December 7, 2016 “The Remaking of Financial Services” William Spiegel, Co-President, Pine Brook.

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Presentation transcript:

December 7, 2016 “The Remaking of Financial Services” William Spiegel, Co-President, Pine Brook

What to Listen for Today 1. Investment opportunities driven by dislocations across the value chain 2. Today, the entire value chain is being reinvented 3. Expertise is critical to navigate complexity and change

Financial Services Investment Strategy Business Building and Growth Equity Investing Based on Large and Long- Lasting Dislocations

Dislocations Occur Across the Financial Services Value Chain Origination Underwriting Servicing Capital

In the post-crisis and technologically driven world, dislocations are occurring across the value chain, creating opportunities to remake financial services.

Today, Investments Are Driven by Multiple Dislocations Regulation Low Interest Rates Data and Technology Innovations

Regulation Creates Opportunity Low Interest Rates Data and Technology Innovations Impact Opportunity Increased capital requirements for certain product lines, removing capital from the system Create lending and insurance companies that serve undercapitalized markets

Regulation Has Removed Capital from Certain Sectors Regulations Impact of Regulation Solvency II CARD Act Dodd-Frank Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) Risk Retention Basel III Increased capital requirements + Increased compliance costs Removed capital from certain sectors

Bank Regulations Increased Capital, Reducing ROE Tier 1 Leverage Capital to Total Loans Historical Return on Equity 28% Decrease from 2005 Trough to Peak Increase of 41% Source: FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile.

Regulation Reduced Capital to Certain Sectors Near-Prime Credit Card Outstanding Balances ($ bn) U.K. Non-Conforming Annual Mortgage Originations (£ bn) Peak to Trough Decrease of 26% Peak to 2015 Decrease of 87% // Sources: Left: TransUnion. Right: Bank of England, Oliver Wyman and Deutsche Bank estimates.

Pine Brook Created Lending and Insurance Companies Serving Undercapitalized Markets Company Description Thesis U.K. Specialty Mortgage Originator Lack of credit to U.K. non-prime borrowers Near-Prime Credit Card Lack of credit to near-prime consumers Life and Annuity Provider High capital requirements forced divestiture of business Small Business Lender Lack of credit to small businesses U.K. Subprime Lender Lack of credit to U.K. subprime consumers

Low Interest Rates Create Opportunities Regulation Low Interest Rates Data and Technology Innovations Impact Opportunity Low interest rates have reduced profitability Investors searching for yield Create lending and insurance companies with niche operating strategies Create companies focusing on use of third-party capital

Low Interest Rates Reduce Investor Returns U.S. 2-Year Treasury Rates Peak to Trough Decrease of 96% QE was a major monetary stimulus that was aimed at driving interest rates very low to stimulate borrowing The 2 year and 10 year treasury yields have fallen significantly from their pre crisis levels US, Germany, Japan, etc. 4 charts Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Low Interest Rates Reduce Banking Profitability Net Interest Margin Return on Equity 28% Decrease from 2005 Peak to Trough Decrease of 18% Insurance companies, like all financial services company are pools of capital. They make money by getting a return on their underwriting and by investing Insurance companies invest their capital and their reserves. And historically they have made a lot of their return by investing in short dated safe bonds With the decline in yields, the importance of investment income to the ROE of an insurance company has fallen dramatically   Source: FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile.

Low Interest Rates Reduce Insurance Profitability Investment Yield Return on Equity Peak to Trough Decrease of 77% Peak to Trough Decrease of 40% Insurance companies, like all financial services company are pools of capital. They make money by getting a return on their underwriting and by investing Insurance companies invest their capital and their reserves. And historically they have made a lot of their return by investing in short dated safe bonds With the decline in yields, the importance of investment income to the ROE of an insurance company has fallen dramatically   Source: Company reports and Aon Benfield Market Analysis.

Pine Brook Created Lending, Insurance and Asset Management Companies Optimized for a Low Interest Rate Environment Company Description Thesis Aircraft Asset Management Substitute balance sheet capital for lower-cost third-party capital Insurance Services Niche operating strategy Specialty P&C Asset Management Increase flows to alternative asset managers Pine Brook’s equity is useful as risk capital to start the business, and once we prove the model we shift the capital burden to third parties for a fee

Data and Technology Innovations Create Opportunities Regulation Low Interest Rates Data and Technology Innovations Impact Opportunity Application of data and technology has improved efficiencies throughout the value chain Incumbents hampered by legacy operating systems Create companies with lower costs of originating, underwriting, servicing and accessing capital Work with best-in-class incumbents that can enhance business model with new technology

Technology Impacting Bank Customer Behavior U.S. Banking Interactions per Year ($ billions) Source: BCG.

Insurance Ripe for Technology Innovation U.S. FinTech Investments by Sector (2014) Total 2014 U.S. FinTech Investment: $10 billion Source: CB Insights and Accenture.

Benefits of Data and Technology Innovations Commentary Enables businesses to identify and reach the right customers more efficiently Improved Origination Enables improved risk selection Enhanced Underwriting Minimizes both loss and operating costs Efficient Servicing Tech enabled businesses that allow us when we identify a dislocation to get into business quicker, faster, cheaper. By the way you’re going to hear about how we’re doing that with Fair Square and Better panel Provides access to lower-cost and broader pools of capital Broader Access to Capital

Pine Brook Has Created Companies with Lower Costs of Originating, Underwriting, Servicing and Accessing Capital Company Description Thesis U.K. Specialty Mortgage Originator Tech and data-enabled origination, underwriting and servicing Tech-Enabled Mortgage Originator Consumer Unsecured Lender Small Business Lender

Dislocations Have Created Investment Opportunities Fund II Companies Regulation Low Interest Rates Data & Technology Innovations Amedeo Aircraft Asset Management Belmont Green U.K. Specialty Mortgage Originator Better Mortgage Prime Mortgage Originator Clear Blue Insurance Services Fair Square Consumer Unsecured Lender Fidelis Insurance Specialty P&C Global Atlantic Life and Annuity Provider Strategic Funding Small Business Lender The Car Finance Company U.K. Subprime Lender Tunbridge Partners Asset Management Vibe Management (Syndicate) Lloyd’s P&C Reinsurance