Presented by Robert Eberhard, Rob Jannusch and Jeffrey Li March 13, 2014.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Accounting Principles, Eighth Edition
Advertisements

Chapter 13 Learning Objectives
1 Sale of Securities On April 1, 2006, the investment in Silmarils debt securities is sold for $103,000, which includes accrued interest of $2,500. On.
Terms. 1. Globalization 2. Financing 3. Inputs.
MANAGEMENT ACCOUNTING
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Chapter 40 The Stock Market Crashes.
1 Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Appendix 01.
1 1 Presented by: Sara L. Johnson Managing Director Global Macroeconomics Group DRI-WEFA August 7, 2001 The U.S. Economic Outlook: Turbulent Times.
Performance of Hedges & Long Futures Positions in CBOT Corn Goodland, Kansas March 2, 2009 Daniel OBrien, Extension Ag Economist K-State Research and Extension.
The Baltic States: Recovery, Outlook, and Challenges Economic Crossroads: From Recovery to Sustainable Development in the Baltic States and the EU Riga,
Making Your Business Grow
Year 6 mental test 10 second questions
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire? Decimal Edition Question 1.
KIPO’s Policies on IP Marketplace Choongjae Lee Intellectual Property Promotion Division KIPO (Korean Intellectual Property Office)
Kotler on Marketing It is more important to do what is strategically right than what is immediately profitable.
Financial Statement Analysis Best Buy Co. Inc.
Part 1 Marketing Dynamics
1 Investments Sid Glandon, DBA, CPA Associate Professor of Accounting The University of Texas at El Paso.
Watco Companies Overview January 25, 2013 Southwestern Rail Conference
© Prentice Hall, 2005 Business In Action 3eChapter Developing Distribution and Promotional Strategies.
16 MKTG CHAPTER Lamb, Hair, McDaniel
Trade Promotion Management Study Summary Charts
© Clavis Technology Ltd – 2013 G ROW YOUR S ALES THROUGH THE O NLINE C HANNEL WITH E C OMMERCE I NTELLIGENCE Clavis Technology March 12 th, 2013.
Sweet Success! How Hersheys ® Cocoa Leveraged Digital to Drive Strong Business Results April 24, 2012.
KARACHI FASHION WEEK CHAPTER 3 JANUARY 27 – 30, 2011 FASHION RUNWAY SHOW FASHION RUNWAY SHOW BRAND PRESENTATIONS BRAND PRESENTATIONS FASHION BRANDS EXHIBITIONS.
Introduction to Cost Behavior and Cost-Volume Relationships
1 Rick Goings Chairman and CEO. 2 Forward-Looking Statements We are making some forward looking statements today that use words like outlook or target.
Jim Klar Global Sales Director Easy2 Technologies
Chapter 9 Accounting for Inventories. Inventory Retailers: finished goods held for sale; balances can be large (77% of current asset & 25% of total assets.
Customer-Driven Marketing Strategy Creating Value for Target Customers
"Single CMO" Management Committee 22 Mars 2012 Review of the situation on the EU Beef and Veal Market.
401(k) Participant Behavior in a Volatile Economy Prepared for the 14 th Annual RRC Conference, August 2, 2012 by Barbara Butrica and Karen Smith 1.
Primary research figuresPrimary research figures These are some of the results from my primary research. percentages of people who like/dislike the show.
EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry Management Committee 21 June 2012.
MCQ Chapter 07.
What is your financial plan? Back to School/Better Job
Research Department 1 Global Economic Crisis and the Israeli Economy Herzliya conference Dr. Karnit Flug Research Director, Bank of Israel February 2009.
Capital Budgeting Overview 1  Capital Budgeting is the set of valuation techniques for real asset investment decisions.  Capital Budgeting Steps  estimating.
Bikes R Us Emily Foster, Emily Pelley, Jillian Marchand, and Zac Konings.
22 Olam is a leading global integrated supply chain manager and processor of agricultural products and food ingredients  Presence across 16 platforms,
Higher Education: A Presentation to the Budget Trends Commission May 27, 2008 Mark Misukanis Director of Fiscal Policy and Research Office of Higher Education.
OHT 5.1 © Marketing Insights Limited 2004 Chapter 5 E-business Strategy.
Model and Relationships 6 M 1 M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M M
25 seconds left…...
Equal or Not. Equal or Not
Slippery Slope
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 10 A Monetary Intertemporal Model: Money, Prices, and Monetary Policy.
©Brooks/Cole, 2001 Chapter 12 Derived Types-- Enumerated, Structure and Union.
Solanco School District Preliminary Budget April 28, 2014.
PSSA Preparation.
Weekly Attendance by Class w/e 6 th September 2013.
Copyright © 2009 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Investing in Stocks Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Learning Objectives 1. Invest in stocks. 2. Read stock.
1 DIGITAL INTERACTIVE MEDIA Wednesday, October 28, 2009.
Key Concepts and Skills
American Eagle Outfitters
American Eagle Outfitters Chris Glotzbach, Efe Faydali and Tom Van Spankeren 12/4/2014.
American Eagle Outfitters (AEOS) Dan DeRose Matthew McDonnell 14-November-2006.
LOGO. American Eagle  Presented April 5, 2006 by Kevin Cowell and Narayan Subramanian  American Eagle Outfitters is a leading retailer that designs,
 Investment History and Performance  Review of the Company and its Business  Industry and Competitor Analysis  Relevant Stock Market Prospects  Financial.
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Presented December 2, 2008
American Eagle Update Presented James Charehsazen Mike Delaney Robert Don Kerri Lin Dave Zydek Recommendation: Hold.
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS, INC. NYSE: AEO 10/11/2011 Aaron Czerkies Amrin Razwin Chris Tsoukalas Ya Zuo.
American Eagle Outfitters Review for partial sale April 21 st, 2005 By Adam Freda.
American Eagle outfitters Presented by : Linden Lu Yanlei Xu Yanlei Xu Gleb Zarkh Gleb Zarkh Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Ibrahim
NOTE: To change the image on this slide, select the picture and delete it. Then click the Pictures icon in the placeholder to insert your own image. GOODYEAR.
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
Presented By Jiaqi (Tommy) Jiang
Presentation transcript:

Presented by Robert Eberhard, Rob Jannusch and Jeffrey Li March 13, 2014

Company Overview Investment History Recent Events/Earnings Analysis Macroeconomic Analysis & Industry Stratification Industry Analysis & Comparables Valuation Metrics Recommendation 2

Founded in 1977, American Eagle is a retailer that designs, markets and sells apparel to its target audience of year-old males and females primarily via its retail stores in the United States and Canada and online via ae.com. As of February 1, 2014, the Company operated 1,066 stores in the United States, Canada and Puerto Rico under the American Eagle Outfitters and aerie brands as well as 66 international stores. AEO Direct, its e-commerce operation subsidiary, ships to more than 80 countries worldwide. 3

Founded in 1977 by brothers, Mark and Jerry Silverman Currently headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Publicly traded since 1994 (NASDAQ: AEOS) Listed on NYSE as of March 8, 2007 (AEO) Approximately 44,000 employees as of February 2, 2013 Operates 3 main divisions: 4

TRANSACTION HISTORY Dec 1999 – Buy $44 Jan 2000 – Buy $27 Mar 2000 – Buy $15.63 Feb 2001 – 3:2 Split Mar 2005– 2:1 Split Apr 2005 – Sell $ Nov 2005 – Sell $23.33 Nov 2006 – Sell $47.15 Dec 2006 – 3:2 Split Nov 2007 – Sell $22 Dec 2008 – Buy $9.07 Nov 2010 – Sell $17.00 Apr 2011 – Sell $16.04 CURRENT PRICE: $13.10 (AS OF MARKET CLOSE 3/11/14) CURRENT POSITION: LONG 1500 SHARES OF AEO WITH A WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE OF $ Source: Yahoo! Finance and RCMP portfolio history

March 2010 : Closed all 28 Martin + Osa stores for a loss of $44 million August 2012 : Shuttered all its 77Kids stores at a cost of $24 million and sold off to Ezrani Corp. January 22, 2014 : CEO Robert Hanson unexpectedly steps down; Jay Schottenstein named interim CEO March 11, 2014 : Earnings disappoint; stock drops 9.64% 6

Company acknowledges that they failed to drive traffic to their stores Markdowns and promotions affected both the top line and margins Aerie brand delivering online and globally Expanding pilot program of “ship from store” by fall New distribution center opens this summer CapEx over FY2013 and FY2014 expected to be ~$508M Nearly 900 full and partial day weather-related store closures in February CEO search continues, but focus remains “on doing what’s right for the customer, what’s right for the company.” 7 Source: Seeking Alpha transcript of earnings call

8 StrengthsWeaknesses No debt Increased global expansion in 2014 Continued Factory Store expansion for “omni-channel capability” “We have got great pants” “Inconsistent merchandise assortments” from earnings report means poor speed-to-market Weak competitive position as # of value retailers and premium luxury brands increases Cater to young, fickle customers in an industry with multiple competitors/price points OpportunitiesThreats Continued growth in AEO Direct and “ship from store” capabilities Can use financial leverage to expand their business internationally if they choose Slower increases in discretionary spending income among core customer demographics Highly competitive retail segment vying for middle-class discretionary income Competitors like A&F, Urban Outfitters show sales growth without blaming weather

9 Source: FRED – St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank

Low $ Medium $ High $

11 Source: Yahoo! Finance

12

13 Source: Yahoo! Finance

14

15 Source: Yahoo! Finance

16 Source: Yahoo! Finance

Based on our weighted valuation, we feel the stock is worth $15.34 a share. It is currently trading at $12.75, so we have room to hold onto our shares. The company is competing well with its main competitors, has no debt, and is investing for the future by expending capital over the next two years. 17

HOLD 18