Fire Synthesis Effort Fire Synthesis book –Straw man outline –Synthesis components/chapters, ideas—how to convey full range of understanding from pre fire ecology to post fire impacts/policy relevance. –Add names for chapters, add names for coordinators (to crack the whip). Information on field efforts –August inter-project burns –Burn scar/deforestation validation network Products

Rough Outline Introduction Impacts –Atmospheric –Ecological –Human (health, economic) Observations and quantification –Remote sensing –Modeling and prediction Case Studies – Synthesis work Fire Policy review and recommendations

Discussion points Special issue vs book –Special issue is more fluid more editorial control –There are existing book on fire in the tropics –Diverse topics might imply a book (alternative suggestion to pursue an AGU publication) Area of focus (geographic vs “LBA research” or Brazilian research - need to balance Amazon vs Cerrado) Timeline –Submissions by next Science team meeting

Atmospheric Component Paulo Artaxo to lead with Bob Yokelson –Emission factors for deforestation and cerrado fires. –Ozone production downwind of fires –Aerosol emissions, aging and radiative effects –Long range transport of emissions

Ecology Forest Structure (Alencar, Oswaldo, Nepstad, Jon Barlow). Fauna (Jon Barlow?, Curren/Claudio/Oswaldo) Fire & forest/cerrado transition (Heloisa Miranda/Alexandre Santos) Fuel Models/Fire Behavior (E. Alvorado) Fire as an edge effect (Bill Laurance & Ane Alencar)

Human Dimensions Economics of Fire (Larissa Chermont) Prevention and Control (Luciana Miranda Costa—UFPa) Fire use in ProAmbiente (Foster Brown) Social and Environmental Impacts of fire (Maria Del Carmen Vera Diaz)

Remote Sensing –Land cover/land cover change –Combustion material, efficiency, completeness –Active Fires –Burn Scars –Emissions (Morisette to organize)

Modeling & Prediction Hot Pixels (Manoel Cardoso) Water Balance/CARLUC (Paul Lefevre/Nepstad) Landscape models (Ane Alencar) Emissions Modeling (Paulo Artaxo/Doug Morton) Scenarios (Britaldo Soares)

Case Studies - Synthesis Structure: –Organized geographically (biome), or organized chronologically, or ??? –How to convey the scientific, policy, and contextual information from our studies? –Scenarios? Contributions –Alta Floresta (Joao Carvalho) –Roramia (Wilfrid Schroeder, Phil Fearnside) –Paragominas (Ane Alencar) –Santarem (Ane/Wilfrid) –Querencia (Dan Nepstad) –Acre (Elsa Mendoza) –Northern Mato Grosso (Doug Morton)

Tools for Fire Policy: review and recommendations Luciana Miranda Costa? INPE or IBAMA???

Field Campaigns Alta Floresta Querencia Burn Scar Field Validation Network Measurements of absolute emissions factors for deforestation and cerrado fires. Measurements with PTR-MS, FTIR for a whole sweep of trace gases.

Alta Floresta Integration of ground, small tower, airborne in-situ, and satellite measurements: –biomass consumption –smoke products –fire validation Mid-August to Mid-September

Querencia 100 ha, transition forest, understory fire –One site recover (10ha), one reburnt (50h) Data collection –LAI –Gap fraction –Handheld LIDAR –Biomass –Regeneration –Fuel Loads/moisture –Fire Characteristics –Mammals, birds, herps, reptiles –ASTER, Hyperion/ALI, MODIS August 16 th fire—will likely burn for several days

Ground-based Accuracy Assessments for Fire and Deforestation Events 26 July 2004, Brasilia Meeting summary

Attendees Brazilian students = 8 –from Amazon (2 undergrad) = 6 Total students = 9 Amazonian Inst. Participants = 12 Universities = 4 –From Amazon = 1 Total participants ~33 Presentation and participation from –Embrapa, INPE, IBAMA, NASA, CEOS, GOFC/GOLD, UMd, Universidade Federal do Acre, etc.

Burn Scar Field Validation Network Goals—accurate validation dataset for remote sensing products – focus on Burn Scar and Deforestation, provide a framework for integrating field data collection & local knowledge with high resolution satellite imagery for burn scar/deforestation validation and regional application of the validated product Timeline: –Protocol Draft circulated mid-August –First Test—Acre, August/September –Apply to in Roraima, January/February 2005 –Apply to all sites, 2 nd half of 2005

Deforestation/Burnt Area validation network

Recommendations 1. Interpret the call from the Minister of Environment for more transparency to imply that all estimates of deforestation, selective logging, and hot spots/burn areas should have explicit accuracy statements. 2. First step for validation network is to establish protocol. Initial draft in mid-Aug (from UMd), comments from network by 1 Sept. (meeting of protocol group this week) 3. High resolution imagery issues –Space Agencies (CEOS members) to provide access to high resolution data (ASTER, EO-1, Landsat 7 or 5, CBERS) to field site collaborators –Acquisition of high-res (~1m) satellite and airborne imagery necessary for more widespread accuracy assessment in critical areas. 4. Integrate this effort with GOFC-GOLD and CEOS-LPV program. 5. Integrate this effort with local users through information dissemination and training. 6. Use producer/user collaboration to establish accuracy requirements: –Consider annual variability –What does the LBA community expect of the Prodes data set? 7. Solicit funding for joint Amazon basin-wide ground-based validation (GPS, software, imagery, training, video conferencing and personnel)

Fire-related products: plans and needs Fire classification: Conversion vs maintenance –Need for high res deforestation/land cover map for validation –(Morisette will contact Souza) Burn scar temporal resolution: –Monthly seems sufficient –Emissions/transport modeling may need daily –(operational, daily burn scar product from UMd anticipated start spring 2005 for data acquired since mid-2000) Hot spots overlay on deforestation or disturbance maps –(Laurance, Alencar, Morisette, others) Fire risk –Need likelihood of both ignition and susceptibility –Could suggest a local prevention network and integrated with alternate futures –Risque – Dan Nepstad –Alberto Setzer/INPE –John Roads – UCSD