Risk Modelling & Impact Forecasting Tools

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Presentation transcript:

Risk Modelling & Impact Forecasting Tools Challenges and Opportunities

5 44 TC Winston In Numbers AFFECTED 60 1.99 60,000 540,000 deaths days people displaced Declaration State of Emergency 5 Wind Coastal innundation River flooding Coastal erosion Landslides 1.99 Hazard Impacts billion F$ Damage and Losses

Distribution of TC Winston Impacts Post Disaster Needs Assessment May 2016 Estimated value of disaster effects from TC Winston in Fiji is F$1.99 billion (US$0.9 billion): F$1.29 billion (US$0.6 billion) in damage F$0.71 billion (US$0.3 billion) in losses

5 44 TC Winston In Numbers AFFECTED 60 1.99 60,000 Why Risk Tools? Reducing impacts AFFECTED 44 540,000 deaths 60 60,000 days people displaced Declaration State of Emergency 5 Early Warning Systems Land Use Planning Building & Infrastructure design Planning Wind Storm Surge Flooding Coastal erosion Landslides 1.99 Hazard Impacts billion F$ Damage and Losses Knowing who needs to do what where and when

Challenges & Opportunities Lack of a centralised database (/catalogue) – knowing what exists Limited information sharing between agencies Partnerships designed to both produce risk information and build capacity Improvement of data-sharing procedures and protocols How can we, as a community, progress this?