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1 New Tools for Stock Analysis & Portfolio Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral Inc. Investor's Toolkit 5.

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Presentation on theme: "1 New Tools for Stock Analysis & Portfolio Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral Inc. Investor's Toolkit 5."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 New Tools for Stock Analysis & Portfolio Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral Inc. Investor's Toolkit 5

2 2 What's New in Investor's Toolkit 5? ● Intelligent home page ● New OPS-integrated toolbar ● Insightful portfolio management tools ● Option to graph of SSG values to scale ● Full 5-year projections (not just to 5 th fiscal year) ● And much more!

3 3 The Home Page ● Appears when you start up ● Items in red require attention ● Portfolio Report Card gives you status of holdings

4 4 Update Prices Remove button removes single stock from update process

5 5 Update Company Data ● Import new data from OPS for all holdings ● To update one stock, select it and click Update Selected Company ● Click Update All to update all stocks

6 6 Portfolio Report Card ● Portfolios highlighted in red require attention ● Double-click to begin working with a portfolio

7 7 Portfolio Overview

8 8 Portfolio Alerts

9 9 Defense ● “Rule of 5” -- 1 out of 5 stocks will underperform your expectations ● Occasionally due to unpredictable circumstances ● More often due to fundamental problems ● Defense is protecting portfolio from damage from that 1 in 5 stock with fundamental problems

10 10 Offense ● Offense is proactively improving performance of your portfolio by replacing fine but overpriced companies ● Relates strictly to stock's price ● Overvalued stocks can no longer produce desirable return in future

11 11 Defensive Alerts

12 12 Defensive Actions 1) Compare – % change for Sales, PTP, and EPS – More analysis if growth doesn't meet expectations 2) Analyze – Examine history to refine list of sale candidates – Determine if marked trends exist 3) Decide – Use web to determine reasons for failure – Sell stocks ASAP with low prospects for strong, steady growth

13 13 Using PERT ● PERT-A allows you to see subtle downtrends not always visible on quarter to-quarter basis ● Over time, however, these might aggregate into substantial decay in performance ● Gives you insight into past behavior of company

14 14 PERT-A Worksheet

15 15 PERT-A Graphs

16 16 Offensive Alerts

17 17 Offensive Action 1) Check Risk and Reward – Select companies whose RV, U/D Ratio, and TR indicate they are overpriced 2) Reevaluate – Review SSG for each, making sure that EPS growth and forecast high PEs are reasonable 3) Challenge – Replace companies with unsatisfactory return & risk with companies of equal/better quality & better potential returns

18 18 Challenge Overpriced Stocks Set Challenge Parameters

19 19 Select Challenger

20 20 Challenge Results

21 21 Working with SSGs & Data ● New Toolbar gives you instant access to online SSG data – Enter Ticker or Company name to download SSG data from OPS – Automatically downloads nearly all information necessary for SSG and PERT

22 22 Using the Library Library contains all past saved SSGs ● Click column header to re-sort ● Or view by portfolio ● Double-click a stock to open it ● Add/Remove shares to portfolios

23 23

24 24 Visual Analysis Options for scaling graph, starting projection line & entering growth rates

25 25 Historical Growth Rates Click “View Hist. Growth” to display Growth rates displayed for various periods

26 26 Company Toolbar ● Quickly change to new form ● Zoom in or out, print, save, refresh data & price and more

27 27 SSG Page 2 Yellow, pink & green highlighting shows you items to review

28 28 Pre-Tax Profit Margin Graph Allows you to visually identify trends in PTP.

29 29 High and Low P/E Ratio Graph Review past P/E Ratios to identify trends that may continue in the future

30 30 Average Hi/Lo P/E Judgment Review past high and low P/E Ratios Eliminate outliers if necessary 3 options to choose from... Or enter your own future estimates

31 31 Select Low Price Select a potential low stock price or enter your own

32 32 Price Zones and U/D Ratio Buy, sell or hold? Forecasted high price Current price Selected low price

33 33 Many More Features ● Toolkit 5 also includes: – Stock Comparison Guide – Portfolio/PERT Reports, including: ● PERT ● Portfolio Trend Report ● Portfolio Summary ● Portfolio Defense Report ● Portfolio Offense Report

34 34 Recommended by USAToday.com Try Investor's Toolkit 5 for yourself, and find out why USAToday.com called the program: “a great tool to help investors stop themselves from potentially paying too much for a stock.”

35 35 Any Questions?

36 36 Investor's Toolkit 5 ● For more information & free demo: http://www.iclub.com/tk5/ ● To purchase: http://www.iclub.com/tk5/buy/ ● For support: http://www.iclub.com/support/


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