium processing and inventory control –High-heat-flux components –Partial study of (breeding) blanket design/testing –Remote handling

8 Readiness for a BPX U.S. fusion science program is scientifically and technically ready to undertake a BPX –Have confidence in understanding projections and operational boundaries –Necessary components can be manufactured and adequate drive technologies exist

9 Strategically balanced program BPX is a necessary but not sufficient step toward fusion energy Developing science base for fusion requires both a BPX and concept development and optimization –Address the range of primary issues of fusion science In context of ITER participation, balance is essential –To optimize the scientific output –To best understand and exploit the outcomes for the fusion program as a whole

10 Elements of a balanced program Robust program of theory and simulation, coupled with experimental verification Direct support of ITER activities –Optimize and accelerate ITER benefits Concept Optimization Research –Portfolio of investigations across related magnetic configurations Recruitment, training, and retention of scientific and technical staff

11 Recommendations: ITER (1) The United States should participate in a burning plasma experiment The best option is ITER If ITER develops, fulfilling the U.S. commitment should be the top priority in a balanced program

12 Recommendations: ITER (2) Level of involvement in ITER should guarantee: –Access to all data from ITER –Right to propose and carry out experiments –Role in producing the high technology components If ITER negotiations fail –United States should reassess options, but continue to pursue goal of a BPX with international partners

13 Recommendations: Program Balance A strategically balanced fusion program should be developed, including: –Participation in ITER –Strong domestic fusion science and technology portfolio –Integrated theory and simulation program –Support for plasma science

14 Recommendations: Setting Priorities Scope, content, and level of U.S. activity in fusion should be defined through prioritized balancing procedure OFES and the community will have to make serious priority judgments –BPX/ITER and other program elements all have merit, but must account for realistic budgetary situations Led by OFES, fusion science community should –Identify and prioritize critical scientific questions –Accept and manage limitations on levels of activity

15 Budget implications Funding trajectory should be developed that –Captures the long-term benefits of joining ITER –Retains a strong scientific focus on the long-range goal of the program Flat budget for OFES with a BPX will degrade the scientific research support in the fusion program At the minimum, augmentation of the U.S. program covering all the U.S. ITER construction and operating costs would be required

16 Conclusion A burning plasma experiment is critically needed to advance fusion science –Join ITER –If ITER doesn’t go forward, reassess to move ahead A burning plasma experiment cannot be done on a flat budget –Augmentation of the U.S. program is required Priorities must be set for a balanced program –Community should focus on realistic opportunities, and identify and prioritize the critical questions