The Vindication of Don Quijote: The impact of noise and visual pollution from wind turbines Cathrine Ulla Jensen, IFRO Thomas Hedemark Lundhede, IFRO Toke.

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Presentation transcript:

The Vindication of Don Quijote: The impact of noise and visual pollution from wind turbines Cathrine Ulla Jensen, IFRO Thomas Hedemark Lundhede, IFRO Toke Emil Panduro, IFRO

Some of the things we have worked on A lot of experince with hedonic house price modelling –Several projects with the Ministry of Environment “Byliv, der betaler sig” –The Danish Economic Counsels - noise and green space –Published and article to be published –Working on spatial sorting models Department Food and Resource Economics Climate adaptation The value of parks Cost of windturbines Urban characteristics

Literature Stated preference studies – choice experiments –Positive towards windpower (Borchers, Duke, & Parsons, 2007) –Noise and visual pullution (Ladenburg, 2009; Ladenburg & Möller, 2011; Meyerhoff, Ohl, & Hartje, 2010) Few hedonic studies –(Heintzelman & Tuttle, 2012; Hoen, Wiser, Cappers, Thayer, & Sethi, 2011; Sally Sims & Dent, 2007; Sally Sims, Dent, & Oskrochi, 2008) Too few observations, too little variation Only straight line calculations

The House Price Function Properties are heterogeneous goods Structural (S), Neighborhood & Environment (Q) Assumptions: The house price is generated from a marked in equilibrium Households utility maximize House price variables are continues and independent of other house price variables The implicit prices from the house price function reflect the value households obtain by consuming each house characteristic

Data Sales prices Construction variables Neighborhood variables Environmental variables Value of externality Socio-economic data – It is possible.

Suvey area 24 spatially detached sub- survey areas Each sub survey area are 2,500 meter in radius 647 km 2 20 municipalities 55,864 houses Selection criteria: As many transactions as possible within 600 meter

Visual pollution The area appear more developed and less rural or less authentic Degraded a scenic view. Movement in the landscape Less tranquility and peacefulness Flickers of light shadow- flicker Viewshed based on DSM

Noise pollution Source –wings cut through the air –mechanics of the turbine Tonal and low frequency Calculated in dB –bekendtgørelse om støj fra vindmøller < 20 dB, dB, dB, dB

Hedonic model in two steps The cross-pooled model –Correct for difference in price over municipalities over time Spatial econometric model

Spatial autocorrelation - spatial correlation in the error term Mis-measurement of spatial variables Misspecification of variables Omitted spatial variables The spatial weight matrix define the outline of the unknown spatial processes.

Challenges - spatial econometric model Defining the omitted spatial processes in the spatial weight matrix Data generating process –The total, indirect and direct –You have a benefit of my additional bathroom –Equilibrium model with a ripple effect Assumption: The error term is not correlated with the other repressor's

Results VariableOLSSEMSARAR View (0.0134) *** (0.0172) (0.0154) ** View*distance 6.99E-05 (8.42E-06) *** 2.42E-05 (1.00E-05) * (1.00E-06) ** 20-29dB (0.0059) *** (0.0102) 7** (0.0080) ** 30-39dB (0.0118) *** (0.0190) ** (0.0151) ** 40-50dB (0.0243) (0.0273) * (0.0243) * λ – error term (0.0120) *** 0,4413 (0,0254) *** ρ – lag term (0.0276) ***

Interpretation Parameter% of the house priceAverage MWTP (EUR) View (dummy)-3.15 %-6,233 View*distance (per 100 meter)0.242% dB (dummy)-3.07%-6, dB (dummy)-5.50 %-10, dB (dummy)-6.69%-13, metes - prices drop between 10.32% and 13.94%.

Conclusion Noise and visual pollution have a considerable impact on surrounding properties We are able to quantify these impacts Estimates could be used in compensation schemes Things to do: –Before after analysis –Accumulation effect –A second stage analysis –Optimal location analysis

Thank you for your attention Toke Emil Panduro Msc, PhD, Postdoc Spatial Environmental Economics Department of Food and Resource Economics Faculty of Sciences, University of Copenhagen Rolighedsvej 23, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C Mobil Mail