Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

1 OPTIMA INCO-MPC Third Management Board Meeting, May 18/19 2008 Gumpoldskirchen DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "1 OPTIMA INCO-MPC Third Management Board Meeting, May 18/19 2008 Gumpoldskirchen DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 OPTIMA INCO-MPC Third Management Board Meeting, May 18/19 2008 Gumpoldskirchen DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at

2 2 Thursday, May 18 09:00-09:15Welcome & agenda ESS 09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO 10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS 11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS 12:00-14:00 Lunch break 09:00-09:15Welcome & agenda ESS 09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO 10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS 11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS 12:00-14:00 Lunch break

3 3 Thursday, May 18 12:00-14:00 Lunch break 14:00-14:45 Stakeholder WS, Jordan C.z 14:45-15:30 Stakeholder WS, Turkey SUMER 15:30-17:00 stakeholders, communication IRMCo 17:00-18:00 WP 16, dissemination IRMCo 12:00-14:00 Lunch break 14:00-14:45 Stakeholder WS, Jordan C.z 14:45-15:30 Stakeholder WS, Turkey SUMER 15:30-17:00 stakeholders, communication IRMCo 17:00-18:00 WP 16, dissemination IRMCo

4 4 Friday, May 19 09:00-09:45 case study: Dhiarizos ATLANTIS 09:45-10:30 case study: Gediz SUMER 10:30-11:15 case study: Zarqa UJO 11:15-12:00 case study: Litani ELARD 12:00-14:00 lunch break 09:00-09:45 case study: Dhiarizos ATLANTIS 09:45-10:30 case study: Gediz SUMER 10:30-11:15 case study: Zarqa UJO 11:15-12:00 case study: Litani ELARD 12:00-14:00 lunch break

5 5 Friday, May 19 12:00-14:00 lunch break 14:00-14:45 case study: Alexander/Wadi Z. IPCRI 14:45-15:30 case study: Melian CNTD 15:30-16:15 case study: Martil UH2M 16:15-16:30 second AR, CS2 16:30-17:00 WP15, comparative analysis ELARD 17:00-18:00 workplan, any other business 12:00-14:00 lunch break 14:00-14:45 case study: Alexander/Wadi Z. IPCRI 14:45-15:30 case study: Melian CNTD 15:30-16:15 case study: Martil UH2M 16:15-16:30 second AR, CS2 16:30-17:00 WP15, comparative analysis ELARD 17:00-18:00 workplan, any other business

6 6 MEETING OBJECTIVES 1.Review of Project Status and progress, active work packages: WP04, WP05, case studies 2.Discussion of stakeholder issues, dissemination, communication 3.Agree on next steps of technical work (economic assessment, optimization  model workshop ) 1.Review of Project Status and progress, active work packages: WP04, WP05, case studies 2.Discussion of stakeholder issues, dissemination, communication 3.Agree on next steps of technical work (economic assessment, optimization  model workshop )

7 7 OPTIMA OBJECTIVE Develop a common structured approach to water resources management in several parallel case studies: Common approach and method for Identifying issues Involve end users Describe the systems Model/optimize them Analyze/compare Develop a common structured approach to water resources management in several parallel case studies: Common approach and method for Identifying issues Involve end users Describe the systems Model/optimize them Analyze/compare

8 8 OPTIMA: Project Overview 3 year duration to JUNE 2007 Started: July 2004 Current PM: 24 of 36 or 2/3 (67%) over – case study results ? 3 year duration to JUNE 2007 Started: July 2004 Current PM: 24 of 36 or 2/3 (67%) over – case study results ?

9 9 OPTIMA: time table

10 10 OPTIMA: Work Plan Phases 1.Requirements and constraints, DSS processes (end users) 2.Data compilation, tool development 3.Parallel case studies, baseline scenarios, economic assessment, optimization scenarios, results 4.Comparative evaluation, dissemination (end users). 1.Requirements and constraints, DSS processes (end users) 2.Data compilation, tool development 3.Parallel case studies, baseline scenarios, economic assessment, optimization scenarios, results 4.Comparative evaluation, dissemination (end users).

11 11 OPTIMA: Milestones MilestoneMonth Milestone Description M1 06 End of preparatory phase, first workshop M2 12 Methods and tools prototypes ready, start of operational phase M3 18 Case studies implemented, first results of optimisation runs (baseline scenarios !) M4 24 Post-optimal analysis and assessment phase initiated M5 33 Case studies completed, second stage optimisation M6 36 Project and reporting completed

12 12 Work Plan (simple version) WP 01: done WP 02: done WP 03: done WP 04: largely done, no partner inputs yet ? WP 05: largely done WP 06: done, ongoing support WP 01: done WP 02: done WP 03: done WP 04: largely done, no partner inputs yet ? WP 05: largely done WP 06: done, ongoing support

13 13 Work Plan (simple version) WP 07 Cyprus + + - WP 08 Turkey + + + WP 09 Lebanon+ - - WP 10 Jordan + - - WP 11Palestine/Israel+ - - WP 12 Tunisia+ - - WP 13 Morocco+ - - WP 07 Cyprus + + - WP 08 Turkey + + + WP 09 Lebanon+ - - WP 10 Jordan + - - WP 11Palestine/Israel+ - - WP 12 Tunisia+ - - WP 13 Morocco+ - -

14 14 Baseline targets: WRM performance targets: –Complete and reasonable scenario –Total outflow +/- 25% observations –Daily flow at least for ONE station close to end node */ 2 –Basic economic assessment (basis for optimization and comparison ) STREAM performance targets: –DO/BOD within reasonable ranges – any WQ observation data ? –WQ related economics under development WRM performance targets: –Complete and reasonable scenario –Total outflow +/- 25% observations –Daily flow at least for ONE station close to end node */ 2 –Basic economic assessment (basis for optimization and comparison ) STREAM performance targets: –DO/BOD within reasonable ranges – any WQ observation data ? –WQ related economics under development

15 15 Gender issues: Activities ? Update report ? Future plans ? Activities ? Update report ? Future plans ?

16 16 Case studies: how to proceed By PM 18 (December 2005): Baselines ready for each case Basic economic assessment Basic water technologies ready to link, on-line data base Optimization framework agreed: –Criteria, objectives, constraints By PM 18 (December 2005): Baselines ready for each case Basic economic assessment Basic water technologies ready to link, on-line data base Optimization framework agreed: –Criteria, objectives, constraints

17 17 Case studies: how to proceed Optimization framework: Objectives, constraints: Instruments, water technologies: New questionnaires ? (used for SH workshop in Turkey) Optimization framework: Objectives, constraints: Instruments, water technologies: New questionnaires ? (used for SH workshop in Turkey)

18 18 Model use targets: WRM performance targets: Complete and reasonable scenarios includes groundwater links, realistic reservoir data Provide observation data for CONTROL NODES, add control nodes for all monitoring stations -> compliance, flood damages Basic economic assessment WRM performance targets: Complete and reasonable scenarios includes groundwater links, realistic reservoir data Provide observation data for CONTROL NODES, add control nodes for all monitoring stations -> compliance, flood damages Basic economic assessment

19 19 OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION: 1.Technologies are applied to NODES. 2.Each technology affects some model parameters (demand, efficiency/losses) for the different node types at a cost. 3.Benefits accrue from water supplied. 4.Optimization approach: Satisficing First round: Model selects the combinations of technologies that meets all constraints 1.Technologies are applied to NODES. 2.Each technology affects some model parameters (demand, efficiency/losses) for the different node types at a cost. 3.Benefits accrue from water supplied. 4.Optimization approach: Satisficing First round: Model selects the combinations of technologies that meets all constraints

20 20 OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION: CONSTRAINTS: Global constraints Node specific constraints Sectoral (not implemented) directly derived from model results CONSTRAINTS: Global constraints Node specific constraints Sectoral (not implemented) directly derived from model results

21 21 TECHNOLOGIES:TECHNOLOGIES: Are NOT restricted to technology in a narrow sense, can include policies and institutional change that do affect supply, allocation, demand, efficiency, quality FOR example: –Pricing/subsidies affects demand –Market (privatization) affects allocation –Enforcement (regulatory change) affects quality and efficiency Are NOT restricted to technology in a narrow sense, can include policies and institutional change that do affect supply, allocation, demand, efficiency, quality FOR example: –Pricing/subsidies affects demand –Market (privatization) affects allocation –Enforcement (regulatory change) affects quality and efficiency

22 22 Water Technologies Name, META DATA Description (unstructured, hypertext HTML, types) Application domain allocation, supply, structures, quality Investment (annualized): unit cost, reference unit for scaling Operation (annual): OMR unit cost, reference unit for scaling Effects multiplier for: Demand, consumptive use, distributions losses /MANUALS/WATERWARE/ watertechnologies.html Name, META DATA Description (unstructured, hypertext HTML, types) Application domain allocation, supply, structures, quality Investment (annualized): unit cost, reference unit for scaling Operation (annual): OMR unit cost, reference unit for scaling Effects multiplier for: Demand, consumptive use, distributions losses /MANUALS/WATERWARE/ watertechnologies.html

23 23 WP 14: post-optimal analysis WP leader: Corridoi.zero WP started: PM 13 (July 2005) Any Activities ? Minimally: define an operational framework, also for stakeholder involvement ! Compile CRITERIA that the model produces or that can be derived, compare with stated issues Analyze relationships, correlation structure Repeat with optimization results if and when available, analyze implicit weights and identify stakeholder preferences. WP leader: Corridoi.zero WP started: PM 13 (July 2005) Any Activities ? Minimally: define an operational framework, also for stakeholder involvement ! Compile CRITERIA that the model produces or that can be derived, compare with stated issues Analyze relationships, correlation structure Repeat with optimization results if and when available, analyze implicit weights and identify stakeholder preferences.

24 24 WP 15: comparative analysis WP leader: ELARD WP starts: PM 25 (July 2006) Activities: closely related to WP14 Compile the CRITERIA selected in WP14 from each baseline scenario, analyze ranges and relationships; Repeat with optimization scenarios if and when available. WP leader: ELARD WP starts: PM 25 (July 2006) Activities: closely related to WP14 Compile the CRITERIA selected in WP14 from each baseline scenario, analyze ranges and relationships; Repeat with optimization scenarios if and when available.

25 25 Thursday, May 18 09:00-09:15Welcome & agenda ESS 09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO 10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS 11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS 12:00-14:00 Lunch break 09:00-09:15Welcome & agenda ESS 09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO 10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS 11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS 12:00-14:00 Lunch break


Download ppt "1 OPTIMA INCO-MPC Third Management Board Meeting, May 18/19 2008 Gumpoldskirchen DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google