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1 Current and Future needs of Numerical Weather Prediction Guidance at the NOAA Aviation Weather Center Jason Levit Techniques Development Meteorologist.

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Presentation on theme: "1 Current and Future needs of Numerical Weather Prediction Guidance at the NOAA Aviation Weather Center Jason Levit Techniques Development Meteorologist."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Current and Future needs of Numerical Weather Prediction Guidance at the NOAA Aviation Weather Center Jason Levit Techniques Development Meteorologist Aviation Weather Center Kansas City, MO Jason.Levit@noaa.gov

2 2 AWC Current NWP Guidance NAMGFSSREFRUCUKMET HIRES ARW HIRES NMM

3 3 AWC Future NWP Guidance NAMGFS FIMSREF WRF RR UKMET VSREF HRRR SPC ARW HIRES ARW HIRES NMM HRRRe

4 4 Aviation Weather Testbed Support AWRP FIP/CIPGTG High Resolution Guidance Spring Experiment Operational Bridging Traffic Impact Convective Initiation Ensembles Calibration ECFP Enhancement

5 5 High Resolution Model Guidance 10K20K30K Boundary Layer Convective initiation Ceiling and visibility Low-level turbulence Icing Improved boundary layer structure from mixed model/mixed physics ensembles

6 6 High Resolution Model Guidance 10K20K30K Mid Atmosphere Microphysics! Detailed icing Improved mountain wave turbulence

7 7 High Resolution Model Guidance 10K20K30K Convection Storm intensity/Storm top Radar data assimilation Ensembles Day 2 and Day 3 planning (ECFP)

8 8 Ensemble Guidance High Resolution (4km) Calibration Probabilistic Forecasts Improved user tools and forecaster workflow Data Volume/Archive

9 9 Volcanic Ash Model Guidance FIM HYSPLIT Improved ash concentration Improved chemical species concentration

10 10 Summary Ensembles Probabilistic Guidance High Res Traffic Impact/Calibration Convective Initiation Support of NextGen goals Testbed FIM Volcanic Ash

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