Eastern Europe Markets and Opportunities: Why Now?

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Presentation transcript:

Eastern Europe Markets and Opportunities: Why Now?

European Union of 25 May 1, 2004

Integration Scorecard For The Ten EU Legislation in Place Mostly Privatized Market Economies Adequate Governance and Rule of Law Low Labor Costs Lower Productivity Really Bad Enforcement

South Eastern Europe Romania & Bulgaria Balkan Countries – 2010? Turkey – 2015? Russia, Ukraine, Belorussia, Moldova

Elements of an Opportunity I Country Population (Million) GDP/Capita EU Relative Poland 38 40% Czech Republic 10 60% Hungary 10 57% Slovakia 5 47% Baltics 7 38% Slovenia 2 75% Cyprus & Malta 1 75%

Elements of an Opportunity II Country GDP Growth 2001–2005 ave. GDP Catchup 20 year rate Poland 3.7% 7.6% Czech Republic 3.0% 5.4% Hungary 3.0% 5.4% Slovakia 4.5% 5.8 % Baltics 6.0% 7.8% Slovenia 3.0% 4.0% Cyprus & Malta 2.3% 4.0%

Markets and Opportunities Poland - Market Size Matters, But Many Mistakes. Hungary and Estonia – Most Likely to Succeed in EU Markets. Slovenia and Slovakia - On Path to Sustained Integration. Ukraine - The EU Frontier in Russia - Important Consumer Market

Why Now? Big Push in 2004 for Some. EU Harmonization Makes Integration Pay for Some. Change in Business Models Imperative

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