Nicholas Negroponte A 30-year History Of The Future IE 472 Tuğba Kıvılcım Murat Can

Nicholas Negroponte Founder MIT Media Lab 14 TED Talks 30 year Real accurate predictions about technology

Categories Years 1965 computer aided design 1970 Interface 1980 New media 1990 Telecommunications 1995 Bits & atoms 2000 Learning 2015 Connecting last billion Question; When was first computer invented?

1960 Computation Timesharing Articial intelligence Computer aided design Robotics Built robotic things that could build habitat-like structures.

1970 Interface Fingers Voice & gesture Display Wearbles “We picked fingers because everybody thought it was ridiculous,” says Negroponte. “They were low- resolution, there was concern that the hand would occlude what you want to see, and that the finger would get the screen dirty.” Question ; Guess what happened after 30 years ?

1978 The U.S. government asked some of MIT Media Lab, '76, if we could replicate that computationally, and of course somebody like Negroponte says yes. Question ; Guess what happened after this truck ?

Many years later, you get this truck, and so you have Google Maps

1980 1990 New media The medium is not the message The daily me eBooks 1980 1990 New media The medium is not the message The daily me eBooks Digital and interactive TV Telecommunications Trading places Bandwidth compression Computation as bandwidth The intelligence, instead of being in the device "Being Digital" came out

As recently as 1995, Negroponte was called crazy for predicting “that we’ll soon buy books and newspapers straight over the internet.” (By Clifford Stoll!) He says, “That gives me great pleasure.”

2000 Learning Constructionism 2B1 – satellites One Laptop per Child Where there are no schools

“Learning is best approximated by computer programming,” he says “Learning is best approximated by computer programming,” he says. “When you write a program—and all programs have bugs—you have to debug it. And you iterate. That iteration is a good approximation of learning.”

Starting of One Laptop per Child He brings up 1 Laptop Per Child, the 3 million laptops 40 countries a cost of $1 billion

One Laptop Per Child Guess, How Many Apps They Can Learn in 5 days? “We dropped off tablets with no instructions and let the children figure it out,” he says.

“They were using 50 apps in five days “They were using 50 apps in five days. They were singing the alphabet songs in two weeks. And they’d hacked Android within 6 months.”

What is going to happen? Challenge is to connect the last billion people Connecting the last billion is very different than connecting the next billion The reason it's different is that the next billion are sort of low-hanging fruit, but the last billion are rural One Laptop per Child, and the experiment in Ethiopia, lead to believe that it can be in fact do this in a very short period of time For two billion dollars It can connect a lot more than 100 million people Two billion dollars is spending in Afghanistan every week

Final Prediction… “My prediction is that we are going to ingest information—we’re going to swallow a pill and know English ‘’ It sounds shocking now, but will it in 30 years?