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Recap of Recent CSLI Survey Findings from Fall 2008 Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public.

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Presentation on theme: "Recap of Recent CSLI Survey Findings from Fall 2008 Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public."— Presentation transcript:

1 Recap of Recent CSLI Survey Findings from Fall 2008 Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Part of the Sarbanes Center for Public and Community Service Anne Arundel Community College Jan. 15, 2009

2 Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Most Important Problem

3 Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Perceptions of Local Economic Conditions

4 Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Applicability of Specific Conditions CSLI Spring vs. Fall 2008 Survey

5 Economic Anxiety – Multiple Indicators Confidence in Fed’s Handling of Crisis

6 Non Economic Local Issues: Right vs. Wrong Direction

7 SupportOpposeUnsure No answer Total A $500 ambulance fee to help pay for county services? 266761100 Creating or increasing fees to sports leagues that use public parks to cover the maintenance of those parks? 504541100 Increasing impact fees on new construction in our county? 633151100 Increasing the tax on hotel stays from 7 percent to 10 percent 33596199 Efforts by police to identify illegal immigrants and refer them to federal immigration services? 702541100 Environmental measures meant to restrict development in critical areas? 84113199 Decreasing the drinking age to 18296821100 Other Local Issues…

8 State Issues – Wind Turbines “Do you think that the STATE government should make it easier to install wind turbines to generate energy, even in scenic places like across the river from Annapolis where the old radio antennas are located or in state parks in Western Maryland?”

9 State Issues - Legalize Slots 2008 – by County slots by County 68% 59% 50% Maryland/AA County (same) For 59% Against 41% CSLI Fall Poll: For 52%, Against 43%

10 National Issues: President Bush’s Job Approval in Anne Arundel County vs. USA

11 Semi-annual Surveys: Sample of Findings Political Horse Race: Estimating Election Results

12 Harris by County 0.58 0.44 0.30 Pushpins Election Recap 2008 Harris Vote by County

13 Kratovil vs. Obama Vote by County 1st CongressionalKratovilHarrisLibertarianObamaMcCainKratovil+ Anne Arundel46.3%51.2%2.5%48.2%50.0% -2.9% Baltimore County40.7%56.9%2.4%56.8%43.2% -16.1% Caroline51.8%45.1%3.1%37.9%62.1% 13.8% Cecil49.4%47.5%3.1%42.4%57.6% 7.0% Dorchester56.4%40.7%2.9%45.5%54.5% 10.9% Harford40.5%56.7%2.8%40.2%59.8% 0.3% Kent65.5%32.7%1.8%50.0% 15.5% Queen Anne’s54.0%44.2%1.8%36.1%63.9% 17.9% Somerset59.0%39.2%1.8%48.6%51.4% 10.4% Talbot55.0%43.1%1.9%44.6%55.4% 10.4% Wicomico56.0%42.0%2.0%46.8%53.2% 9.2% Worcester53.2%44.8%2.0%42.1%57.9% 11.1% Total49.1%48.5%2.4%45.0%55.0% 4.1%

14 Electoral Trends – AA County

15 Electoral Trends: Republican Advantage over Democrats in Presidential Races (AA County only)

16 Party Registration/Votes – AA County


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