Receptivity is expressed by the vectorial capacity index and is calculated following the mathematical formula: ma2pn/-lnp (m, a, p, n are described in.

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Presentation transcript:

Receptivity is expressed by the vectorial capacity index and is calculated following the mathematical formula: ma2pn/-lnp (m, a, p, n are described in the Figure 2). It refers to the expected quantum of new inoculations of man per infective malaria case per day that the mosquito population would distribute to man considering that all vector females biting the malaria case become infected and transmit. Infectivity (b) is the degree of susceptibility of an Anopheles species (or population) to different Plasmodium species (or strains).   Vulnerability is the number of malaria cases or, more precisely, gametocyte carriers, imported in the area. Entomological risk is defined, in this article, as the product of receptivity and infectivity (receptivity*infectivity). Hence, it refers to the expected quantum of new inoculations of man per infective malaria case per day that the mosquito population would distribute to man. Malariogenic potential is the risk estimate of malaria re-emergence and is determined by three factors: receptivity, infectivity and vulnerability. It is usually assessed in a semi-qualitative and relative way. R0 (Basic reproductive rate) is the total number of malaria cases derived from one infective case that the mosquito population would distribute to man in the absence of immunity. It is the product of the vectorial capacity, the susceptibility and the human recovery rate (1/r), and is calculated with the following mathematical formula: (ma2pn/-lnp) * b * 1/r, where 1/r is the length in days during which humans are infectious. R0 must equal at least 1 for disease persistence and increase. For values less than 1, the disease is supposed to decrease.