Housing Policy in Ireland

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Presentation transcript:

Housing Policy in Ireland David Duffy, Director Property Industry Ireland

Property Industry Ireland Through evidence-based research, we inform and influence property strategy in Ireland. Our mission is to create a sustainable property industry for the benefit of the people of Ireland. POLICY COMMITTEES: Market Supply and Demand Funding Initiatives Construction and Technical Issues Planning and Development

PII MEMBERSHIP COMPOSITION

OECD (2011) Housing policy is important “Badly designed housing policies played an important role in triggering the recent economic and financial crisis” Government intervention in the housing market Enhance peoples housing opportunities and ensure equitable access to housing Fiscal (taxes and subsidies), provision of social housing, rental allowances, regulation

Institutional Investors Planning Mortgages Development finance Regulation Local Auth. Banks Central Bank RTB FTBS Movers NAMA Housing Agency Housing Policy Owner-occupiers Government Govt. as a consumer Policy: Govt. depts. Social Rental market Homelessness Infrastructure Investors Private Long term Short term Institutional Investors Builders

Action Plan for Housing and Homelessness Published July 2016 Five key areas: Address homelessness 21 Action points Accelerate social housing 24 Action points Build more homes 12 Action points Improve the rental sector 13 Action points Utilise existing stock 14 Action points Timelines given and responsible depts./agencies identified

Housing policy Now have a Minister for Housing Housing Delivery Office Positive development Consultation between policy makers that impact on the housing market FTB “Help-to-Buy” Scheme discussed with CBI Housing Delivery Office Statistics and data very important Make policy on the basis of evidence Extra data welcome addition from CSO

Macro-prudential Measures Necessary but… Duffy, Foley, McInerney and McQuinn (2016) find that over the longer term: House prices lower than they otherwise would have been This impacts on the viability of housing construction Lower levels of housing completions relative to baseline McQuinn and Cronin (2016) find that rents are higher for a given price level Policies have implications for the broader housing market

Budget 2017 FTB Help to Buy Scheme Other measures include: Aimed at new build homes Uncertainty about ability of FTB to realise demand has adversely affected supply Measure should alleviate this Supply will need to respond Other measures include: Extension of mortgage interest relief increase in mortgage interest deductibility for landlords increase in rent a room relief Living city initiative extended to landlords Home renovation scheme extension

Still a mis-match between prices and costs Need to understand the micro-detail of what contributes to costs: When bought land Length of planning process How is development being financed/source of finance The cost of finance

Housing Priorities need to continue to focus on: Ensuring a supply of quality, affordable housing Funding infrastructure to connect communities and unlock development potential Reforming planning to bring new viable housing to occupancy

Results in better visibility of future risks PII perspective No single reform Need for ongoing engagement between all actors to understand the micro-detail of supply and demand Whole-of-government approach needed Consider how policies impact on all segments of the market Policy needs to consider the long run Results in better visibility of future risks

Housing Policy in Ireland David Duffy, Director Property Industry Ireland www.propertyindustry.ie info@propertyindustry.ie