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Agricultural Marketing

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Presentation on theme: "Agricultural Marketing"— Presentation transcript:

1 Agricultural Marketing
ECON 337: Agricultural Marketing Lee Schulz Associate Professor Chad Hart Associate Professor 1

2 CME Group http://www.cmegroup.com/ Products Agricultural commodities
Corn, soy, cattle, hogs, etc. Energy Currency Metals Weather Others

3 Futures Contracts A legally binding contract to make or take delivery of the commodity Trading the promise to do something in the future You can “offset” your promise Standardized contract Form (weight, grade, specifications) Time (delivery date) Place (delivery location)

4 Soybean Futures Form Time 5,000 bushels
No. 2 Yellow Soybeans (at price), No. 1 Yellow soybeans (at 6 cents over price), and No. 3 Yellow Soybeans (at 6 cents under price) Time Contract months: Sept, Nov, Jan, Mar, May, July, and August Source: CME Group

5 Corn and Soybean Shipping Stations
Source: CME Group Rulebook

6 Delivery Points Corn Soybeans Wheat
Source: Irwin, Garcia, Good, and Kunda, 2009 Marketing and Outlook Research Report

7 Futures Contracts No physical exchange takes place when the contract is traded (no actual commodity moves) Payment is based on the price established when the contract was initially traded (prices can and will change before delivery is taken) Deliveries can be made when the contract expires or the offsetting futures position must be taken to settle up Deliveries occur on less than 5 percent of the traded contracts

8 Market Positions You can either buy or sell initially to open a position in the futures market “Make” a promise to make or take delivery Do the opposite to close the position at a later date “Offset” the promise (and no commodity changes hands) Trader may also hold the position until expiration and make or take physical delivery of the commodity

9 Trading Futures Contracts
All trades through a licensed broker Brokerage house has a “seat” at the exchange and is allowed to trade Represented “on the floor” to exercise trade Local broker to initiate transaction and manage account with client Full service and discount brokers

10 CME Group http://www.cmegroup.com/ Open, High, Low, Last Price
Settlement Price Volume Open Interest Daily Limits

11 Terms and Definitions Basis Bear Bull
The difference between the spot or cash price and the futures price of the same or a related commodity. Bear Someone that thinks the price will decline Bull Someone that thinks the price will increase

12 Cash vs. Futures Prices Iowa Corn in 2018
The gap between the lines is the basis.

13 2018 Basis for Iowa Corn

14 Terms and Definitions Clearing House Commission
The division of the futures exchange through which all trades made must be confirmed, matched and settled each day until offset or delivered. Commission For futures contracts, the one-time fee charged by a broker to cover the trades you make to open and close each position.

15 Terms and Definitions Long position Short position
A position in which the trader has bought a futures contract that does not offset a previously established short position. Short position A position in which the trader has sold a futures contract that does not offset a previously established long position.

16 Going Short Sold Dec. 2019 Corn @ $4.015
What type of trader (bull or bear) would go short? What events would send prices in a favorable direction?

17 Going Long What type of trader (bull or bear) would go long?
Bought Dec $4.015 What events would send prices in a favorable direction?

18 Class web site:


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