The Macro Backdrop Remains Difficult

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Presentation transcript:

The Macro Backdrop Remains Difficult

But Heightened Global Tensions Haven’t Affected Growth Yet

Real Estate Performance Moderating

Keep an Eye on Supply: Pace of Deliveries Accelerating

Transaction Volume Down Slightly

Property Priced Fairly In a Low-Interest Rate Environment

Rising Interest Rates Don’t Necessarily Imply Rising Cap Rates

Cap Rate Compression Reaching Its Limits

Yields Are Expected to Stay Low Given High Level of Deployable Capital

NOI Growth: Reversal of Long-Standing Trends

Apartment Fundamentals Moderating But Remain Healthy

Rent Concessions Rising Along With New Apartment Deliveries

Where Apartments are Being Built has Shifted

Renter Household Formations Slowing

But Long-Term Demographic Shifts Supportive of Apartment Demand

Rent Growth Moderating Sun Belt Markets Remain Strongest Performers

Physical Retail Is Not Dead But…

Evolution in Shopping Patterns Has Widened Gap Between Winners and Losers

E-commerce Isn’t Killing Department Stores, Discounters Are

Strong Categories Continue to Add Stores

Resulting in Net Store Openings, Given Limited New Supply

Amazon Bought Whole Foods For a Reason: E-commerce is Expensive

Innovation and Disruption are Nothing New Among Retailers

Nor is Change New in Physical Retail

Quality Pays Off in Retail Investments

But Margins are Falling for Retailers and Landlords

Activity Remains High in Industrial Market

Demand Matched With Supply in Most Markets

Almost All Major Markets Seeing Meaningful Rent Growth

Flattening of Fundamentals in US Office

Demand Lagging Supply in Most Markets

Tech Hubs Outperform, Most Populous Metros Fall Behind

Office Development Highly Concentrated

In Uncertain Times, Specialty Sector Investments Provide Stability

Strategies for Today’s Environment