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Give Us This Day our Daily Breadth Greg J. Duncan Department of Education University of California, Irvine.

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Presentation on theme: "Give Us This Day our Daily Breadth Greg J. Duncan Department of Education University of California, Irvine."— Presentation transcript:

1 Give Us This Day our Daily Breadth Greg J. Duncan Department of Education University of California, Irvine

2 Learning from the masters: Tom Juster Jim Morgan

3 Jeanne Brooks-Gunn

4 “The economist who is only an economist is likely to become a nuisance if not a positive danger.” - Frederick von Hayek

5 Kagel et al., 1975 Rat demand curve for root beer

6 I say: “noncognitive skill” You feel:

7 To create is to recombine - Francois Jacob

8 Parallel play Associative play Cooperativeplay

9 A Mediated Model of Family Poverty Child Poverty Purchased inputs Cognitive stimulation in the home Type and quality of child care Quality of schools and neighborhood Family processes Maternal mental health Parenting Child/ Adolescent outcomes Attainment Socioemotional behavior Executive function Income pathway Maternal stress pathway

10 Increase in completed schooling associated with a $3,000 annual increase in income Duncan, Brooks-Gunn, Yeung and Smith, 1998

11 Increase in age 25-37 earnings associated with a $3,000 annual increase in income Duncan, Ziol-Guest & Kalil, 2010

12 Increase in age 25-37 earnings associated with a $3,000 annual increase in income Duncan, Ziol-Guest & Kalil, 2010

13 Adult earnings (+)p<.05 Regression-adjusted associations with early family income Adult obesity (-)p<.05 Adult hypertension (-)p<.05 Adult arthritis (-)p<.05 Adult work hours (+)p<.01 Arrestsns Non-marital birthns Duncan, Ziol-Guest & Kalil, 2010

14 A Mediated Model of Family Poverty Childhood Poverty Purchased inputs Parenting Child/ Adolescent outcomes Attainment Socioemotional behavior Executive function

15 A Mediated Model of Family Poverty Childhood Poverty Purchased inputs Parenting Child/ Adolescent outcomes Attainment Socioemotional behavior Executive function Early poverty Early brain development Adult outcomes Ability to sustain full time careers Health Stress and immune function Early fetal/child stress

16 The Child Microsystem Mesosystem Exosystem Macrosystem Bronfenbrenner, 1979 Family Peers Community Mass media Political system Culture Economy Policy

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18 High and low family incomes, 1947-2008

19 Achievement gaps by race and income, by birth year Income gap based on various national surveys

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21 EITC payments for family with 2+ children Earned income 1993 1996

22 Effects of EITC expansion on children’s test scores and mothers’ health Dahl and Lochner, 2009; Evans and Garthwaite, 2009 ChildrenMothers CRP ≥ 0.3 mg/Dl # bad mental health days

23 Unbiased estimation Unbiased causal estimation Measurement quality Statistical technique de jour

24 The case for breadth

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26 Ideas having sex with other ideas… The history of the modern world is a history of ideas meeting, mixing, mating and mutating Matt Ridley, 2010 The Rational Optimist

27 2012 Theme meetings in Tampa Bay February 9-11, 2012 Developmental methodology Positive development October 18-20, 2012 Emerging adulthood

28 To create is to recombine - Francois Jacob


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