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The Rise of Détente and ‘Triangular Diplomacy’, 1963-72 Young & Kent: International Relations since 1945.

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Presentation on theme: "The Rise of Détente and ‘Triangular Diplomacy’, 1963-72 Young & Kent: International Relations since 1945."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Rise of Détente and ‘Triangular Diplomacy’, 1963-72 Young & Kent: International Relations since 1945

2 1963: in the wake of Cuba Signs of Détente? –Kennedy’s American University speech –‘Hot line’ agreement –Partial Test Ban Treaty Cold War goes on –Berlin tension –Multilateral Nuclear Force

3 Pressures for Détente in Europe Mutual fear of war Western Europe –fragmentation: de Gaulle –Harmel Report –Brandt and Ostpolitik Eastern bloc –fragmentation: China, Romania –desire for trade/technology –fall of Khrushchev

4 Nuclear Balance Dawn of ‘Mutual Assured Destruction’ ‘Triad’ of weapons: –Aircraft –Intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) –Submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) Threats to the balance: –Anti-Ballistic Missile –Multiple Independent Re-entry Vehicle

5 Détente Delayed, 1964-68 Limited East-West agreement –Glassboro’ mini-summit –Non-Proliferation Treaty –Proposed Strategic Arms Limitation Talks Barriers to progress –Vietnam –Czechoslovakia: ‘Prague Spring’ –No Johnson-Brezhnev summit

6 Nixon’s Approach Inaugural speech: ‘an era of negotiations’ End Vietnam war: Nixon Doctrine But détente only on conditions: –Concrete agreements not just a change in atmosphere –Soviets to show restraint –‘Linkage’

7 ‘Linkage’ in practice US view: if Soviets want strategic arms talks and trade, they must not exploit conflicts in the Third World Series of crises in 1970-71: –Chile: election of Allende –Cienfuegos –Jordanian civil war –Indo-Pakistan War

8 ‘Triangular Diplomacy’ Sino-Soviet ‘split’ Chinese fear USSR more than US –Border clashes of 1969 Nixon ready for ‘opening’ to China –Trade barriers relaxed –‘Ping-Pong diplomacy’ –China enters UN US plays off China and USSR

9 1972: two summits Beijing Summit, February 1972 –Nixon and Mao –Shanghai Communique Moscow Summit, May 1972 –Nixon and Brezhnev –went ahead despite crisis in Vietnam –several agreements: trade, space, etc. –‘Basic Principles’

10 SALT I: highpoint of Moscow Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty –Two ABM ‘fields’ and 200 missiles each ‘Interim Agreement on Offensive Missiles’ –ICBMs: 1054 US, 1618 Soviet –SLBMs: 656 US, 740 Soviet –Bombers: 455 US, 140 Soviet –To last five years: SALT II to follow

11 Moscow: success or failure? The successes: –Well-choreographed –Numerous agreements –SALT a significant nuclear arms deal The limits: –Soviets never accepted ‘linkage’ –Unclear what ‘basic principles’ meant –SALT failed to control MIRVs –‘unequal ceilings’ in SALT


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