1. RVCOG Advisory Committee Meeting Discussion on Draft Interpretation of The Urban Reserve Rule Location Factors And Analysis of RPS Growth Areas February 28, 2006

2. Results of Urban Reserves buildable Land Review Responses from Talent and Phoenix

3. RPS Assigned Basecase Assumptions URA Population based on RPS projections Base year population from July 2005 PSU Use the proposed mix of uses (Same Densities) Use the needs identified –Commercial, Industrial, Residential Use standardized buildable lands constraints Use Urban Reserve Rule priority of lands

4. Population Modeling New 2005 PSU Estimates have only minor differences from 2000 base year estimate. Document modeling differences between Base Case population forecast, and population forecasts for other modeling (Housing Needs, Economic Opportunities Analysis, TPAU)

5. Issues nearly resolved Consistent spatial and numerical data Consistent area-wide methodology and GIS data Fixed set of proposed growth areas Consistent buildable lands criteria Base Case Urban Reserve

6. Base Case Approach Use GIS Analysis to rank all lands Develop “base case” urban reserves from ranked land Compare with RPS areas and forecast need Identify Conflicts

7. Base Map

8. Distance from Roads ¼ Mile Increments Closer to Roads = Higher Priority Farther out from Roads = Lower Priority

9. Distance from UGB ¼ Mile Increments Closer to UGB = Higher Priority Farther out from UGB = Lower Priority

10. EFU & Exception Lands Exception Lands = Most desirable EFU = Low priority for inclusion

11. Slopes Lower % Grade = More Desirable Higher the % Grade = Less Desirable

12. Soils Richer the Soil = Less desirable Poorer the Soil = More desirable

13. Overlay all factors

14. Combine all data and rank by total score. The higher the value the more desirable for inclusion into urban reserves

15. Convert to parcels and rank by total score to delineate new urban reserve areas

16. Analysis of RPS and Base Case Growth Areas Standardized Buildable Lands Assumptions Applied - Removals –Floodway –Wetlands with 25’ Buffer –Streams – buffered 50’ and 25’ depending on class –Open Space Shapefile (Provided) –Public Lands Shapefile (Provided) –Exception land reduced 20% in capacity to account for existing homes –TAC Recommendation: Developed sites than 1 du/ac - eliminate Compared buildable lands with defined land needs

17. Base Case – 1636 acres RPS – 2382 acres Overlap – 921 acres Central Point Area Comparison

18. Central Point Location of RLRC Lands

19. Central Point Parcels coded by Rank Green - yellow = Values - 25-50 More desirable Orange to red = Values - 0-24 Less desirable

20. Eagle Point Area Comparison Base Case – 873 acres RPS – 1350 acres Overlap – 319 acres

21. Eagle Point Location of RLRC Lands

22. Eagle Point Parcels coded by Rank Green - yellow = Values - 25-50 More desirable Orange to red = Values - 0-24 Less desirable

23. Jacksonville Area Comparison Base Case – 594 acres RPS – 518 acres Overlap – 368 acres The 470 acres of land to the south of Jacksonville has not been included in RPS growth area capacity. This issue will be resolved when further analysis on the amount of buidlable acreage can be determined.

24. Jacksonville Location of RLRC Lands

25. Jacksonville Parcels coded by Rank Green - yellow = Values - 25-50 More desirable Orange to red = Values - 0-24 Less desirable

26. Medford Area Comparison Base Case – 2833 acres RPS – 4579 acres Overlap – 1645 acres

27. Medford Location of RLRC Lands

28. Medford Parcels coded by Rank Green - yellow = Values - 25-50 More desirable Orange to red = Values - 0-24 Less desirable

29. Phoenix Area Comparison Base Case – 575 RPS – 600 Overlap – 59 At the request of Jackson County, Phoenix has agreed to include 266 acres of highly urbanized rural land (labeled PH-3) between Medford and Phoenix as part of its proposed urban reserve. Because this area is fully built out, there is no assigned residential capacity. PH-3

30. Phoenix Location of RLRC Lands

31. Phoenix Parcels coded by Rank Green - yellow = Values - 25-50 More desirable Orange to red = Values - 0-24 Less desirable

32. Talent Area Comparison Base Case – 149 acres RPS – 233 acres Overlap – 115 acres

33. Talent Location of RLRC Lands

34. Talent Parcels coded by Rank Green - yellow = Values - 25-50 More desirable Orange to red = Values - 0-24 Less desirable

35. Base Case Urban Reserve Areas

36. RPS proposed Reserve Areas

37. Issues nearly resolved Consistent spatial and numerical data Consistent area-wide methodology and GIS data Fixed set of proposed growth areas Consistent buildable lands criteria Base Case Urban Reserve

38. Remaining Issues Document population modeling differences Review capacity estimates for RPA areas Finalize Land Need calculation Document criteria for RPS urban reserves Match need and area in RPS urban reserves comparing proposed, base case, and other modeling efforts