ARTS – Assessment of Regional and Territorial Sensitivity Workshop Session 1.1 ESPON Seminar Krakow, Nov. 2011 Bernd Schuh (OIR)

ESPON ARTS: The Task to develop a simplified, evidence-based procedure of Territorial Impact Assessment (TIA) to analyse the impact of EU policy proposals taking the sensitivity of regions into account testing the TIA quick check with a set of 12 directives supplying policy makers with an operational procedure that could work as a “evidence based policy support”

The theoretical approach The vulnerability concept Exposure: the intensity by which EU directives and policies involve particular “fields” of the territorial realm (e.g. surface water quality, emissions, sectoral production) (Territorial) Sensitivity: how single regions are sensitive to, or evaluate, impacts in specific exposure fields, due to their socio- economic and geographical characteristics Territorial Impact : the potential effect (in the future) of a given EU policy as a consequence of exposure and regional sensitivity Policies Regions Exposure Territorial sensitivity Territorial impact

The result: TIA Quick Check An excel tool and a procedure a user-friendly methodology that allows to make a ‘quick and dirty’ ex-ante analysis of the potential impact of EU policy proposals on the development of regions combining a standardised indicator-based Excel –tool with a means to systematically collect expert knowledge in a workshop setting

9 Steps to assess the territorial impact of policy proposals The TIA quick check 9 Steps to assess the territorial impact of policy proposals The conceptual model : How do a directive affect the development of regions? Dealing with discrete cause/effect chains (branching) Which types of regions are affected? (regional exposure) What is the intensity of exposure on different fields? What is the territorial impact on regions? Do the results make sense? (plausibility and quality check) Which regions are affected in which fields? (mapping t) What are the policy implications? (adaptive capacity discussion) How to communicate the results (write-up)

Result Maps Effects of Directive of recognition of qualification on migration balance in countries of origin

Some results – TIA of directive Regions affected by Directive on air quality – Branch b) pollutants in air Regions affected by Directive on air quality – Branch a) economic growth (GDP/ cap.) Some results – TIA of directive

Experiences of the Project: Development of an excel tool and a procedure The standard TIA quick check helps to identify the relevant thematic fields that are effected by a policy proposal. allows to select NUTS2 regions with a potentially high positive or negative impact. helps to set a focus an further and more detailed impact analysis. The advanced TIA quick check allows users to define special indicators describing the exposure to policy proposals and the regional sensitivity provides the technical framework for the vulnerability analysis can serve for a more detailed analysis of a specific potential impact of policy proposals.