Ecosystem Services and Futures Thinking: Two Brave Initiatives Barney Foran Steve Cork Stuart Pearson Jason Alexandra.

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Presentation transcript:

Ecosystem Services and Futures Thinking: Two Brave Initiatives Barney Foran Steve Cork Stuart Pearson Jason Alexandra

Ecosystem services “Benefits people get from nature”

Case study: The Goulburn Broken Catchment

SERVICES LAND-USES

Legacies Rainforest CRC Sustainable Ecosystems Entomology Land and Water Forestry and Forest Products Plant Industry The Sidney Myer Centenary Celebration

Legacies New thinking Awareness Informed dialogue Spawned many research projects Encouraged uptake in policy Ongoing role for LWA to the end

Futures program Grew from Redesigning Agriculture for Australian Landscapes (RAAL) Invested in “futures research” Supported several other programs Morphed into Innovation and Strategic Analysis programs

Futures program “Isn’t a good chat over a glass of red just as good?”

Control → Certainty → Rules Hedging Optimal control Options Adaptive management Possibilities Plan for surprise Uncertainty and decision-making

What is “futures research”?

Example project areas Scenario planning (e.g., Goulburn Broken, Future Woolscapes, LWA) Innovative technologies (e.g., biofuels, envisioning landscapes) Emerging challenges (e.g., endocrine disrupters, per-iurban development, future governance …)

Legacies

Murrumbidgee Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Australian Meat Industry Avocados Australia Regional Development Victoria Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Australian Meat Industry Avocados Australia Regional Development Victoria Namoi

Legacies Louise Osbourne Stuart Pearson

Legacies 4 ex LWA staff 1 ex LWA consultant Many past LWA clients 10 agencies in across Australia and New Zealand

People