10 Bond Prices and Yields Bodie, Kane, and Marcus

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Presentation transcript:

10 Bond Prices and Yields Bodie, Kane, and Marcus Essentials of Investments, 9th Edition

10.1 Bond Characteristics Bond Face Value, Par Value Coupon Rate Security that obligates issuer to make payments to holder over time Face Value, Par Value Payment to bondholder at maturity of bond Coupon Rate Bond’s annual interest payment per dollar of par value Zero-Coupon Bond Pays no coupons, sells at discount, provides only payment of par value at maturity

Figure 10.1 Prices/Yields of U.S. Treasury Bonds U.S. Treasury Quotes: Treasury note and bond data are representative over-the-counter quotations as of 3pm Eastern time. Maturity Coupon Bid Asked Change Asked Yield 8/15/2012 1.750 101.570 101.594 -0.016 0.151 8/15/2014 4.250 111.547 111.594 -0.094 0.358 12/31/2015 2.125 105.789 105.820 -0.164 0.769 8/15/2017 4.750 120.219 120.266 -0.234 1.234 2/15/2020 8.500 152.063 152.094 -0.344 1.847 8/15/2023 6.250 137.406 137.438 -0.688 2.598 2/15/2027 6.625 145.547 145.594 -0.719 2.941 2/15/2031 5.375 130.266 130.297 -0.953 3.263 11/15/2039 4.375 111.766 111.813 -0.813 3.697 5/15/2041 111.719 111.750 -0.938 3.718

10.1 Bond Characteristics  

10.1 Bond Characteristics Corporate Bonds Call provisions on corporate bonds Callable bonds: May be repurchased by issuer at specified call price during call period Convertible bonds Allow bondholder to exchange bond for specified number of common stock shares

10.1 Bond Characteristics Corporate Bonds Puttable bonds Holder may choose to exchange for par value or to extend for given number of years Floating-rate bonds Coupon rates periodically reset according to specified market date

10.1 Bond Characteristics Preferred Stock Commonly pays fixed dividend Floating-rate preferred stock becoming more popular Dividends not normally tax-deductible Corporations that purchase other corporations’ preferred stock are taxed on only 30% of dividends received

10.1 Bond Characteristics Other Domestic Issuers State, local governments (municipal bonds) Federal Home Loan Bank Board Farm Credit agencies Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac

10.2 Bond Pricing  

10.2 Bond Pricing Prices fall as market interest rate rises Interest rate fluctuations are primary source of bond market risk Bonds with longer maturities more sensitive to fluctuations in interest rate

Table 10.2 Bond Prices at Different Interest Rates

Figure 10.3 Inverse Relationship between Bond Prices and Yields

10.2 Bond Pricing Bond Pricing between Coupon Dates Invoice price = Flat price + Accrued interest Bond Pricing in Excel =PRICE (settlement date, maturity date, annual coupon rate, yield to maturity, redemption value as percent of par value, number of coupon payments per year)

Spreadsheet 10.1 Valuing Bonds 6.25% coupon bond, 4.375% coupon bond, 8% coupon bond, maturing August 15, 2023 Formula in column B maturing Nov 15, 2039 30-year maturity Settlement date 8/15/2011 =DATE(2011,8,15) 1/1/2000 Maturity date 8/15/2023 =DATE(2023,8,15) 11/15/2039 1/1/2030 Annual coupon rate 0.0625 0.04375 0.08 Yield to maturity 0.02598 0.03697 0.1 Redemption value (% of face value) 100 Coupon payments per year 2 Flat price (% of par) 137.444 =PRICE(B4,B5,B6,B7,B8,B9) 111.819 81.071 Days since last coupon =COUPDAYBS(B4,B5,2,1) 92 Days in coupon period 184 =COUPDAYS(B4,B5,2,1) 182 Accrued interest =(B13/B14)*B6*100/2 1.094 Invoice price =B12+B15 112.913

10.3 Bond Yields Yield to Maturity Current Yield Premium Bonds Discount rate that makes present value of bond’s payments equal to price. Current Yield Annual coupon divided by bond price Premium Bonds Bonds selling above par value Discount Bonds Bonds selling below par value

Spreadsheet 10.2 Finding Yield to Maturity Semiannual coupons Annual coupons Settlement date 1/1/2000 1/2/2000 Maturity date 1/1/2030 1/2/2030 Annual coupon rate 0.08 Bond price (flat) 127.676 Redemption value (% of face value) 100 Coupon payments per year 2 1 Yield to maturity (decimal) 0.0600 0.0599 The formula entered here is =YIELD(B3,B4,B5,B6,B7,B8)

10.3 Bond Yields Yield to Call Calculated like yield to maturity Time until call replaces time until maturity; call price replaces par value Premium bonds more likely to be called than discount bonds

Figure 10.4 Bond Prices: Callable and Straight Debt

10.3 Bond Yields Realized Compound Returns versus Yield to Maturity Compound rate of return on bond with all coupons reinvested until maturity Horizon analysis Analysis of bond returns over multiyear horizon, based on forecasts of bond’s yield to maturity and investment options Reinvestment rate risk Uncertainty surrounding cumulative future value of reinvested coupon payments

Figure 10.5 Growth of Invested Funds