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Overview of Population and Enrollment Forecasts Robert Edgecombe GCR Inc.

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Presentation on theme: "Overview of Population and Enrollment Forecasts Robert Edgecombe GCR Inc."— Presentation transcript:

1 Overview of Population and Enrollment Forecasts Robert Edgecombe GCR Inc. redgecombe@gcrconsulting.com

2 Citywide Population New Orleans added nearly 30,000 residents between 2010 and 2012 Top 1% of counties nationwide in terms of growth rate, comparable to Loudon (VA), Williamson (TX), and Fort Bend (TX)

3 Projected Population

4 Population growth has trended toward high end of GCR projections Updates reflect most recent trends Projected Population

5 Significant decrease in public school enrollment (15%) prior to Katrina Increase in public school enrollment (14%) has outpaced overall population growth (9%) since 2010 Public School Enrollment

6 Projected Enrollment

7 Enrollment has trended toward high end of GCR projections Updates reflect most recent trends Projected Enrollment

8 Methodological Notes Population –For most neighborhoods, we use indications of residential occupancy to assess change –Independent research on major facilities (public housing complexes, prison, major apartment buildings, etc.) Enrollment –Indexed to population –Scenarios are composite results of assumptions about population and “market share”

9 GCR NOLA Schools Website Includes the following information for neighborhoods, catchment areas, and areas around active school campuses –Population Estimates and Forecasts –Student Enrollment –Student Population –Building/Master Plan Information gis.gcr1.com/nolaschools


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