1 The Disparity Story by the Numbers Shaun Williams-Wyche, Ph.D. Minnesota Office of Higher Education April 28, 2016

2 The Status Quo  Second in the nation in postsecondary attainment 49% of Minnesotans age 25 and older have an associate degree or higher  Minnesotans of color have lower attainment rates Significant educational gaps exist by race/ethnicity with regard to: High school graduation College readiness Postsecondary enrollment/mismatch Postsecondary retention/completion

3 High School Students of Color Graduated in 4 Years at Lower Rates, 2015

4 College Enrollment Has Increased over Time but Enrollment Gaps Exist

5 Students of color and non-English speakers enroll in developmental education at higher rates

6 Students of color are concentrated at two- year institutions, Fall 2014

7 Students of color graduated from college at lower rates, 2013

8 Minnesota’s Communities of Color Are Projected to Grow

9 Within higher education, students of color will become a larger share of undergraduate enrollment in the state.

10 Legislatively Set Attainment Goal  2025 – 70% attainment rates for ages Includes certificate, associate, bachelor level 70% attainment rate for each race/ethnic group Interim benchmarks of 30% and 50% for each race/ethnic group OHE tasked by law to annually report progress (Minnesota Laws 2015 Chapter 69, Article 3, Section 25)

11 Minnesota’s Attainment Goal  Current educational attainment rate for % aged have attained associate or higher We already had certificate completion data, but no current certificate attainment data The State Demographer’s Office, MnSCU, DEED and OHE have established a methodology for estimating postsecondary certificate attainment The mortality of the certificate holders The migration of certificate holders into and out of the state The advancement of certificate holders to higher levels of educational attainment The progression of cohorts into and out of the 25 to 44 age group—the age group specified in Minnesota’s educational attainment goal

12 Minnesota’s Attainment Goal  Current attainment by race Rates vary widely by race/ethnicity By associate degree and higher By certificate attainment and higher

13 Source: US Census Bureau

14 Population Age 25-44, Minnesota, by Basic Race Groups

15 Source: US Census Bureau Population aged with an associate degree or higher

16 Population Age with an Associate Degree or Higher, Minnesota, by Detailed Race Categories Source: US Census Bureau

17 Source: MN State Demographic Center Population Age with a Certificate as their Highest Postsecondary Award, Minnesota by Basic Race and Ethnicity Categories

18 Source: MN State Demographic Center Population Age with a Certificate or Higher Credential, Minnesota by Basic Race and Ethnicity Categories

19 Reaching the 70 Percent Attainment Goal (Associate Degree and Higher) Group (age 25-44) People to attain 70% goal Percentage Points to attain 70% goal ALL 276,50020% American Indian 8,20056% Asian (total) 8,60011% Black (total) 34,50040% Multiracial 5,90027% Other Race 70035% White 177,10016% Hispanic (total) 41,50050% Source: Minnesota Demographic Center

20 Reaching the 70 Percent Attainment Goal (Certificates and Higher) Group (age 25-44) People Ages (Figure 10) Number Holding a Certificate or Higher Degree Percent Holding a Certificate or Higher Degree (Figure 19) Percentage Points to attain 70% goal Population needed to attain 70% goal American Indian 14,5003,10021%49%7,100 Asian 76,50048,00063%7%5,400 Black 85,20030,20035% 29,800 Multiracial 21,90010,90050%20%4,400 White 1,124,000690,10061%9%101,200 Hispanic 82,60019,50024%46%38,000 Unknown 2,000N/A ALL 1,406,700809,20058%12%168,800

21 Setting Targets for Growth  “Attainment Goal Stakeholder Group” is identifying strategies for increasing attainment The primary levers for increasing attainment are to improve: Best-fit postsecondary enrollment College readiness Retention/graduation  Improvements operationalized at both the campus and system levels

22 Research-Based Best Practice Examples  Social and Campus Integration Summer bridge programs  Academic Policies that Promote Completion Proactive advising Appropriately structured developmental education  Alternative Pathways to Completion Expand postsecondary credit options during high school Expand apprenticeship and paid internship related to education programs  Best-fit affordability