1. Integrated Assessment

2. Assessment modes Strategy assessments Sectoral assessments Program and project level assessments So what is an “integrated assessment”? …Or an assessment that integrates

3. Bottom line Synergy and efficiency  Entry point Disconnect and conflict  Take care

4. Conflict equation

5. Conflict lens Conflict assessments Conflict toolkit

6. LTPR Matrix – Multiple Resource Domain Overlays Protected areas legislation Environmental incentives Forest / pasture law reform Water policy reform Sustainable agriculture policy / legislation Environmental sanctions

7. Tools to Address Tenure: Country Briefs http://ltpr.rmportal.net

8. LTPR Quick Sheets and Issue Briefs

9. NRM lens 118-119 Assessments and ETOAs Reg 216 Biodiversity Threats Assessments

10. Spatial analysis tools

11. Modeling http://www.ilri.org/InfoServ/Webpub/fulldocs/PropertyRights/Chapter13.htm Herders do not wish to interact with agriculturalist; they settle the issue quickly (pay a fine) and decide not to come again in the area. Herders and agriculturalists engage in a verbal, then physical “war”; violence erupts. Herders and agriculturalists expose their views and identify their needs. Conflict is avoided Conflict escalates Groundwork is laid for negotiation Pastoralists lose access to pastoral resources; agriculturalists lose access to manure. People get hurt; pastoralists lose access to pastoral resources; agriculturalists lose access to manure. Integration: the parties in conflict have identified their respective needs and may begin to think about possible solutions. Differentiation Avoidance Escalation During Differentiation “Successful” Differentiation Transhumant cattle go astray and eat into a field; conflict begins

12. Withdrawal from the aquifer Production costs Farmers’ income Climate Change Drought Scarce inflow Remittances / Other sources of income Farmer Organization/ WUAs Water allocation from the WUA Water Allocation Policies and Laws Water deficit Level of the rivers Land and tax policies Water consumption by all sectors Water costs Crop production levels Crop production levels Quality of products Farmer advocacy Roads, agricultural storage/ processing infrastructure ­+ ­_ ­+ ­_ ­+ ­_ ­+ ­_ ­+ ­_ ­+ Social cohesion ­+ Market forces competition Soil fertility ­+ Extension / training Technologies (irrigation, biotechnology) ­+ Water Management Institutions (Ministry, Basin Organizations) Agricultural Growth Policies and Laws ­+ Water availability for irrigation ­_ ­+ Access to credit Agricultural Subsidies (including water and energy) ­_ ­+ Water infrastructure (storage, conveyance, irrigation) ­+ Cultural agricultural practices Water price Water management causal model

13. Participatory approaches http://www.iapad.org/ Participatory GIS SCALE Whole System in the Room

14. Working with the tools LTPR Assessment Identify LTPR systems Uncover relationship of LTPR to conflict & natural resources Conflict Equation Identify conflict actors and link to means & motives Have there been triggering events? Biodiversity Assessment Identify areas of important biodiversity What are key threats to biodiversity, ecosystems and natural resources? Integration Determine conflict behaviors and drivers Map causal connections Bring stakeholders together around table