Splash Screen. Then/Now You displayed results from studies. Classify and analyze samples. Classify and analyze studies.

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Presentation transcript:

Splash Screen

Then/Now You displayed results from studies. Classify and analyze samples. Classify and analyze studies.

Population: All the members of a group of interest Sample: A subset used to represent the population Bias: An error that results in a misrepresentation of the population

There are a few ways to create a sample –Simple random sample: Every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected –Systematic sample: Members are selected according to a specific interval (ex: every 3 rd student) –Self-selected sample: Members volunteer to be selected –Convenience sample: Members that are easy to find are selected (ex: students on a bus) –Stratified sample: A population is divided into groups first (ex: freshman, sophomores, juniors, seniors), then members are randomly selected from each group.

Example 1 Classify a Random Sample A. MOVIES Every fifth person walking out of a movie theater is asked to name their favorite type of movie. Identify the sample, and suggest a population from which it is selected. Answer:Sample: every fifth person leaving the theater; population: all moviegoers

Example 1 B. MOVIES Every fifth person walking out of a movie theater is asked to name their favorite type of movie. Classify the sample as simple, systematic, self- selected, convenience, or stratified. Explain your reasoning. Answer: Systematic; members are selected according to a specified interval. Classify a Random Sample

Example 1 A.Sample: people who complete the questionnaire; Population: people who surf the Web; Self-selected: volunteered to be included B.Sample: people who complete the questionnaire; Population: people who visit the Web site; Convenience: volunteered to be included C.Sample: people who complete the questionnaire; Population: people who visit the Web site; Self-selected: volunteered to be included D.Sample: people who complete the questionnaire; Population: people who surf the Web; Convenience: volunteered to be included WEBSITES Visitors to a Web site are asked to complete a questionnaire about their favorites aspects of the site and what could be done to improve it. Identify the sample, and suggest a population from which it is selected. Classify the sample as simple, systematic, self-selected, convenience, or stratified. Explain your reasoning.

Example 2 Biased and Unbiased Samples A. STUDENT COUNCIL The student council surveys the students in one classroom to decide the theme for the spring dance. Identify the sample as biased or unbiased. Explain your reasoning. Answer: The sample is biased because the participants are not randomly selected. The sample is selected in one classroom.

Example 2 B. SCHOOL The Parent Association surveys the parents of every fifth student on the school roster to decide whether to hold a fundraiser. Identify the sample as biased or unbiased. Explain your reasoning. Answer: Unbiased; the parents are picked randomly, and all have an equal chance of being picked. Biased and Unbiased Samples

Example 2 A.The sample is unbiased because it represents the population. B.Biased: everyone in the sample is related to one of the employees of the company and underrepresenting the population. C.The sample is biased because the company is using children to test the product. D.The sample is unbiased because it underrepresents the population. ELECTRONICS An electronics company uses a randomly selected group its employees’ children to test a new product. Identify the sample as biased or unbiased. Explain your reasoning.

Concept

Example 3 Classify Study Techniques A. RETAIL A retailer wants to evaluate their performance in customer service. They contact 1000 random customers asking if they would complete an evaluation form. Determine whether this situation describes a survey, an observational study, or an experiment. Explain your reasoning. Answer:Survey; the data are gathered from responses given by members of the sample.

Example 3 B. VITAMINS Researchers analyze the reactions of rats to a vitamin. Determine whether this situation describes a survey, an observational study, or an experiment. Explain your reasoning. Answer:Experiment; rats that did not get the vitamin are the control group and rats that got the vitamin are the experimental group. Classify Study Techniques

Example 3 A.Observational Study: The members of the sample are measured or observed without being affected by the study. B.Experiment: The members of the sample are measured or observed without being affected by the study. C.Observational Study: The members of the sample are affected by the study. D.Experiment: The members of the sample are affected by the study. TELEVISION Researchers analyze the reactions of people to a new type of television screen. Is this a survey, an observational study, or an experiment? Explain your reasoning

Example 4 Biased and Unbiased Survey Questions Questions can introduce bias. Questions should not: Be confusing Encourage members to answer a certain way Cause a strong reaction Address more than one issue A. Identify each survey question as biased or unbiased. If biased, explain your reasoning. How often do you exercise? Answer:This question is unbiased. It does not encourage participants to answer a certain way, and it is clearly stated.

Example 4 B. Identify each survey question as biased or unbiased. If biased, explain your reasoning. Do you like basketball? If so, do you prefer watching high school, college, or professional? Answer:Biased; the question addresses more than one issue. Biased and Unbiased Survey Questions

Example 4 A.biased; the question encourages the members of the sample to answer a certain way B.biased; the question is confusing C.biased; the question causes a strong reaction D.unbiased Identify the survey question as biased or unbiased. If biased, explain your reasoning. Should the school district offer college courses to qualified high school students for free?

Example 5 Biased and Unbiased Experimental Designs Bias can also be introduced into an experiment. To avoid this, members from each group should be randomly selected. Also, the only difference between the two groups should be the change being observed. BASEBALL A baseball bat manufacturer wants to test a new grip on their bats. They select 75 high school baseball players to try out the bat with the new grips and 75 other players to try out the old grips. Identify the experiment as biased or unbiased. If biased, explain your reasoning. Answer:Biased; members of the control group and the experimental group are not randomly selected.

Example 5 A.unbiased B.biased; the men are not randomly chosen C.biased; the drug is not the only difference between the groups D.biased; the men in the sample should already be bald DRUGS A research team wants to test a new anti- balding drug. They select 50 randomly chosen men to try the drug and give 50 other randomly chosen balding men a placebo. Identify the experiment as biased or unbiased

Assignment –Page 751 –Problems 1 – 29, odds