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Student Managed Fund MBA Performance Report March 8, 2007.

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Presentation on theme: "Student Managed Fund MBA Performance Report March 8, 2007."— Presentation transcript:

1 Student Managed Fund MBA Performance Report March 8, 2007

2 MBA Managers Mike Amodeo Devika Chirayilparambu Matt Cordeiro Vasilios Diakogeorgiou Samara Hollander Daniela Ionescu Adam Macko Puru Patnekar John Salemi Amanda Wallace

3 Agenda Investment Philosophy Investment Process Portfolio Performance Firm Activity Forward Expectations Q & A

4 Investment Philosophy Follow a fundamental bottom-up approach Focus on companies with a market cap of at least $1Billion Target stocks that trade at a minimum 15% perceived discount to their intrinsic value Benchmark is to outperform the S&P 500 Index by 5% annually Invest across a diversified group of sectors to emulate the S&P 500 Index

5 Investment Process Stock Selection FundamentalAnalysis Sell Discipline

6 Stock Selection Seek high quality US Equities that exhibit strong growth potential within their industry Screeners:  Yahoo! Finance  MSN Money Central  Reuters  MagicFormulaInvesting.com Rank stocks based on:  Earnings/Sales growth  Net/Operating margins  ROE, ROA  P/E, PEG

7 Fundamental Analysis Narrow down the range by emphasizing on the following value drivers  Operating Margins  Revenue and Earnings ramp-up  Capital Expenditure  R&D Intensity  Free Cash Flow Growth Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Relative P/E analysis EVA analysis

8 Sell Discipline Stop loss  15% stop loss on all positions  Protect down-side risk  Prevent market volatility from stopping out positions Re-evaluation of positions  More than 15% gain  More than 10% loss  Change in business model or expectations

9 Portfolio Performance Performance Highlights Total equity positions 1,127,166.34 $ Total cash position808.93 $ Value (2/16/2007) 1,127,975.27 $ Allocation and ManagementPerformance HighlightsS&P 500SMF Beginning value (9/01/2006)1,303.82 $ 990,089.88 $ Ending Value (2/16/2007)1,455.53 $ 1,127,975.27 $ Returns11.636%13.927%

10 Individual Holding Performance TickerCompanyReturns ANFAbercrombie and Fitch 23.35% LHLaboratory Corp. 18.14% HRSHarris Corp. 16.87% SHWSherwin Williams 16.45% JECJacobs Engineering 14.52% SCSSSelect Comfort 12.20% ADTNAdtran Inc. 12.09% GDGeneral Dynamics 10.79% FPLFlorida Power and Light 9.66% MOAltria 9.59% HRLHormel Foods 6.22% AEOSAmerican Eagle Outfitters 4.39% TXNTexas Instruments 3.67% AXPAmerican Express 2.48% OXYOccidental Petroleum 1.82% NVSNovartis 1.79% BACBank of America 1.58% VRGYVerigy Ltd. 0.27% BTUPeabody Energy Corp. -0.70% PEPPepsi Co. -0.87% NFXNewfield Exploration -1.35% ARJArch Chemicals -2.37% BERBerkeley -3.94% ORCLOracle -7.94%

11 0.000% 2.000% 4.000% 6.000% 8.000% 10.000% 12.000% 14.000% 9/29/2006 10/13/200610/27/2006 11/10/2006 11/24/2006 12/8/2006 12/22/2006 1/5/2007 1/19/2007 2/2/2007 2/16/2007 SMF S&P 500 Comparison with S&P 500

12 Sector Allocation SMF Sector Allocation (2/16/2007) Health Care 9% Financials 12% Energy 12% Materials 8% Industrials 8% Consumer Discretionary 13% Consumer Staples 13% Utilities 4% Telecom 5% IT 16%

13 Portfolio Efficiency Statistics Beta : 0.872 Alpha : 0.014 M 2 : 1.85% Modified Dietz Return (Bi-weekly)  SMF: 0.67%  S&P 500: 0.5% Rp0.53%Rp0.44% Rf0.09%Rf0.09% σpσp 1.65% σpσp 0.96% Sharpe0.267Sharpe0.365 SMF Sharpe RatioS&P 500 Sharpe Ratio S(X) = Rp - Rf / σ p

14 Performance Attribution Analysis Portfolio Excess Return2.291% Contribution from stock selection1.423% Contribution from sector allocation0.867% Contribution from cash allocation-0.008% Contribution from SPYDR0.010%

15 Firm Activity Verigy (VRGY)  Guidance Adjusted Upwards Jacobs Engineering (JEC)  Guidance Adjusted Upwards Altria (MO)  Kraft spin-off Novartis (NVS)  FDA approval for Exforge  FDA delay for Galvus Oracle (ORCL)  Analyst Downgrade and License Sales  Hyperion Acquisition POSITIVE CAUTION

16 Forward Expectations Interest rates remain stable Earnings growth slows towards historical average Stocks currently are fairly valued Expect 2007 returns to mirror long-run average (8%- 12%)

17 Forward Expectations Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy Economic Growth Corporate Earnings Growth Inflation Market Valuation NEUTRAL NEUTRAL/POSITIVE NEUTRAL

18 Learning Experience Strength in Numbers  10 Managers – 10 Different Styles to Learn From  Expertise Across Different Industries  Stand Up to the Scrutiny of Peers Look for Compelling Business Stories  What is the Company’s Competitive Advantage?  Why Will Your Stock Outperform the Market? Add Value Through Event-Driven Returns  Look for Opportunities that Will Unlock Value

19 Acknowledgements The University of Connecticut Foundation, Inc. Investment Advisory Board Dr. Chinmoy Ghosh

20 Questions


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