1. Hispanic Trends Project The Nation’s Changing Demographics Mark Hugo Lopez Director of Hispanic Research October 2014

2. Hispanics are the Nation’s Largest Minority Group Population in millions

3. The New Face of America Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2010 American Community Survey White

4. The New Face of America Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2010 American Community Survey Asian Hispanic Black White

5. The New Face of America Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2010 American Community Survey White

6. The New Face of America Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2010 American Community Survey Asian Hispanic Black White

7. Hispanic Share Rises to 29% by 2050 Source: Pew Research Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic. Percent of Total Population

8. Four Decades of Growth Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

9. Hispanic Growth Likely to Continue (Largest “ Minority ” Since ~2001) Population in millions

10. Geographic Distribution of Hispanics Population in millions

11. Geographic Distribution of Hispanics Population in millions

12. Hispanic Origin Composition, 2010 Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the 2010 American Community Survey.

13. Hispanic Population is Younger

14. Native-Born Hispanics are Younger

15. Three Great Waves of Immigrants (% of total) Notes: Immigrants from Canada and other areas not shown. Sources: Pew Research Center analysis of Integrated Public Use Microdata Samples for 1980,1990, and 2000 Censuses and 2008 American Community Survey. 1840-1919 numbers from Table 2 of Yearbook of Immigration Statistics,2008. Office of Immigration Statistics. 88 12 1 3 50 2 3 28 Northern Europe Wave,1840-1889 Southern/Eastern Europe Wave,1890-1919 Modern Wave,1965-Present EuropeanLatin AmericanAsian (14 million) (18 million) (40 million+)

16. Where Each State’s Largest Immigrant Population Was Born, 1910

17. Where Each State’s Largest Immigrant Population Was Born, 2010

18. From Germany to Mexico, 1850 to 2010

19. The Share of U.S. Hispanics Who Are Foreign Born is in Decline … Source: Pew Research Center. Unauthorized immigrant children

20. Sources of Hispanic Population Growth, by Decade Source: Pew Research Center. Unauthorized immigrant children

21. School Enrollments

22. Hispanic Student Enrollments In 2012, 13 million young Latinos were enrolled in nursery school to high school public institutions That is up 58% from 2000 when 8.2 million Latinos were enrolled Among 18-24 year olds, 2.4 million Latinos were enrolled in college full time, up 175% since 2000 when there were 873,000 Latino students in college full time. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Historical School Enrollment time series http://www.census.gov/hhes/school/data/cps/historical/index.html

23. Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October 2012 Current Population Survey (CPS) Racial and Ethnic Composition of Public Schools by Grade, 2012 (%)

24. Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS) Growing Hispanic Representation in Public Schools and Colleges Hispanic share of enrollment

25. Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of the 2012 American Community Survey and the 2000 decennial census (1% IPUMS) Hispanic Children Are a Growing Share of Public Kindergarten Classes States where 20% or more of kindergartners are Hispanic

29. Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS) College Enrollment Rates Among High School Completers (% of 18- to 24-year-old high school completers)

30. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS) Hispanics Now Largest Minority Group at Colleges and Universities (millions of 18- to 24-year-old students)

31. Hispanic Undergraduates are More Likely to Enroll at 2-year Institutions than Other Groups Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS)

32. Latino Youth are Optimistic… Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos Very Satisfied Mostly Satisfied Better off About the same Less well off Percent of Latino 16 to 25 year olds

33. …And They Say A College Education Is Important In order to get ahead in life these days, it’s necessary to get a college education. Percent who agree Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample; 2009 SDT America’s Changing Workforce Survey for general U.S. population

34. …Yet Educational Expectations Lag How much further in school do you plan to go? Among 18- to 25-year-olds Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample; 2007 Generation Next Survey for all youth sample

35. What's at Stake?

37. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, National Population Projections, Released 2008 58% 38% 20% 39% 15% 11% 4%6% Hispanics Projected to be the Largest School-age Population by 2050

38. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of October Current Population Surveys (CPS) Hispanic Educational Attainment, 1990 to 2013 (% of 25 to 29 year olds with bachelor’s degree or higher)

39. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of October Current Population Surveys (CPS) Hispanic Educational Attainment, 1990 to 2013 (% of 25- to- 29-year olds with bachelor’s degree or higher)

40. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS) Educational Attainment of 25- to 29-year-olds, 2013 (% with bachelor’s degree or higher)

41. Why Not Continue Your Education? Which of the following are reasons you have not continued your education? Percent of Latino youth ages 16 to 25 with a high school diploma or less, who are not enrolled and have no plans to return to school saying “Yes” Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos

42. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Force Characteristics by Race and Ethnicity, 2011 and A New Look at Long-term Labor Force Projections to 2050 Civilian Labor Force, 2011 and Projected 2050 (in thousands)

43. 40-year Work-life Earnings by Education for Hispanic Full-time, Full-year Workers Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Education and Synthetic Work-Life Earnings Estimates, September 2011 MaleFemale 9 - 12th grade1.10.8 High School completer1.31.0 Some college1.71.3 Associate's degree1.81.4 Bachelor's degree2.11.7 Master's degree2.82.3 Professional degree3.12.3 Doctorate degree3.12.6 In millions of $

44. Contact Information Mark Hugo Lopez Director of Hispanic Research mlopez@pewresearch.org Hispanic Trends Project