From Horizon 2020 to FP9: Mid-term evaluation and foresight 2 March 2018: Denkdag: De toekomst van Erasmus+ en de Europese onderwijsruimte; VLEVA Nikos Kastrinos DG RTD Team leader: Foresight This presentation does not represent a formal position of the European Commission. Please refer to official documents

"I am convinced that the core values of Horizon 2020 and its successor have to be:" EXCELLENCE OPENNESS IMPACT

TOWARDS FP9 Findings from the H2020 INTERIM EVALUATION Lamy High Level Group Report 'LAB – FAB – APP: Investing in the European future we want' with 11 recommendations and accompanying actions BOHEMIA: a Strategic foresight study

A BRIDGING PHASE: HORIZON 2020 WORK PROGRAMME 2018-2020 TOWARDS FP9 A BRIDGING PHASE: HORIZON 2020 WORK PROGRAMME 2018-2020 Prepare for a bridge in the last years of the programme to enable a smooth transition to any successor to Horizon 2020: investment of around 30 billion EUR for 3 years; … testing new approaches: European Innovation Council, simplification, international cooperation flagships... … flexibility for 2020, with 'minimum' content to bridge to the successor Framework Programme. Research and innovation

Steps towards FP9: 2018 - 2018 2019 2021 Jan+ Launch of the Public Stakeholder Consultation (cluster of programmes) Adoption of the Commission Communication on the results of the interim evaluation of H2020 and the recommendations of the Lamy High Level Group (11/1) February Mazzucato Report on missions and public consultation May Comprehensive proposal for the future Multiannual Financial Framework beyond 2020 (June/July) Proposals for the next generation of programmes and new own resources, including the next R&I Framework Programme & accompanying Impact Assessment 2019 European Parliament elections, appointment of the new Commission EP and Council negotiations and eventual adoption of the FP9 proposal First WP development for the FP9 2021 Launch of the 9th Framework Programme

Key findings of the interim evaluation KEY STRENGTHS of H2020 An attractive, simplified and well-performing programme, highly relevant for stakeholders and societal needs. On track to deliver value for money and to meet its knowledge-creating objectives. Strong EU Added Value through unique opportunities, competition & access to new knowledge KEY AREAS for IMPROVEMENT Oversubscription: H2020 has lower success rates than FP7 Support for breakthrough market creating innovation: potential that should be strengthened substantially Outreach and engagement with civil society: Should better explain the impacts of R&I, and involve even more the users & citizens in agenda-setting & implementation

High Level Group – report 'LAB – FAB – APP: Investing in the European future we want' Published on 3 July 2017 during 'Research and Innovation – Shaping our Future' conference in Brussels 11 recommendations Available on High Level Group web page: https://ec.europa.eu/research/evaluations/index_en.cfm?pg=hlg Research and innovation

FORESIGHT - THE BOHEMIA PROJECT TOWARDS FP9: FORESIGHT - THE BOHEMIA PROJECT A strategic foresight study towards the proposal for the next FP R&I. Part of a strategy for engagement and co-design Final Report forthcoming Phase 1: Extensive review of available foresight to produce meta-scenarios relevant for Europe (2016) Phase 2: Delphi survey to gain insights on future technologies, societal issues, and R&I practices based on the scenarios (May – June 2017) Phase 3: Analysis, public consultation and policy recommendations (End of 2017 : final report forthcoming) Key messages from scenarios report R&I investment is key for a strong Europe in turbulent times The acceleration of change and the systemic nature of the challenges require Flexibility for experimentation / learn from the best Connecting disciplines / connecting policies / breaking down the silos Need for options before crises strike Requires direction (to create the conditions for future markets) Requires openness / flexibility (for the markets to emerge) e.g. global cooperation for global markets to solve global problems Appropriate governance involves Openness, inclusiveness and fairness as principles Cities: a key level of governance / reaching for new actors Public engagement and regulation making the difference for Europe Research and innovation

On February 22 2018, Professor Mariana Mazzucato presented her report on missions. The report describes key criteria to select missions and important factors for implementation Call for feedback: https://ec.europa.eu/e usurvey/runner/482a79 de-3fad-17e1-c60d- 2e4418c1a95d

Considerations for missions Selecting missions Implementing missions Bold, inspirational with wide societal relevance A clear direction: targeted, measurable and time-bound Ambitious but realistic research and innovation actions Cross-disciplinary, cross-sectoral and cross-actor innovation Multiple, bottom-up solutions Engagement of diverse national and regional stakeholders Measurement and impact by goals and milestones A portfolio of instruments to foster bottom-up solutions Flexibility, pro-active management and building in-house capabilities

The MFF Consultation: On 10 January 2018, the European Commission launched a series of public consultations clustered by key policy areas, in preparation for the EU's next long-term budget post-2020 (MFF). Citizens, organisations and businesses can give their views online until 8 March 2018. The consultation on EU funds in the area of investment, research & innovation, SMEs and single market can be found here: https://ec.europa.eu/info/consultations/public-consultation-eu- funds-area-investment-research-innovation-smes-and-single- market_en.

Thank you for your attention! http://ec.europa.eu/research/foresight/