1. Zimbabwe A Study of HIV/AIDS Trends, Behaviors and Policy

2. Topic Choice: Why?  One of the highest infections rates in the world  Illustrated several other topics studied in the course, like governance, growth, debt, education, poverty, and urban/rural sectors.

3. Maps of Zimbabwe

4. Four Eras of Recent History  1980s: Economic Growth, First Infections  1990s: Bubble Bursts, Infections Rate Spikes  2000-2008: Land Reform, Civil War and Hyperinflation  2008-2012: Tentative Recovery

5. Independence

6. Model of Growth 19791990 Children in School 831,0002,200,000 GNI per Capita (ppp) $740$1,040 Child Mortality Under Five (per thousand) 106.677.6 Life Expectancy 5860.5 Aid delivered33 million509 million Source: World Bank

7. 1990s

8. Factors for Spread  Physical  Low circumcision levels  Existence of other STDs  Behavioral  Multiple Partners  Low condom usage/misconceptions about use  Demographic  Low socio-economic status of women  Migration/mobility patterns

9. Devastating Results  1,000,000 deaths from 1990-2004  Life expectancy drops to 40  1,000,000 orphans  Shocks micro economically and macro economically

10. Debt

11. 2000s-Further Decline  Land Reform  Civil War in DRC  Hyperinflation

13. GDP

14. HIV AIDS during this period  As of 2010, infection rate is 14.3%  How?  40% reduction in respondents with multiple partners  83% use of condoms rate in men

15. What caused the decline?  Policy? (dispersion still inconsistent)  Poverty (counter-intuitive but possible)  Personal Loss (most likely)

16. Policy Prescriptions Domestic Get Mugabe Out! Develop mining resources, but keep control Work on cross border solutions with infections and antiretroviral International Continue support, no matter election outcome Help provide antiretroviral Conciliatory towards debt demands

17. Thank You!