1. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use1 A Sample Presentation of The State of the Church in New Mexico and the Albuquerque Metro Area 1990-2000 Dave Olson www.TheAmericanChurch.org

2. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use2 The first 21 slides are from the “State of the Church in New Mexico” Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 43 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UNM20.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UNM20.htm

3. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use3 In 1996, polls taken immediately after the Presidential election revealed that 58% of people claimed they had voted, when in reality only 49% actually did. This is called the Halo Effect. People tend to over-inflate their participation in activities that create acceptability within their social group. For many decades, pollsters such as Gallup and Barna have reported that around 45% of Americans attend church every Sunday. But there is a religious Halo Effect. Actual attendance counts have shown that the percentage of people attending church on any given weekend is much lower than was previously thought.

4. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use4 The Intent of this presentation is to answer and then expand on two key questions: “How Many People Really Attend Church in New Mexico Every Week?” “Is the Christian Church Going Forwards or Backwards in Influence in New Mexico?” As the data is analyzed county by county assessing a number of factors, a comprehensive picture of the State of the Church in New Mexico will begin to take shape.

5. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use5 This study uses weekend church attendance as a more reliable and more immediate snapshot of Christian influence than membership. The following map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in all 50 states in 2000. New Mexico has an average church attendance percentage (17.8%) close to the national average (18.7%).

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7. 7 The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county in New Mexico.

8. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use8 9.8% Sierra 11.0% McKinley 11.9% Luna 12.0% San Juan 13.2% Sandoval 13.5% Santa Fe 13.6% Dona Ana 14.0% Catron 14.3% Valencia 14.9% Lincoln 15.0% Socorro 15.0% Hidalgo 16.1% Grant 16.3% Chaves 16.3% Otero 17.8% Torrance 17.9% Bernalillo 18.1% Lea 18.8% San Miguel 19.7% Rio Arriba 20.1% Curry 21.1% Mora 21.6% Eddy 21.6% Colfax 21.7% Harding 22.0% Roosevelt 23.0% Taos 23.4% Union 24.3% Quay 24.8% Cibola 25.4% De Baca 26.2% Guadalupe 26.7% Los Alamos 0.0% to 15.0% 15.0% to 21.6% 21.6% to 27.7% New Mexico - 2000 Percentage of the Population at Worship in Christian Churches on any Given Sunday Blue = Lowest Rose = Middle Beige = Highest

9. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use9 The Next 2 Maps show the population numbers for each county in New Mexico. The first map shows the population of each county. The second map shows the growth or decline in population for each county from 1990 - 2000.

10. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use10 810 Harding 2,240 De Baca 3,543 Catron 4,174 Union 4,680 Guadalupe 5,180 Mora 5,932 Hidalgo 10,155 Quay 13,270 Sierra 14,189 Colfax 16,911 Torrance 18,018 Roosevelt 18,078 Socorro 18,343 Los Alamos 19,411 Lincoln 25,016 Luna 25,595 Cibola 29,979 Taos 30,126 Sandoval 31,002 Grant 41,190 Rio Arriba 45,044 Curry 51,658 Eddy 55,511 Lea 61,382 Chaves 62,298 Otero 66,152 Valencia 74,798 McKinley 89,908 San Juan 113,801 San Miguel 129,292 Santa Fe 174,682 Dona Ana 556,678 Bernalillo 0 to 20,000 20,000 to 80,000 80,000 to 556,679 New Mexico Counties 2000 Population

11. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use11 -668 Quay -254 Lea -177 Harding -26 Hidalgo -12 De Baca 50 Union 228 Los Alamos 524 Guadalupe 916 Mora 980 Catron 1,264 Colfax 1,316 Roosevelt 1,801 Cibola 2,837 Curry 3,053 Eddy 3,314 Socorro 3,326 Grant 3,358 Sierra 3,533 Chaves 4,383 Sandoval 6,626 Torrance 6,825 Rio Arriba 6,861 Taos 6,906 Luna 7,192 Lincoln 10,370 Otero 14,112 McKinley 20,917 Valencia 22,196 San Miguel 26,589 San Juan 30,364 Santa Fe 39,172 Dona Ana 76,101 Bernalillo -700 to 0 0 to 10,000 10,000 to 76,102 New Mexico Counties 2000 Population Growth or Decline

12. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use12 The Next 2 Slides show the ethnicity of New Mexico in 1990 and 2000. The third slide shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population for each ethnic group.

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16. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use16 The Next Graph shows the attendance numbers for the churches in New Mexico in 1990 and 2000. Evangelicals and Catholics have grown in attendance, the Mainline has remained nearly the same. Unfortunately, as overall worship attendance has declined, the population has grown. A more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. This graph reflects a significant decrease in the percentage of the population attending church.

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22. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use22 The Next Map shows the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend in 2000 for each county in New Mexico.

23. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use23 9.8% Sierra 11.0% McKinley 11.9% Luna 12.0% San Juan 13.2% Sandoval 13.5% Santa Fe 13.6% Dona Ana 14.0% Catron 14.3% Valencia 14.9% Lincoln 15.0% Socorro 15.0% Hidalgo 16.1% Grant 16.3% Chaves 16.3% Otero 17.8% Torrance 17.9% Bernalillo 18.1% Lea 18.8% San Miguel 19.7% Rio Arriba 20.1% Curry 21.1% Mora 21.6% Eddy 21.6% Colfax 21.7% Harding 22.0% Roosevelt 23.0% Taos 23.4% Union 24.3% Quay 24.8% Cibola 25.4% De Baca 26.2% Guadalupe 26.7% Los Alamos 0.0% to 15.0% 15.0% to 21.6% 21.6% to 27.7% New Mexico - 2000 Percentage of the Population at Worship in Christian Churches on any Given Sunday Blue = Lowest Rose = Middle Beige = Highest

24. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use24 The Complete New Mexico Powerpoint is 43 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UMN20.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UMN20.htm

25. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use25 The next 8 slides are from the “State of the Church in Albuquerque” Powerpoint. The Complete Powerpoint is 38 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Albuquerque.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Albuquerque.htm

26. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use26 The Next Graph shows the attendance numbers for the churches in the Albuquerque metro in 1990 and 2000. All groups have grown slightly over the last decade. As population has grown, a more reliable standard for evaluating increasing or declining influence is the percentage of the population attending church on any given weekend, shown in the second graph. This graph shows decline in all groups over the last decade.

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30. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use30 The Next Map shows the growth or decline in the percentage of the population attending a Christian church on any given weekend from 1990 to 2000 for each county. All three counties in the Albuquerque area declined in church attendance.

31. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use31 Albuquerque Metro Counties 1990 - 2000 Growth or Decline in Percentage of the Population at Worship in All Christian Churches on a Given Weekend Blue = Decline Rose = Growth

32. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use32 The Next Chart shows the net gain in the number of churches in the Albuquerque Metro area in the past decade. There was a net gain of 16 churches. However, a net gain of 89 churches was needed to keep up with population growth in the Albuquerque metro from 1990 - 2000.

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34. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use34 The Complete Albuquerque Powerpoint is 38 slides in length, and is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Albuquerque.htm. It includes maps of church attendance in every county in the metro area, as well as denominational charts, average size charts, church planting charts, ethnicity charts and population growth information. http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Albuquerque.htm

35. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use35 This Presentation is based on a nationwide study of American church attendance, as reported by churches and denominations. The database currently has average worship attendances for each of the last 10 years for over 200,000 individual churches. It also uses supplementary information (actual membership numbers correlated with accurate membership to attendance ratios) to project the attendances of all other denominational and independent churches. All told, accurate information is provided for over 300,000 orthodox Christian churches. 1 1 This presentation looks only at people attending orthodox Christian churches. Approximately 3 million people attend non-orthodox Christian churches, and perhaps 3 million attend a religious service of another religion. Those ‘houses of worship’ would add another 35,000 churches in the United States and increase the 2000 percentage to 20.5%.

36. © 2004 by David T. Olson Sample - Not for Public Use36 For More Information... Please go to www.theamericanchurch.org for additional information on the American Church.www.theamericanchurch.org 12 Surprising Facts about the American Church is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/ 12supm. htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/ 12supm. htm The complete New Mexico Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UNM20.htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/state/UNM20.htm The Complete Albuquerque Powerpoint presentation is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Albuquerque.htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/metro/Albuquerque.htm A Combo Pack (12 Surprising Facts, New Mexico and Albuquerque Powerpoints) is available at http://www.theamericanchurch.org/combo/NM0.htm http://www.theamericanchurch.org/combo/NM0.htm