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SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Marin Co-Sponsors County of Marin County of Marin Congestion Management Agency Golden Gate.

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Presentation on theme: "SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Marin Co-Sponsors County of Marin County of Marin Congestion Management Agency Golden Gate."— Presentation transcript:

1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Marin Co-Sponsors County of Marin County of Marin Congestion Management Agency Golden Gate Transit Gray Panthers of Marin County Interfaith Coalition for Green Planning Leadership Institute League of Women Voters of Marin County Marin County Bicycle Coalition Marin County Board of Supervisors North Bay Labor Council of AFL-CIO Sustainable Marin TRANSDEF Special thanks to the Marin Community Foundation for financial support of today's workshop.

2 Regional Agencies Smart Growth Strategy Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development Regional Livability Footprint Project Marin County April 13, 2002 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

3 1 million new jobs 1 million more people 265,000 daily in-commuters to the region 150% increase in aggregate traffic congestion Conversion of up to 83,000 acres of open space 44% decrease in households able to afford the median priced home from 1995 to 2001 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES BAY AREA TRENDS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Through 2020 1995 to 2001

4 Natural Increase (“Our own children”) Net Migration (“Other People”) CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH 50% (approximate figures) SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

5 Expand housing? Constrain future job growth? Expand infrastructure to handle in-commuters? Find a smarter way to grow CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES CHOICES ABOUT FUTURE GROWTH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

6 Regionwide smart growth land use vision supported by local governments. Regulatory changes and fiscal incentives needed to implement vision. A set of smart growth land use projections. PROJECT GOALS CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

7 The Three E’s of Smart Growth and Sustainable Development: SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Prosperous Economy Quality Environment Social Equity

8 Preserve open space and agricultural land. Provide sufficient affordable housing. Revitalize central cities and older suburbs. Reduce single occupant vehicle trips. Foster equitable economic development while minimizing displacement. Efficiently accommodate projected growth. SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

9 PROCESS Public Workshop Round One September and October 2001 Distillation and Analysis Public Workshop Round Two April and May 2002 Final Steps CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

10 Participants included: - elected officials - planning staff - developers - environmental advocates - social equity representatives CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Nine public workshops September and October 2001 Total: 105 countywide smart growth scenarios

11 Smart growth principles Land use mapping exercise Affordable housing Regulatory changes and incentives PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

12 PLANNING AREAS CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

13 PLACE TYPES MENU CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

14 PLACE TYPES MANUAL SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

15 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

16 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES POST-WORKSHOP PROCESS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Distillation Maps

17 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES POST-WORKSHOP PROCESS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

18 Identified three draft regionwide themes and how they would play out in each county. Conducted distillation meeting with over 100 local planners and stakeholders. Finalized themes and regionwide maps of each alternative. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES DISTILLATION METHODOLOGY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

19 Identify themes that emerged from all nine Round One workshops. All components appeared in at least one group’s scenario. Alternatives as distinct from each other as possible. Similar regional jobs and housing levels in each alternative. Allow jobs and housing totals to vary by county according to theme and workshop products. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES DISTILLATION PROCESS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

20 Environment Transportation Housing Social Equity Development Feasibility CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ANALYSIS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Analysis of Alternatives and Current Trends Base Case

21 TODAY’S WORKSHOP CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Review results of first round of workshops. Review base case, three alternatives and analysis. Discuss regional planning principles. Discuss needed regulatory changes and incentives. Recommend preferred alternative.

22 Select and refine a single preferred alternative for Marin County. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES TODAY’S GOAL SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

23 Spring 2002 Round Two Workshops Summer 2002 Begin to obtain regulatory changes and incentives Develop Alternative Projections November 2002 ABAG Board considers adoption of alternative Projections forecast CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES REMAINING STEPS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

24 BAASD coordinates a Public Education and Engagement Campaign. ABAG Board considers adoption of alternative Projections forecast. MTC’s Regional Transportation Plan. Other regional plans. Regulatory changes and incentives. Local implementation. FINAL STEPS CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

25 The Alternatives SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

26 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES CURRENT TRENDS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Existing Conditions (2000) 165,000 In-Commuters

27 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES CURRENT TRENDS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Base Case Relatively dispersed throughout the region. Northern counties will grow the fastest. Southern counties will exhibit the most numeric growth. Development at the edges and within core cities.

28 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES CURRENT TRENDS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Base Case

29 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES CURRENT TRENDS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

30 1. Central Cities 2. Network of Neighborhoods 3. Smarter Suburbs CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES THE ALTERNATIVES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

31 Most development focused in centers of the region. Locates compact, walkable, mixed-income, mixed use development in each county’s largest city or cities. Also locates growth in nodes around existing public transit stations. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Central Cities

32 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Central Cities

33 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Central Cities Marin County

34 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 1 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ALTERNATIVE #1: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY Alameda Marin Napa San Francisco San Mateo Sonoma Solano Contra Costa Santa Clara

35 Locates development in same locations as Alternative 1, but less dense. Adds development in additional areas: – –existing transit nodes and major corridors. – –walkable communities. – –existing communities along an expanded transit network. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Network of Neighborhoods

36 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Network of Neighborhoods

37 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Network of Neighborhoods Marin County

38 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 2 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ALTERNATIVE #2: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY Alameda Marin Napa San Francisco San Mateo Sonoma Solano Santa Clara Contra Costa

39 Locates development in same areas as Alternatives 1 and 2, but still less dense. New edge development creates communities that are more balanced. Additional new smart growth communities. CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Smarter Suburbs

40 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Smarter Suburbs

41 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Smarter Suburbs Marin County

42 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES ALTERNATIVE 3 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

43 The Analysis SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT The Analysis

44 Environment SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goals: Preserve the region’s undeveloped land Improve the region’s air quality Conserve water

45 ENVIRONMENT SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Alternative 1 Alternative 3 Alternative 2 Greenfield Development in the Region: Acres of greenfield converted

46 ENVIRONMENT SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Alternative 1 Alternative 3 Alternative 2 Greenfield Development Acres of greenfield converted Alternative 1Alternative 2 Alternative 3Base Case

47 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ENVIRONMENT Alternatives accommodate much more housing than current trends Air emissions remain mostly unchanged relative to Base Case More concentrated alternatives perform marginally better Base CaseAlternativ e 1 Alternativ e 2 Alternativ e 3 49%51%49%48% Reduction in Air Emissions forecast over the next 20 years Air Quality

48 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ENVIRONMENT Water Consumption in the Region In Marin County: decreases by an average of 17% over current usage under the three alternatives Region wide: decreases by an average of 12% under the three alternatives region 27%17%7%

49 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT ENVIRONMENT Water Consumption in Marin County In Marin County: decreases by an average of 17% over current usage under the three alternatives Region wide: decreases by an average of 12% under the three alternatives region 18%11%9%

50 Transportation SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goal: Reduce reliance on the single-occupant vehicle.

51 SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Proximity to Transit Mode Split Auto Ownership Commute Time Commute Length Vehicle Miles Traveled

52 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Located within ⅓ mile of a rail station or ¼ mile of a bus stop served by frequent bus service. Proximity to Existing Transit in the Region Current Conditions New Development Alt 1Alt 2Alt 3 Housing near transit 23%60%47%28% Jobs near transit 36%68%59%31%

53 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Current Conditions New Development Alt 1Alt 2Alt 3 Housing near transit 3%61%21%7% Jobs near transit 13%12%7%9% Proximity to Existing Transit in Marin County

54 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION The proportion of all trips by walking, bicycle, public transit vs. single occupant vehicle. Base Case Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Auto (drive alone) 82%78%81%82% Transit, Walking, Bicycle 18%22%19%18% Mode Split

55 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Percentage of Zero Vehicle Households: Base Case 2020: 8% Alternative 1: 11% Alternative 2: 10% Alternative 3: 9% Auto Ownership

56 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Commute Time & Length Current length: 12 miles Current time: 27 minutes Both remain essentially unchanged in all three alternatives and the Base Case Vehicles Miles Traveled in Marin County

57 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT TRANSPORTATION Daily VMT per household per day Vehicles Miles Traveled in the Region Base Case Alter native 1 Alter native 2 Alter native 3 62545557 % reduct ion 13%11%8% Under all three alternatives, each household has lower VMT than each household under the Base Case.

58 Housing SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goal: Plan for a full range of housing to meet the needs of all current and future Bay Area residents.

59 HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Mix of units by housing affordability categories: Very Low-Income Households (less than 50% AMI) Low-Income Households (50 to 80% AMI) Moderate-Income Households (80 to 120% AMI) Above Moderate-Income Households (120% AMI or more) (AMI: Area Median Income)

60 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Past Affordable Housing Production (1988 to 1998) 250,000 housing units constructed Needed affordable units: 58% Actual affordable units: 40%

61 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

62 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING MATCH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT NEW AFFORDABLE HOUSING, 2000-2020: CURRENT TRENDS VS. ALTERNATE VISION

63 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES HOUSING AFFORDABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Housing Units Envisioned by Affordability 2000-2020

64 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Jobs/Housing Match Analysis Areas 1. Central Sonoma County 2. Napa County 3. Central Solano County 4. Marin County 5. Carquinez Straits 6. Western Contra Costa/ Northern Alameda 7. Central Contra Costa 8. Eastern Contra Costa 9. San Francisco City 10. Greater San Francisco 11. Central/Southern Alameda 12. Tri-Valley 13. San Mateo 14. Silicon Valley 15. Southern Santa Clara County

65 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Marin County Analysis Areas Marin County Greater San Francisco 4. Marin County 10. Greater San Francisco

66 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Definitions Total Balance: Sufficient housing within an analysis areafor all workers working in that area. New Match: Sufficient, new affordable housing within an analysis area for all new workers working in that area.

67 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES EXISTING JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT 60% of the region's households are located in balanced analysis areas

68 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES TOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Percent of Total Households in Analysis Areas with a Balance

69 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES TOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Jobs/ Housing Balance

70 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES NEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Percent of New Households in Analysis Areas with a Match

71 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES NEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCH SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Jobs/ Housing Match

72 Social Equity SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goals Implement development patterns that benefit all communities in the region. Avoid displacement of existing Bay Area residents and businesses.

73 SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Impoverished Community The majority of households earn less than 80% of the County median income (1990).

74 SOCIAL EQUITY The Bay Area’s 46 Most Impoverished Neighborhoods (NCCC 1997) CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT A Range of Communities Inner-city, poor job/transit access: Bayview Hunters Point Inner-city, good job/transit access: Central East Oakland Suburban, good job access: East San Jose Suburban, poor job access: North Richmond Rural Community: Boyes Hot Springs

75 SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Growth in the Five Case Study Communities

76 SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Base Case ALT 1ALT 2ALT 3 Improve Jobs/Housing Match   Increase Job Supply  Provide Increased Retail Services   Relieve Overcrowding   Improve Transit Access   Minimize Displacement  Outcomes of the Alternatives

77 SOCIAL EQUITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Equitable Smart Growth Strategies Provide training to current residents to obtain new high-skill jobs locally. Match job development to skills of current residents. Improve transit access to jobs around the region. Provide additional retail facilities. Cultivate business opportunities for local residents. Alleviate overcrowding. Maintain affordability of existing housing.

78 Development Feasibility SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Goal: Plan for a smart growth future that can be realized.

79 DEVELOPMENT FEASIBILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Marketability Physical “Fit” Financial Feasibility Fiscal Impacts

80 MARKETABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT In 2000, 62% of the Bay Area’s total housing stock was single-family units.

81 MARKETABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT In 2000, 69% of Marin County’s total housing stock was single-family units.

82 MARKETABILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

83 MARKETABILITY Shifting demographic patterns create demand for a variety of housing types: compact housing near workplaces small single-family attached units “granny flats” (second units) senior housing

84 PHYSICAL FIT SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Acres of Redevelopment Alternative 1: 33,000 acres Alternative 2: 41,000 acres Alternative 3: 45,000 acres

85 FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT location timing economic and local market conditions land prices construction costs regulatory environment financial requirements of the development and investment communities political conditions Financial feasibility will depend on:

86 FISCAL IMPACTS SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Negative Potential fiscal drains on local resources Higher capital costs in urbanized areas with aging infrastructure Positive Save 2% to 6% annually on operating costs Save up to 40% on capital costs, particularly in greenfield areas

87 Incentives and Regulatory Changes SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

88 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Fiscal Reform Return property tax to local governments. Share tax revenue. Split property tax rate for land and improvements.

89 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Financial Incentives Reward school districts that create joint school-community facilities. Link new and existing state housing funding to development of affordable housing. Create smart growth zones. Target transportation funding to rail and bus nodes.

90 CONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATION KEY ECONOMIC ISSUES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Regulatory Changes Create limited exemptions to CEQA for Smart Growth development projects. Pass construction defect liability legislation. Create and enforce a living wage standard.

91 Smart Growth Principles SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT

92 PRINCIPLES Economy Provide adequate housing for the region’s workforce. Achieve and maintain jobs/housing balance. Focus new development in downtowns to revive business districts. Create economic prosperity across the region. Provide access to support economic development.

93 PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Environment Protect agricultural and undeveloped lands. Preserve sensitive habitats to maintain carrying capacity for non-human life. Preserve air and water resources. Balance open space and development in urbanized areas. Provide greater access to open space, parks and greenbelts in urban areas.

94 PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Transportation Improve transit, pedestrian and bike facilities. Prioritize mass transit over auto-oriented transportation. Increase residential density near transit nodes. Extend public transit only to areas with existing or planned adequate densities. Encourage development along transit lines.

95 PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Housing Provide housing affordable to the Bay Area population. Provide housing appropriate to workforce and incomes. Create jobs near housing. Provide housing stability for existing residents.

96 PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Social Equity Provide housing affordable to the full range of income categories. Improve quality of life for existing residents. Create mixed-income communities. Prevent and mitigate displacement of residents and businesses. Match new jobs to skills of existing residents.

97 PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Development Patterns Design new developments that incorporate principles of density, diversity, access and pedestrian-scale. Focus development in existing developed areas. Promote mixed-use development to foster walkable communities. Implement urban infill as a smart growth strategy.

98 PRINCIPLES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT Regional Growth Concentrate growth in existing urbanized areas. Preserve greenfield sites. Balance jobs and housing in all areas.


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