Agricultural Marketing ECON 337: Agricultural Marketing Lee Schulz Assistant Professor lschulz@iastate.edu 515-294-3356 Chad Hart Associate Professor chart@iastate.edu 515-294-9911 1
Margin Accounts A margin account is an account that traders maintain in the market to ensure contract performance. There are minimum limits on the size of the account. Crop Trader Type Initial Maintenance Corn Hedger/Speculator $1,100 $1,000 Soybeans Hedger/Speculator $2,310 $2,100 Lean Hogs Hedger/Speculator $1,320 $1,200 Live Cattle Hedger/Speculator $1,980 $1,800 To trade, you must create a margin account with at least the “Initial” amount and maintain at least the “Maintenance” amount in the account at the end of each trading day.
Margin Calls Margin accounts are rebalanced each day Depending on the value of futures Settlement price If your futures are losing value, money is taken out of the margin account to cover the loss If the account value falls below the “Maintenance” level, you receive a margin call (a call to put additional money in your margin account) and the balance is brought back up to the Initial amount
Margin Example Let’s say I went short on Mar. 2016 corn $3.5175/bushel on Jan. 11 Along with selling a corn futures contract, I have to establish a margin account and deposit $1,100 in it On Jan. 15, the Mar. 2015 corn futures price moved to $3.6325/bushel Since I’ll be buying the futures contract later, this price move is not in my favor
Margin Example I lost 11.5 cents per bushel and since the contract is for 5,000 bushels, that’s a loss of $575 At the end of the day (Jan. 15), my margin account will be tapped for $575, lowering the account balance to $625 Since $625 is less than the “Maintenance” level ($1,000), I will receive a margin call and be asked to deposit $575 more into the account or to close out the futures position The $575 brings the account balance back up to the initial requirement
Margin Example #2 Let’s say, instead of going short, I went long on May 2016 corn $3.575/bushel on Jan. 11 Along with buying a corn futures contract, I have to establish a margin account and deposit $1,100 in it On Jan. 15, the May 2015 corn futures price moved to $3.675/bushel Since I’ll be selling back the futures contract later, this price move is in my favor
Margin Example #2 I gained 10 cents per bushel and since the contract is for 5,000 bushels, that’s a gain of $500 At the end of the day (Jan. 15), $500 will be added to my margin account, raising the account balance to $1,600 Since $1,600 is greater than the “Maintenance” level, I will not receive a margin call
Margin Example – Going Short Date Price Gain Margin Call Account Balance 1/08/16 $3.6275 $1,100 1/11/16 $3.575 +$262.50 $1,362.50 1/12/16 $3.6225 -$237.50 $1,125 1/13/16 $3.63 -$37.50 $1,087.50 1/14/16 +$12.50 1/15/16 $3.675 +$237.50
Margin Example – Going Long Date Price Gain Margin Call Account Balance 1/08/16 $3.6275 $1,100 1/11/16 $3.575 -$262.50 +262.50 1/12/16 $3.6225 +$237.50 $1,337.50 1/13/16 $3.63 +$37.50 $1,375 1/14/16 -$12.50 $1,362.50 1/15/16 $3.675 $1,125
Market Participants Hedgers are willing to make or take physical delivery because they are producers or users of the commodity Use futures to protect against a price movement Cash and futures prices are highly correlated Hold counterbalancing positions in the two markets to manage the risk of price movement
Hedgers Farmers, livestock producers Merchandisers, elevators Food processors, feed manufacturers Exporters Importers What happens if the futures market is restricted to only hedgers?
Market Participants Speculators have no use for the physical commodity They buy or sell in an attempt to profit from price movements Add liquidity to the market May be part of the general public, professional traders or investment managers Short-term – “day traders” Long-term – buy or sell and hold
Market Participants Brokers exercise trade for traders and are paid a flat fee called a commission Futures are a “zero sum game” Losers pay winners Brokers always get paid commission
Hedging Holding equal and opposite positions in the cash and futures markets The substitution of a futures contract for a later cash-market transaction Who can hedge? Farmers, merchandisers, elevators, processors, exporter/importers
Cash vs. Futures Prices Iowa Corn in 2015
Class web site: See you at lab, Heady 68! http://www.econ.iastate.edu/~chart/Classes/econ337/Spring2016/ See you at lab, Heady 68!