Enron’s Vision for Oman Prepared by Enron Middle East January 19, 2001.

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Presentation transcript:

Enron’s Vision for Oman Prepared by Enron Middle East January 19, 2001

2 Contents Country Highlights Government Focus Areas Value of Oman to Enron (i.e., why Oman) Enron activities to date in Oman Current development activities: – Al-Assema Gas Marketing – Gas pipeline operations bid $1 million bid bond due 29 January – Oman to UAE pipeline Appendix

3 Country Highlights Strategic location outside the Arabian Gulf with direct access to the Indian Ocean Culturally different from other Gulf Cooperation Council countries – Traditionally a sea-faring nation founded on trade with India and Africa – Physically closer to India than to Kuwait E-Rating:4 Energy policy and operations strongly influenced by Royal Dutch/Shell OMAN

4 Oman Government’s Commercial Focus Expand trading/investment activities with multiple international companies Expansion of LNG market; third baseload train and spot/short-term merchant trade Strengthen economic ties with GCC neighbors (e.g., UAE/Qatar via Dolphin) Reduce influence of Shell on oil and gas policy – Shell owns 34% of the national oil company Petroleum Development Oman (PDO) and 30% of Oman LNG – Closer Enron relationships viewed favorably by Government

5 Value of Oman to Enron Most attractive Middle East source of LNG – Desire to expand capacity and sales aggressively – More flexible thinking, better marketing vision and more risk tolerance than other suppliers in region Potential for trade in other EGM products – Looking for marketing partner to counterbalance traditional oil company domination – Open to consider and employ risk management products Interest in developing market-based gas distribution systems Future growth market for Dolphin

6 Enron’s Activities To Date in Oman Dabhol LNG contract (1.6 mmtpa FOB, commencing 2002) LNG merchant deals – Master spot agreement signed in May 2000 – First spot cargo (3 bcf) to Lake Charles, June 2000 – Diversion charter agreement for Oman/Korea Gas ship, June 2000 – Purchase/diversion to Lake Charles of Osaka Gas Omani cargo, February 2001 – Six cargos (12 bcf) for the Hoegh Galleon, 3/2001 to 1/2002 Development of Al-Assema Gas Marketing Company Short-listed for gas pipeline O&M/training contract – Bid due January 29 Evaluating the Oman to Dubai gas pipeline for importing Omani gas to UAE (reversed later as part of Dolphin)

7 Al-Assema Gas Marketing Company Background/Update A 60/40 venture between Enron/local Omani company In final negotiations with government on a 25-year Concession and 300 BCF Gas Supply Agreement Negotiating a sell-down of 20% to Oman Oil Company – Recover development costs – Gain strong marketing and energy services support Additional sell-down candidates have been identified Advanced negotiations with 5 initial/anchor customers; four more good prospects in the wings Pre Sell-down Economics Nine initial customers - $9.2MM NPV 14, 34% IRR – Capital cost of $27MM ($19MM debt/$8MM equity); could be reduced to under $18MM if equipment cost is paid by buyers directly NPV 14 per development man/year: $4.5 million NPV of entire gas allocation potentially 4-5 times higher

8

9 Al-Assema: Implementation Plan Milestones/Timeline – Execute Concession and GSAFeb 01 – Sell-down to Oman Oil CompanyJun 01 – Sign 5 anchor customersOct 01 – Financial close (local banks)Nov 01 – Sign next 4 key customersMar 02 – Additional sell-downMar 02 Other Issues Equipment suppliers (e.g., Sumitomo) to lease/sell equipment directly to end-users Financing through local banks with draw-down in phases as customers are signed up Pipeline EPC and O&M to be sourced locally

10 Pipeline Operations Bid: Background In August 2000, the government transferred ownership of its gas pipelines (5,000 km - operated by Shell) to the Oman Gas Company (OGC), a new 100% government- owned company to: – Reduce operations costs – Train Omanis to operate gas systems – Privatize OGC in 3 to 5 years OGC issued a tender for gas pipeline operations and training in November 2000 – 3 to 5 year term (bridge to privatization) – Bids due January 29, 2001 Enron is one of four short-listed groups - others: – BG/Transco (UK) – Enbridge/BC Gas (Canada) – Dodsal (India)

11 Rationale for Bidding Create an Enron presence in the heart of Oman’s gas operations – Participate with high-level Omani management in all major gas decisions – Gain inside knowledge about gas development plans, especially those affecting LNG availability and Dolphin Cover the cost to put Enron (ETS) management and technical representatives on the ground in the region Leverage ETS personnel to support other Enron pipeline activities (Dolphin, Al-Assema, Saudi) Bring home approximately $5 million of pre-tax net income (~$1 million/year)

12 Bidding Strategy Bid lump-sum, fixed price of $9 to $10 million/year for pipeline operations and personnel training – Includes ~$1MM/year pre-tax margin to Enron – Roughly $2MM/year below current charges from Shell ETS currently performing due diligence in Oman to define final numbers 65% Enron / 35% local partner – Special Technical Services Ltd. (STS), the incumbent, low cost subcontractor for pipeline O&M in Oman – Will share bid/performance bond cost and risk – Will provide local manpower and office space at cost Need approval to issue bid bond of approximately $1MM – RAC advises that McConnell can sign DASH to authorize bid bond

13 Sohar Ras Laffan Taweelah Arabian Gulf BVS-7 FromFahud Dubai Oman to UAE Gas Pipeline Proposal Chevron and Oxy are developing gas offshore Sohar and have strong interest in developing a pipeline to Dubai Line could be reversed later to bring Dolphin gas to Oman Possible alternative is to build line to Fujayrah for UOG- sponsored power and water plant Key question: Should Dolphin preempt Chevron/Oxy and build/control the line?

Appendix

15 Background Sultanate of Oman: a monarchy that has existed as an independent state since ousting the Portuguese in 1650 Ruler: Sultan Qaboos bin Sa’id has reigned since 1970 and is progressive and pro-development – Used oil revenues for infrastructure, education, healthcare, etc. – Pushing for diversification from oil and privatization of power, water and gas systems – Established an elected parliament to advise the government Royal Dutch/Shell: dominates the oil and gas sectors – Recognized need to reduce dependence on Shell Currency: Omani Riyal (fixed at 2.60 US$/Riyal since 1986) Enron Country Ranking: 4

16 Relative Country Statistics Oman is about the size of Kansas with a low GDP per capita compared to its richer neighbors, resulting in a focus on maximizing value of natural resources, privatization and open markets, i.e., don’t let Shell run the show

17 Note: Currently exploring possibility of having customers purchase equipment directly from sellers such as Sumitomo.