1. Southern nursing workforce summit. 2 nd July 2015

2. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk South West Wessex Thames Valley Kent, Surrey and Sussex Southern view

3. Adult Nursing Workforce in South West

5. HESW Adult Nurse Staff in Post March 2015 Heads: 16,225 WTE: 13,922

7. SW Forecasts v’s Actuals

8. Adult Nursing Commissions

9. South West Population Expansion

10. 10

11. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Overview of the Adult Nursing Workforce in Wessex

12. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Current Workforce Profile

13. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Age Profile NHS

14. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Age Profile Community Trusts

15. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Age Profile Acute Trusts

16. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Retirement Risk The average age of retirement for nurses in Wessex is 59 »16% of nurses in community trusts will reach 59 in the next 5 years »9% of nurses in community trusts will reach 59 in the next 5 years However Not everyone retires at 59, there are almost 360 FTE Adult Nurses aged 60 and over who are still in the Wessex NHS workforce

17. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Age Profile - Social Care

18. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Age Profile Practice Nurses

19. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Part-Time Working By Age

20. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Historical Trends in Adult Nurse Workforce (Wessex)

21. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk New Entrants to NHS Workforce

22. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Historical Commissions

23. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Filled Commissions as a % of Nurses in Post

24. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Future Demand and Supply Scenarios

25. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Future Demand and Supply Scenarios

26. www.wessex.hee.nhs.uk Impact of Increasing Commissions If we were able to grow placement capacity and increase commissions to a total of 750 py it would cost approximately £ 685,000

27. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk Adult Nursing Workforce in Thames Valley

28. www.hee.nhs.uk Total number of staff (FTE) in Thames Valley Trusts Non Medical = 32,460 Medical = 4,110 Healthcare Scientists = 1,520 Total = 38,090 Adult Nurses (FTE) in Thames Valley Trusts Acute, Elderly & General = 6,850 Community Services = 730 Total = 7,580

29. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk Thames Valley Demand Forecast 2015 – 2020, Adult Nurses Current Vacancy Rate = 16% Establishment increase 2015 – 2020 = 0.2%

30. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk Thames Valley Adult Nurses, Age Profile, March 2015

31. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk Adult Nurses, Part-Time Working by Age Band

32. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk Adult Nursing Trends, 2010 - 2015

33. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk Future Workforce Supply

34. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk What does the Thames valley need to do? Attract. Increased nursing commissions and reduce attrition. Recruit. Continued support and increased numbers of nurses returning to practice and then employed within the Thames Valley Retain. Retention of nurses in Thames Valley with reduction of turnover. Migration is a particular problem for us approx. 30-40% Expanding excellence: focus on community. Community Nursing Education Strategy?

35. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk The future workforce So what kind of workforce will be required if we are to respond to the drivers of change and meet the predicted need of future patients?

36. www.hee.nhs.uk www.thamesvalley.hee.nhs.uk “We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. Don’t let yourself be pulled into inaction.” Bill Gates We must be bold and brave…