Rich Paglia Vice President

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Presentation transcript:

Rich Paglia Vice President New England Electricity Restructuring Roundtable Discussion June 15, 2012 Rich Paglia Vice President

Spectra Energy U.S. Transmission Map Miles of Pipe 14,007 Number of Compressor Stations 125 Total Horsepower 1,962,667 Storage Capacity 158 Bcf

New Infrastructure in Response to Increase in Northeast Shale Supplies Connecting Marcellus & Utica Supplies to Our Diverse Markets Texas Eastern Appalachia to Market TEAM 2014 Providing producers access to diverse Texas Eastern markets BOSTON TORONTO AIM Union Gas Ohio Pipeline Energy Network OPEN (2014) Connecting Utica production to diverse Texas Eastern markets NEXT NEW YORK Northern Expansion Transmission NEXT (2016/2017) Providing Appalachian producers access to Eastern Canada LDC & power markets OPEN PHILADELPHIA TEAM 2014 Algonquin Incremental Market AIM (2015) New England market pull combined with Northeast PA supply push $2 – $4B in expansion opportunities in 2014-2017 Renaissance Gas Transmission Renaissance (2015) Appalachian supply to Northern Georgia & Atlanta markets Renaissance ATLANTA

The Need for Additional Algonquin Gas Transmission (“AGT”) Capacity Algonquin City Gate demand is growing LDC’s projecting moderate growth ISO New England is projecting substantial growth Abundant supplies pushing to the doorstep of AGT Producers investing in infrastructure upstream of AGT Lower upstream prices reflect an abundance of natural gas supply Pipeline restrictions have increased despite record warm winter Lower priced supply on the west end of the system is chasing demand at the city gate End users without firm capacity are at an increased risk for interruption New England needs additional pipeline capacity to benefit from lower energy costs

Algonquin Pipeline – Critical Fuel Delivery System for ISO New England Power Plants Texas Eastern Algonquin Has Greatest Share of ISO New England Generation (Over 40% of Gas Fired Generation) Algonquin Maritimes & NE Millennium Iroquois Tennessee Gas Pipeline BOSTON 19 11 Power Plants currently served by AGT # Plant Name (MW) ~ MDth/d Natural Gas Only 1 ANP Bellingham 523 105 2 Bellingham 337 67 3 Dartmouth Power 68 14 4 Dighton Power 177 35 5 Kleen Energy 620 124 6 Lake Road 564 113 7 Manchester Street 510 102 8 Milford Power 171 34 9 Ocean State Power 635 127 10 Genconn Power 197 39 11 Fore River 837 167 12 Tiverton 279 56 13 Wallingford Energy 241 48 Total Natural Gas Only: 5,157 1,031 Natural Gas / Oil Cogeneration Brayton Point 446 89 15 CMEEC - Pierce Power 96 19 281 16 Middletown 365 73 17 Mirant Canal 561 112 18 Montville 82 Potter Street (BELD I) 92 20 TMLP 110 22 21 Watson Generating (BELD II) 115 23 Total Cogeneration: 2,148 430 Total Gas Only & Cogeneration: 7,305 1,461 21 8 1 9 2 4 20 17 7 6 14 3 12 10 5 16 18 MARCELLUS SHALE 13 15 NEW YORK

New Infrastructure needed to move gas to market Algonquin Expansion Necessary to Transport New Supplies to New England Power Markets Waddington Texas Eastern Algonquin (~700) MDth/d (Supply Reduction) Maritimes & NE Millennium Iroquois Tennessee Gas Pipeline BOSTON New Infrastructure needed to move gas to market MARCELLUS Wright ~ 700 MDth/d ~ 500 MDth/d Current Pipeline Bottleneck Ramapo Mahwah ~ 900 MDth/d NEW YORK ~ 300 MDth/d

Algonquin Incremental Market Expansion (AIM) 271 MDth/d 512 MDth/d Marcellus Project Details: Pipeline expansion designed to move emerging production to AGT city gates 512 MDth/d from Ramapo to Brookfield 271 MDth/d from Brookfield to AGT City Gates 2016 In-service Next Steps: Identify anchor shippers Binding Open Season Finalize PA’s IROQUOIS

Benefits of Infrastructure Expansion The time is right for infrastructure investment Upstream parties have made significant investments to get supplies to AGT receipt points Supplies will chase demand in other regions if New England doesn’t come to the table Additional pipeline infrastructure is the key to reliably securing natural gas fuel supplies Firm shipper demand is expected to grow Prior pipeline flexibility may not be representative of future operations Majority of power generators still opting for non-firm, or interruptible pipeline capacity/supply given that the electric market does not provide a proper valuation for such services

Benefits of Infrastructure Expansion (cont.) Cost savings Additional pipeline capacity could lower natural gas costs in New England Concentric Energy Advisors estimates $600 MM + in savings for New England ~$300 MM direct benefit from additional pipeline infrastructure Assuming $150 MM cost of service, $1 investment yields $2 savings ($ millions) Total Benefit (i.e., New England Infrastructure and Access to Increased Northeast Shale Gas Production) Direct Benefit of New England Infrastructure   Electric Segment 1. Reduction in New England Price Premium $122 to $162 2. Reduction in Mid-Atlantic Prices $256 $305 $94 $112 3. Oil Generator Displacement $6 $28 $19 Total Electric Segment $384 $495 $223 $293 LDC Segment $38 $138 $21 Total Cost Savings $422 $633 $243 $313