Utah’s Energy and Mineral Position in a Resource Constrained World Presented by David Tabet Energy and Minerals Program Manager of the Utah Geological Survey To the Sutherland Institute April 22, 2008

Utah Geological Survey Mission Provide timely scientific information about Utah’s geologic environment, resources and hazards (UGS does research, not regulation). Strong emphasis on outreach. The UGS is committed to cooperation with local, state and federal agencies, universities, industry, and private groups to promote economic development and public safety in Utah. Want to help decision makers and the public be more knowledgeable about natural-resource issues facing the state.

UGS Energy Statistics (web data on production, prices, consumption)

UGS Goals Identify, inventory, assess and encourage prudent development of Utah’s mineral, energy, ground-water, and paleontological resources. Identify, inventory, assess, and mitigate Utah’s geologic hazards and subsurface environmental hazards to promote safe and responsible land use. Serve as a repository of geologic samples and data for Utah. Provide accurate and timely geologic, topographic, and energy information and advice to government, industry, educators, and the public. Prepare, publish, and distribute maps and reports on the geology of the state.

Natural Resources Facing Higher Demand from China (and India) “Chinese companies and their rivals are scouring the globe from Australia to Africa for access to the raw materials needed to sustain the Asian nation’s growth as commodity prices surge.” --June 23, 2006 (Bloomberg)

$ millions 2003 GDP – $1.4 trillion 1998 GDP – $0.6 trillion Rapid Chinese GDP Growth Thru 1990s

Oil Supply & Demand - China Net Importer as of mid-1990s

Coal Supply & Demand - China Note: in 2008 demand passed production capacity

Copper Supply & Demand - China

Imports of Iron Ore Sources: U.S. Geological Survey Minerals Yearbook; United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. China now the #1 importer of iron ore.

US Exports of Molybdenum to China and India

Utah is resource-rich (natural resources a strong economic contributor) Natural gas, copper, and molybdenum dominant 7% of Utah GDP; > 55% of export values.

Utah’s Oil Supply & Demand Consumption Production

Utah’s Natural Gas Supply & Demand

Utah’s Coal Supply & Demand

Utah’s Conventional Energy Reserves (2006 leased and proven quantities; from EIA)

Utah’s Oil and Gas Fields 2007 Production 19.5 million bbls oil 385 billion cu. ft. gas

Utah’s Oil and Gas Conflicts BLM WSAs Nat’l. Park & Rec. Areas Oil shale resources Tar sand resources Coal resources

Location of Utah’s Coal Resources Known minable resources about 14.8 billion tons in beds >4 ft thick, and shallower than 3000 ft

Conflicts with Utah’s Coal Resources National Parks and Monuments Wilderness Study Areas Oil and gas fields Tar sand deposits

Location of Utah’s Uranium Resources Shootaring Mill White Mesa Mill Know minable resources about 13 million tons at % U 3 O 8

Conflicts with Utah’s Uranium Resources National Parks and Monuments Wilderness Study Areas Oil and gas fields Wilderness Areas

Utah’s Oil Shale Resources 158-billion-barrel in-ground resource

Oil Shale Conflicts with Other Resources

Utah’s Resource Wealth Includes: Base and precious metals Beryllium Limestone and gypsum Saline resources Potash and phosphate (all are affected by similar types of conflicts)

Tough management decision face development of Utah energy and mineral resources! Utah’s energy and mineral future