Population and Food Production Produced by Common Threads IV - Hungry for Change - OSSTF/FEESO Statistics used in this presentation comes from the following source: Millstone, Erik and Tim Lang. The Atlas of Food. University of California Press, California, 2008: p. 20.

Fill in the remaining numbers below on the graph by estimating the trend of total cereal production from Source: Millstone, Erik and Tim Lang. The Atlas of Food. University of California Press, California, 2008: p. 20.

Based on the numbers you used to complete the chart, what general conclusions and consequences can you infer for the future?

The estimated world population in 2005 was billion people. Using the regions above, estimate how many people lived in each region in 2005 to nearest million people. (that's 6,551 million people in the world!) North America Latin America & Caribbean North Africa Sub- Saharan Africa Europe Western Asia South- Central Asia East and South East Asia Oceania

North America 332 million Latin America & Caribbean 558 million North Africa 190 million Sub-Saharan Africa 769 million Europe 731 million Western Asia 212 million South- Central Asia 1,646 million East and South East Asia 2,080 million Oceania 33 million World’s Population by Region

Population Growth - Percentage Change in Population North Africa 190 million North America 332 million Latin America & Caribbean 558 million Sub- Saharan Africa 769 million Europe 731 million Western Asia 212 million South-Central Asia 1,646 million Oceania 33 million East and South East Asia 2,080 million Looking at the population growth figures, make predictions about which areas of the world are going to face pressure on their resources in the future % or more growth from % or more growth from under 100% growth from

Cereal Production - Regional Distribution 2005 North America 442m tonnes Latin America & Caribbean 160m tonnes North Africa 36m tonnes Europe 470m tonnes Western Asia 73m tonnes Sub-Saharan Africa 92m tonnes East and SE Asia 624m tonnes South- Central Asia 313m tonnes Oceania 36m tonnes 200% or more 140% - 199% Percentage change Look at the overall cereal production in 2005, and how much production of cereals has increased in each region since

Four Factors to Compare.... a) Population as of 2005 b) Population increase patterns over the last half century c) Cereal (food) production as of 2005 d) Cereal production increase patterns over the last half century Considering the above statistics and patterns, what issues may arise over the next 50 years when it comes to food and food distribution in various regions around the world??? Fill in your "Food Production and Speculation Matrix" as we go

Food Production and Population Speculation Matrix Production vs Population North America Europe Oceania Ability to Trade Surplus Food Need to Trade to Get More Food - has enough food for population, will have enough over long term based on population growth - no pressure to obtain food from other sources - food production patterns show that they will likely have surplus food to trade for other goods

Food Production and Population Speculation Matrix Production vs Population Ability to Trade Surplus Food Need to Trade to Get More Food Latin America and Caribbean North Africa East and South East Asia

Food Production and Population Speculation Matrix Production vs Population Ability to Trade Surplus Food Need to Trade to Get More Food Sub- Saharan Africa Western Asia South Asia

Based on your analysis, fit the regions of the world in the appropriate category... Secure: Food production vs Population is sustainable Challenges: Food production vs Population will face sustainability challenges Crisis: Food production vs Population is near or at a crisis situation North America Latin America & Caribbean Europe North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa South-Central Asia East and South East Asia Oceania Western Asia

Is there enough food??? It has been argued that there is enough food produced in the world for its current population. Yet, chronic malnutrition is epidemic in many parts of the world. On the next slide, redistribute the food production (cereal) in the world to the global population so that everyone has an equal amount of food AND it is enough to meet basic needs. **The numbers used in this exercise are approximate values based on 2005 statistics** According to the Canada's Food Guide to Healthy Eating, the average adult would need 75kg of cereals and grains per year to meet a healthy, minimal diet.

Using the population figures from earlier, how much cereal would be needed annually to meet the needs stated in Canada's Food Guide (based on 2005): 1,000kg = 1 metric tonne Region Population Cereal Need per Person Cereal Need (in millions of tonnes) North America 332 million 75kg Latin America & Caribbean Europe North Africa Sub-Sarharan Africa Western Asia South Asia East & SE Asia Oceania 558 million 731 million 190 million 769 million 212 million 1,646 million 2,080 million 33 million kg

500 mt 10 mt 100 mt 10 mt 1 mt 5 mt 50 mt 10 mt 1 mt 100 mt 10 mt 1 mt 100 mt 10 mt 1 mt 50 mt 10 mt 1 mt 100 mt 10 mt 50 mt 10 mt 5 mt 1 mt 10 mt 100 mt 10 mt Sub-Saharan Africa - 92 m tonnes North America m tonnes Latin America & Caribbean m tonnes Europe m tonnes North Africa - 36 m tonnes Western Asia - 73 m tonnes South Asia m tonnes East & SE Asia m tonnes Oceania - 36 m tonnes 1 mt Redistribute the food production to meet the minimum needs that you calculated on your chart: Remaining Food (if any) - Place along the bottom of your map

Based on your work redistributing the cereal food production of the world... A) What conclusions can be drawn from the exercise about food production and distribution in the world? B) What factors may influence the lower production of food in areas of high population (i.e., South-Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa)? C) What role may agricultural technologies and access to those technologies have on the food production and distribution issue? Video Resource on Agricultural Production World Population - 7:31 Illustration of the growth of the world's population over time.

Active Citizenship: INVESTIGATE some organizations and charitable groups that work to improve farming technology and greater equality in food distribution around the world. PARTICIPATE in an awareness campaign or lobbying your political leaders to address the issue of unequal food distribution and supporting the improvement of farming technologies in poorer nations. DEBATE the issue of food distribution and trade in the world by discussing the solutions and greater challenges to these issues.