Here Be Dragons... 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Beyond Distance Research Alliance University of Leicester, UK Collaborative Strategic Foresight CALF Project in collaboration with ELKS 29 June 2011 Dr. Sandra Romenska Beyond Distance Research Alliance University of Leicester, UK sandra.romenska@le.ac.uk http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Here_be_dragons http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carta_marina 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Expected Outcomes Outline key ideas from strategy theory, cognitive theories for foresight, employability. Adapt and reuse the ideas and principles of a model for student engagement in collaborative workshops for strategic foresight Have f*n. 12/11/2018 Romenska

The Creating Academic Learning Futures Project (CALF) AIM To involve students in creating and exploring a variety of plausible ‘alternative futures’ for learning and teaching in higher education. To inform teachers, managers and policy-makers of the “student voice” for the future of learning. http://www.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/calf/

What is Foresight? 12/11/2018

Why think about the Future? Selective advantage The Prospective Brain Hypothesis (Schacter et al. 2007) Episodic memory Future planning- Chronesthesia Goal-directed actions

Learning Futures Approach 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Learning Futures Model “The brain combines incoming information with stored information to build “mental representations,” or internal models, of the external world. The mental representation of a past event is a memory. the mental representation of a present event is a perception. the mental representation of a future event is a simulation.” Gilbert et al. (2007) Prospection: Experiencing the Future, Science V. 317, N. 1351 12/11/2018 S.Romenska

What is a strategy? Strategy = method, plan, guidance, pattern choices and actions for achieving goals in a particular situation 25/03/2010

Why use the Learning Futures Model Ideas?

THEN NOW Year 1530 books writing; author; “The multitude of …. is a great evil. There is no limit to this fever for ….. writing; every one must be an …. author; some out of vanity, to acquire celebrity and raise up a name, others for the sake of mere gain.” Martin Luther 12/11/2018

Why use the Learning Futures Model Ideas? Emphasis on planning from the future. Focus on the long-term preferred future. Explicit discussion of pedagogic vision, values and institutional mission. Examination of a range of possible futures in creative dialogues fostered by the Learning Futures model that can generate new ideas. A platform for examining resources that may become available in the future for teaching and learning. The model ensures stakeholder participation and empowerment.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/7458479.stm

What If…. Human History into 1 Year 15.5 billion year life-span Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 12/11/2018

What If…. Human History into 1 Year 15.5 billion year life-span Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Dinosaurs appear around Christmas time…. 12/11/2018

What If…. Human History into 1 Year Humans appear at 22:30 New Year’s Eve Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec All of human history on record happens during the last TEN SECONDS of the year.

Change is Happening Faster —37, 000 years ago Cro-magnon Man user of language; —6,000 Sumerian clay tablets; —3,000 years ago, the Greek alphabet arrived; —500 years ago, the printing press; —160 years ago, the telegraph; —119 years ago, the telephone; —50 years ago, + / - television; —cable television, — ENIAC, first general-purpose electronic computer —the Internet; —cellular telephones …………………… list goes on 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Change is Happening Faster… 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Does this look familiar? 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

And now? 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Implications for students employability The speed of innovation entails dealing with: Rapid change; New opportunities; Opaque others; Pronounced differences; Pervasive technologies; Abundant information; Instant communication; 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Implications for students employability “To succeed in a chaotic environment, graduates will need to be intellectually resilient, cross-culturally and scientifically literate, technologically adept, ethically anchored, and fully prepared for a future of continuous and cross-disciplinary learning” (The National Leadership Council for Liberal Education and America's Promise, 2007, P.15) 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Employability skills CALF workshops can develop Knowledge and skills necessary for developing successful strategies and future scenarios, target-setting and planning for future employment.   Improved skills for independent and group problem-solving and decision-making. Improved self-presentation and communication skills. Improved skills for multi-tasking, time-management and prioritising. 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Employability skills CALF workshops can develop Improved skills for identifying and validating sources of information.   Improved networking and team-working skills. Improved skills for communicating ideas effectively, using a variety of media in diverse settings, making effective presentations, including impromptu presentations. 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

How can you adapt the CALF model

Structure Inspire Challenge Create and collaborate Present Discuss 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

TASK 1 – Choose a theme Salmon & Romenska 25/03/2010

Ask questions : “What will happen next”? TASK 2 – think OF A story Ask questions : “What will happen next”? Salmon & Romenska 25/03/2010

TASK 3: Add context, INSIGHT AND HINDSIGHt STEEPLE: Social Technological Economic Environment (natural) Political Legal Ethical Salmon & Romenska 25/03/2010

Task 4 – involvement: Actors, stakeholders and agency Salmon & Romenska 25/03/2010

TASK 5 – action points Salmon & Romenska 25/03/2010

TASK 6 – present Salmon & Romenska 25/03/2010

Can you tell a Red Herring from a Cloud? CALF Activity 1 Can you tell a Red Herring from a Cloud? Foreshadowing is a technique used by authors to provide clues for the reader to be able to predict what might occur later in the story. Red Herrings A hint that is designed to mislead the ‘audience’ is referred to as a red herring. An example of foreshadowing is the self-fulfilling prophecy - that directly or indirectly causes itself to become true

Red herrings for learning “Content is King” “Everything you need for e-learning in one box…” “Build it and they will come…” . 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Indistinctly prophetic…. “E-learning makes e-mail look like a rounding error” “Everyone knows how to learn with technology” “Classrooms are for kids” “Online no one knows you’re a dog” 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Warm up 1. What if ... you had no training rooms? 2. What if ... everyone went to university before working? 3. What if… the days allocated by organisations for employees training are reduced by two-thirds? 4. What if… the budget for training in your organisation is reduced by two-thirds? 5. What if ...all the resources you needed to train at DWP was were openly published on the web? 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Warm up: What if? 6. What if ...all formal exams and tests were banned? 7. What if… everyone working for DWP owned an iphone? 8. What if...there was no paper in the world 9. What if the internet/web crashed/melted down... 10. What if… all the training in your organisation is delivered using internal shared resources? 11. What if… all the training in your organisation was outsourced? 12. What if… the volume of learning in your organisation needs to increase threefold? 13. What if … the content of what employees need to know for their job changes every 2 months? 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

The Tools…. 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

PUBLISHING TOOLS….

There is no right or wrong way…

WIKIS

www.wordle.net

WHAT ARE GOOGLE DOCS? Software like Microsoft Office, with some unique features. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eRqUE6IHTEA

Basic Functions Document = Word Presentation = Power Point                            Presentation = Power Point Spreadsheet = Excel                 Forms populate a spreadsheet Google Docs applications are more basic. Toolbars and button functions are similar and familiar 44

Must Have Three Things Internet access Email account Google account (attached to the email address you chose)

"Create a future" Google-opoly

"Create a future" Google-opoly A competitive game, set up in Google Maps The participants are divided into groups and given locations on a Google Map prepared in advance. At each location on the map the participants have to solve a challenge which would give them an answer to one of the questions above, in this way gradually constructing a scenario narrative. The workshops conclude with presentations by each group of participants of their scenarios and a discussion. Participants discuss the application of digital and web technologies and possible ways in which they could change the future of learning and are encouraged to think about the likelihood of future scenarios. 12/11/2018 Salmon & Romenska

Your turn

Let’s create a Googleopoly…. http://bit.ly/f9MPR1 12/11/2018

Present and discuss 12/11/2018

Thanks for taking part! Never doubt the power of a small group of people to change the world. Nothing else ever has. Margaret Mead Thanks for taking part! Every society honors its live conformists and its dead troublemakers." Mignon McLaughlin No budgets or humans were harmed in the making of this presentation 12/11/2018