Phase 1 – 2002 Fire Emissions Inventory

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Presentation transcript:

Phase 1 – 2002 Fire Emissions Inventory FEJF Meeting June 15, 2004 – Portland, OR Dave Randall (303.988.2960 x221; drandall@airsci.com) Air Sciences Inc. (www.airsci.com) 1301 Washington Ave, Suite 200 Golden, CO 80401 Essential Documentation and PPT Presentation posted at: http://www.airsci.com/jscar/wrap2002/WRAP-2002-EI-Report_20040614.pdf

Phase 1 Fire EI Modeling Evaluation Emission Inventory. Actual 2002 wildland fire and prescribed fire emission inventories. Use of the 2018 Agricultural Burning Base Smoke Management Program emission inventory as a placeholder. Primary uses: to verify and enhance dispersion model performance to test geographic source apportionment (modeling estimates of contribution at each Class I area from each upwind source jurisdiction). FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Other Phases of 2002 Fire EI Work Phase 2 – Initial Modeling Apportionment Emission Inventory. to complete the WRAP’s Strategic Plan 2004 geographic source apportionment for the Allocation of Haze Project Phase 3 – Planning Baseline Period Emission Inventory. fire activity data that is assessed to be representative of regional haze baseline period (2000 – 2004). Phase 4 – Planning 2018 Projection Year Emission Inventory. FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Phase 1 – Technical Approach In general, 2002 technical methods consistent with the 1996 historic emission inventory. *NEW* Historic EI for Wildfire (WF) and Prescribed Burning (Rx) were produced. FEJF’s 2018 Agricultural Burning (Base Smoke Management) provided as *place holder*) Brief run-down of technical methods follows. EI results presented. FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Wildfire Prescribed Total Executive Summary of Fire Activity and Emissions from Wildfires and Prescribed Fires in 2002 (14-state WRAP Region) Wildfire Prescribed Total Number of fires 3,157(28%) 10,016 (72%)13,173 Area burned (1000 acres) 6,348 (91%) 605 (9%) 6,953 Fuel consumed (1000 tons) 206,777(97%) 6,516 (3%) 213,293 PM2.5 emissions (1000 tons) 2,492 (97%) 66 (3%) 2,558 FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Data Quality Objectives A specific location for each fire event. A specific calendar day in 2002 for each fire event. A specific size for each fire event. Sufficient information to assign a fuel loading for each fire event. FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Activity Data - Wildfire > 10 Acres NIFC – National Situation Report and ICS-209 Datasets were merged DOI’s Fire Management Data and USDA – FS’s National Interagency Fire Management Integrated Database were appended. Natl Situation Report/ICS-209 records supplemented on a record-by-record basis location, size, and fuel loading info. FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Activity Data – Prescribed Fire No de minimis size cut-off Data requests out to State AQ and/or Forestry Departments…data rec’d from all states in the WRAP region. Rx fire data (DOI-1202; NIFPORS, FASTRACS) also received from federal agencies Effort to reconcile/augment state data with federal data FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

GIS Data Augmentation & QC Geo-referencing Fire Location by TRS & County GIS-based fuel loading assignments State & County Identifiers GIS QC techniques Locations match with state/county identifier Locations don’t fall in water/urban areas FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Activity Data – Prescribed Fire No de minimis size cut-off Data requests out to State AQ and/or Forestry Departments…data rec’d from all states in the WRAP region. Rx fire data (DOI-1202; NIFPORS, FASTRACS) also received from federal agencies Effort to reconcile/augment state data with federal data FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Data QC Data not meeting Data Quality Objectives Wildfire - 2.7 % (86 records / 18.5k acres) dropped for insufficient/inconsistent data Rx fire – 8.6% (947 records / 48.7k acres) dropped for insufficient/inconsistent data Most dropped due to insufficient location data FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Fuel Loading & Emission Factors Modified NFDRS (to include duff & crown fuels) for WF & Rx fire Emission Factors (AP-42 & OAQPS report) Wildfire and Rx Broadcast Burns Rx Pile Burns TSP; PM10; PM2.5; EC; OC; VOC; CH4; NH3; NOx; CO; SO2; PM-coarse FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Other Technical Steps Daily fire growth for multi-day events WF – only multi-day events >100 acres (“escapability size”) were allocated to daily events “spreading oval” geometric fire growth (from FEPS) over first 2/3 of the duration provided RX – total acres / no. of days Smoldering emissions added. Plume profile assignments (based on heat release and buoyant efficiencies) Look-up tables, and *virtual acres* used to assign PTOP, PBOT, LAY1F PBOT increased from 1996; LAY1F adjusted from 1996 by 38/80 FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

Delivery to WRAP/RMC On May 3, 2004 – the WF and Rx Burning emission inventories delivered to the WRAP/Regional Modeling Center PT Files (formatted for the Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions “SMOKE” modeling system) PTINV – general event information PTDAY – daily emissions of each pollutant PTHOUR – hourly plume profile assignments FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

2002 Wildfire and Prescribed Fire – WRAP Region Haze Pollutants by Month (tons) FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

2002 Wildfire and Prescribed Fire – WRAP Region Haze Pollutants by State (tons) FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

2002 Wildfire and Prescribed Fire – WRAP Region w/o AK and OR Haze Pollutants by State (tons) FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I Fire Size Class Cut-offs (acres burned) 5: 5000 + 4: 1,000 – 5,000 3: 100 – 1,000 2: 10 – 100 1: 0 - 10 FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

2002 Wildfire and Prescribed Fire – WRAP Region Fire Occurrence and Acres Burned by Size Class FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I

What’s Next? (Phase 1) Phase1 Ph. 2 – Refined/enhanced 2002 EI Essential Documentation for Phase 1 2002 EI is posted for ETT/FEJF Review Will finalize in next few weeks. State Ag Outreach Rangeland burning methodology Ph. 2 – Refined/enhanced 2002 EI FEJF June 15-16, Portland OR WRAP 2002 Fire EI Phase I