1. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Integrated System Health Management (ISHM) Design Study Jim MacConnell Consensus Technology, LLC 2200 N. 77th St. Seattle, WA 98104-4928 TeL: 206.524.8555 Fax: 206.524.3034 Jmac@consensustech.com Study Discussion

2. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Agenda Welcome & Introductions9:00Barthelemy AFRL Overview9:10Cruse ISHM IPT Perspective10:00Navarra Derisso Beachkofski Study Overview10:30MacConnell ISHM Perspectives 11:00Participants Lunch12:00 ISHM Perspectives (Cont.)12:30 Study Discussion3:00MacConnell All Wrap Up & Adjourn4:00

3. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Study Tasking Task 1: Study Development 1.define the specifics of the study with the government ISHM IPT, 2.assemble the collaborative ISHM team that will execute the study under the leadership of the Wright Brothers Institute, 3.define the needed effort for Tasks 2 and 3, and 4.identify the government and industry resources required to execute the study. Task 2: Define the potential impact of an optimized Integrated Health Management System on the design of Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAVs). Assuming an ideal health management capability, which would include available sensors with required performance, durability and reliability, the Wright Brothers Institute and the collaborative ISHM team shall: perform a business case analysis to examine the monetary trades, system performance, mission availability, and procurement size impact for a new acquisition if the design accounted for the benefits of health monitoring and management.

4. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Questions to be answered What are the key features of the ideal ISHM capability? Know everything about everything? Discrete versus continuum sensing What it means versus what it is Know it now not after Know what to do about it? Intelligent decision making Learning systems What technologies are required to achieve the ideal ISHM capability? Bandwidth Processing power Sensors Integrated Where do we start if our goal is the ideal system? Building block approach?

5. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Would ISHM Impact the Following?  Current Structural Design Philosophy  Reduce FOS?  Lighter Design?  New Structural Design Philosophy  Enable Reliability-based (Probabilistic) Design Approach?  Reduce reliance on structural redundancy for fail-safety, reduces weight and cost?  Structural/Materials Certification Process  Reduce Certification Time?  New Structural Maintenance Procedure  Enable Condition-Based Maintenance? Structural Design Full-Scale Structural Fatigue Test Structural Inspection

6. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Study Overview Define and document The potential impact of an optimized Integrated Health Management System on Design of Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAVs) Design of Space Operating Vehicles (SOVs) The technology issues and shortfalls that would need to be addressed to achieve that impact Critical technologies that have the potential to address those shortfalls A business case analysis that provides rationale for: Designing for/with ISHM Prioritization of technical shortfalls Pursuing specific critical technologies The preferred programmatic approach to pursuing those technologies Collaborative Approaches (Consortia, Collaborative Programs) Suite of Conventional CRAD Programs Challenge is Balance between Program/Initiative building and Technical/Business Assessment

7. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Discussion Focus What do you think of the intent of the study? Is the idea of an integrated program to address ISHM in the broadest possible terms a good/reasonable idea? Do you believe you/your company would be willing/able to participate as part of a study team? Task 2 & 3 (UAV/SOV impacts & business case development)? Full participant, provide input & feedback, individual contributor observe and comment only, not available Assuming the study successfully demonstrates the value of the approach, what kind of approach for for an integrated ISHM program Interconnected individual contracted efforts Informal consortium (Composites Affordability Initiative) Independent individual efforts under “panel” oversight (MAI) No new structure or inter-relatedness What do you think should be the next steps… if any?

8. Integrated System Health Management Design Study Groundrules Primary target Airframe structure UAV Propulsion Other opportunities Primary emphasis potential benefits of ISHM influenced design How can you change the design? Is it worth the investment? AFRL? Industry? What are the barriers that need to be addressed Cultural? Business Metrics? Internal Corporate Systems? Technical Metrics, Certification Critical Technologies? Unique Perspectives? Initial planning Phase I - 6 mo. (1/2 hd. in kind) Phase II? - resources TBD from Phase I