1. 1 Jordan Center for Social Research An Independent, Non-Profit Think Tank Amman - Jordan National Poll # 3 of Jordanian Public Opinion on: Democratic Transformation and Political Reform in Jordan Dr. Musa Shteiwi

2. 2 Contents Poll Objectives Poll Sample Poll Outcomes

3. 3 Poll Sample The sample consisted of 1000 persons (50% males and 50% females) who are 18 years or older. The sampling methodology used was a random cluster sample which included 100 sites all over the Kingdom. The margin of error is ±2.5%. The frame of the 2004 census was used (courtesy of the Jordanian Department of Statistics.) The field work for the poll was conducted between the 9t th and 14 th of May 2006 by Middle East Marketing and Research Consultants. The poll was conducted with the support of the International Republican Institute (IRI).

4. 4 Poll Objectives Poll Objectives JCSR and its partners produced their first and second national polls in September and December 2005. The main objective of this third poll is to examine Jordanian public opinion regarding issues related to the process of democratic transformation and political reform, including the following issues: The most important challenges facing Jordanian society; Public perceptions of justice and procedural fairness; Levels of trust in national institutions; Levels of support for various electoral models; Public support for various political tendencies; Public knowledge, membership, and support for various political parties.

5. 5 Summary of the Poll’s Most Important Findings

6. 6 IN GENERAL, ARE THINGS IN JORDAN GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR THE WRONG DIRECTION?

7. 7 TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY? (OPEN ENDED) May 2006

8. 8 TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY? (OPEN ENDED)/ DECEMBER 2005

9. 9 TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY? (OPEN ENDED)/ September 2005

10. 10 TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT POLITICAL PROBLEM/ISSUE FACING JORDAN TODAY (OPEN-ENDED) / May 2006

11. 11 TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT POLTICAL PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY? (OPEN ENDED)/ DECEMBER 2005

12. 12 TAKING ALL THINGS INTO CONSIDERATION, WHAT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT POLTICAL PROBLEM FACING JORDAN TODAY? (OPEN ENDED)/ SEPTMEBER 2005

13. 13 WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS DO YOU CONSIDER CLOSEST TO YOUR OPINION?

14. 14 THINGS BEING AS THEY ARE AT PRESENT, IN WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING SITUATIONS ONE HAS A GOOD CHANCE TO GET FAIR AND JUST TREATMENT? May 2006

15. 15 THINGS BEING AS THEY ARE AT PRESENT, IN WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING SITUATIONS HAS ONE A GOOD CHANCE TO GET FAIR AND JUST TREATMENT? DECEMBER 2005

16. 16 I WILL MENTION SEVERAL INSTITUTIONS/ORGANIZATIONS TO YOU. PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU FULLY TRUST THEM, SOMEWHAT TRUST THEM, OR DO NOT TRUST THEM AT ALL May, 2006

17. 17 THINK OF A SITUATION IN WHICH MANY PEOPLE ARE DISSATISFIED WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND WANT TO CHANGE IT. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU CONSIDER APPROPRIATE OR NOT APPROPRIATE?/ May, 2006

18. 18 THINK OF A SITUATION IN WHICH MANY PEOPLE ARE DISSATISFIED WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND WANT TO CHANGE IT. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU CONSIDER APPROPRIATE OR NOT APPROPRIATE?/ DECEMBER 2005

19. 19 THINK OF A SITUATION IN WHICH MANY PEOPLE ARE DISSATISFIED WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND WANT TO CHANGE IT. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU CONSIDER APPROPRIATE OR NOT APPROPRIATE?/ SEPTEMBER 2005

20. 20 TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU THINK THAT THE FREEDOM TO CRITICIZE THE GOVERNMENT DECISIONS AND POLICIES IS GUARANTEED IN JORDAN/ May, 2006

21. 21 TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU THINK THAT THE FREEDOM TO CRITICIZE THE GOVERNMENT’S DECISIONS AND POLICIES IS GUARANTEED IN JORDAN/ DECEMBER 2005

22. 22 TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU THINK THE FREEDOM OF Criticizing the government publicly IS GUARANTEED IN JORDAN/ SEPTEMBER 2005

23. 23 WHICH METHOD OF ELECTIONS DO YOU THINK IS MOST APPROPRIATE FOR JORDAN? May, 2006

24. 24 WHICH METHOD OF ELECTIONS DO YOU THINK IS MOST APPROPRIATE? DECEMBER 2005

25. 25 LET US SUPPOSE THAT THE MIXED ELECTION SYSTEM HAS BEEN SELECTED; DO YOU AGREE THAT THE VOTER SHOULD HAVE….? May, 2006

26. 26 LET US SUPPOSE THAT THE MIXED ELECTION SYSTEM HAS BEEN SELECTED; DO YOU AGREE THAT THE VOTER SHOULD HAVE….? DECEMBER 2005

27. 27 LET US SUPPOSE THAT VOTERS WERE GIVEN ONE VOTE ONLY, WHICH ONE WOULD YOU GIVE YOUR VOTE TO? May, 2006

28. 28 LET US SUPPOSE THAT VOTERS WERE GIVEN ONE VOTE ONLY, WHICH ONE WOULD YOU GIVE YOUR VOTE TO? DECEMBER 2005

29. 29 DO YOU SUPPORT THE DISSOLUTION OF THE CURRENT PARLIAMENT AND HOLDING EARLY PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS? May, 2006

30. 30 DO YOU SUPPORT THE DISSOLUTION OF THE CURRENT PARLIAMENT AND HOLDING EARLY PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS? DECEMBER 2005

31. 31 IF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH POLITICAL TENDENCY WOULD YOU MOST LIKELY TO VOTE FOR?/ May, 2006

32. 32 IF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH POLITICAL TENDENCY WOULD YOU MOST LIKELY VOTE FOR?/ DECEMBER 2005

33. 33 IF PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH POLITICAL TENDENCY WOULD YOU MOST LIKELY VOTE FOR September 2005

34. 34 A NEW MUNICIPAL LAW IS SUPPOSED TO BE ISSUED SOON. TO WHAT DEGREE DO YOU KNOW ABOUT IT

35. 35 THE NEW DRAFT LAW,PROPOSED A 20% QUOTA OF SEATS FOR WOMEN IN THE MUNICIPAL COUNCILS. DO YOU OR DO YOU NOT AGREE WITH THIS?

36. 36 IF MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS WERE TO BE HELD IN THE NEAR FUTURE, WILLYOU PARTICIPATE IN THE ELECTIONS OR NOT?

37. 37 HAVE YOU EVER BEEN A MEMBER OF ANY POLITICAL PARTY IN JORDAN?

38. 38 WHAT IS THE NAME OF THE LAST PARTY THAT YOU HAVE BEEN A MEMBER OF?

39. 39 ARE YOU STILL A MEMBER OF THAT PARTY?

40. 40 ARE YOU THINKING OF BECOMING A MEMBER OF ANY POLITICAL PARTY IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?

41. 41 WHAT IS THE NAME OF THE POLITICAL PARTY THAT YOU ARE THINKING TO BECOME A MEMBER OF?

42. 42 IN CASE, PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS WHERE HELD IN THE NEAR FUTURE, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR A CANDIDATE FROM ANY OF THE POLITICAL PARTIES IN JORDAN?

43. 43 TO WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE FOR?

44. 44 HAVE YOU EVER HEARD OR READ ANYTHING ABOUT THE FOLLOWING POLITICAL PARTIES?

45. 45 IN THE SITUATION WHERE THERE IS A NEW PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION IN JORDAN, WHAT IS THE LIKELIHOOD OF GIVING YOUR VOTE TO A CANDIDATE FROM THE FOLLOWING PARTY?

46. 46 THERE WAS A LOT OF DISCUSSION ABOUT A NEW POLITIAL PARTY LAW, TO WHAT DEGREE ARE YOU INFORMED ABOUT THE CONTENT OF THE LAW?

47. 47 DOES THE NEW LAW ENCOURAGE YOU TO ELONG TO ANY OF THE POLITICAL PARTIES IN JORDAN?

48. 48 DID YOU HEAR OR READ ANYTHING ABOUT THE NATIONAL AGENDA?

49. 49 TO WHAT DEGREE ARE YOU IFNORMEDABOUT THE SUGGESTIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE NATIONAL AGENDA?

50. 50 HAVE YOU VISITED THE WEBSITE OF THE NATIONAL AGENDA ON THE INTERNET?