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San Diego Regional Economic Prosperity Strategy Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s.

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Presentation on theme: "San Diego Regional Economic Prosperity Strategy Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s."— Presentation transcript:

1 San Diego Regional Economic Prosperity Strategy Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s

2 2 Prosperity Strategy Identifies Three Major Challenges  Quality of job growth  Widening wage gap  High cost of living

3 3 Economy Has Created 8 Times More Low than High Paying Jobs Unbalanced Job Growth Affects Distribution of Wages 1990-2004 Growth Compensation Category / Median Wage ($2004) Compensation Category / Median Wage ($2004) Average Salary Increase Average Salary Increase($2004) Real Salary Growth Real Salary Growth’90-’04 Job Growth Job Growth Highest Paying Jobs (Top 1/3) / $79,800$19,97733.4%20,280 Mid Level Paying Jobs (Middle 1/3) / $51,000$8,20819.2%57,310 Low Level Paying Jobs (Lowest 1/3) / $24,500$2,0008.9%158,400

4 4 We Are Falling Behind the State and Nation Growth in Real Per Capita Income Not Keeping Pace 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 19701972197419761978 1980 1982198419861988199019921994 19961998 20002002 United States California San Diego

5 5 Which Jobs Influence Economic Growth Most?  Export Oriented  Unconstrained Market Potential

6 6 16 Traded Employment Clusters Drive Our Economy  Biomedical Products  Biotechnology  Communications  Computer Electronics  Defense & Transportation  Design Services  Entertainment  Environmental Technology  Financial Services  Fruits & Vegetables  Horticulture  Publishing Services  Recreational Goods  Software  Specialty Foods  Travel and Hospitality

7 7 Proportion of Jobs in Each “Driving” Employment Cluster-2005 (Traded Clusters Set the Pace of Economic Growth) Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals 7% Defense 6% Computer & Electronics 5% Other Clusters 19% Other Jobs Communications 8% Financial Services 11% Travel & Hospitality 11% Entertainment & Amusement 33% Clusters Traded Employment 26%

8 8 Low Paying “Driving” Cluster Industries (Clusters with Average Wage Less than Region’s, $2004)

9 9 High Paying “Driving” Cluster Industries (Clusters with Average Wage Greater than Region’s, $2004)

10 Estimating Economic Impacts of Border Wait Times in the San Diego-Baja California Region January 2008

11 11 Binational Trade & Freight Facts 9% of U.S.- Mexico trade value crosses at Otay Mesa and Tecate. #1 Mexico is the United States’ third largest trading partner. #3

12 12 Binational Trade & Freight Facts Mexico is California’s number one export market. #2 #1 #3 The Otay Mesa Port of Entry (POE) is the third ranking POE in trade dollar value between the U.S. and Mexico. Otay Mesa POE

13 13 Value of Trade Passing Through SD POE’s Rising Faster than GRP Northbound Truck Crossings Otay Mesa & Tecate POEs Number of Trucks (thousands) Two-Way Trade (in $millions)

14 14 San Ysidro San Diego-Baja California POEs: Current Conditions

15 15 Cross-Border Personal Travel Impact CategoryTotal Annual Impact (2007) Output (millions of U.S. dollars) Labor Income (millions of U.S. dollars) Employment (FTE jobs) -$2,989-$1,256-40,450 Combined Regional Economic Impacts (San Diego County & Baja California)

16 16 Otay Mesa Commercial POE Current Conditions

17 17 Economic Impacts due to Cross- Border Freight Delay Impact Category 2007 Total Annual Impact (U.S. $ in millions) California United States San Diego County Output Labor Income Employment (FTE jobs) -$ 539 -$ 155 -2,912 -$ 847 -$ 241 -4,323 -$ 1,487 -$ 415 -9048 Mexico Baja California -$ 1,560 -$ 178 -8,207 -$ 2,451 -$ 280 -12,897

18 18 Lost Economic Benefits San Diego-Baja California Personal Travel and Freight Movements (2007) 51,570 Lost Jobs = 8.5 Qualcomm Companies 3 3 1/2 San Diego Convention Centers $5.1 Billion in Lost Output =

19 19 Projected Employment Impact of Border Delay Personal Travel and Freight Movements (2007) San Diego County & Baja California United States & Mexico 20072014 0 -40,000 -80,000 -120,000 Employment Loss -51,570 -62,357 -104,146 -123,682

20 2030 Regional Transportation Plan: Pathways for the Future

21 21 A million new residents by 2030 A half million new jobs

22 22 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time 0 40 80 120 100 20 60 Auto Current Without Investment 64 51 90 77 56 Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes) With Investment

23 23 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time 0 40 80 120 100 20 60 Current Without Investment 55 113 108 110 Transit With Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes) 44 103 49

24 24 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time 0 40 80 120 100 20 60 Carpool Current 51 With Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes) Without Investment 29 30 85 70

25 25 Chula Vista to Sorrento Valley Travel Time 0 40 80 120 100 20 60 Current Without Investment 95 52 55 495479 69 With Investment Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes) All Modes (weighted average)

26 26 With Investment 55 49 54 Additional Travel Time Improvements are Possible 0 40 80 120 100 20 60 All Modes (weighted average) Current Without Investment 95 52 69 Average Travel Time, Door-to-Door (In Minutes)

27 Environmental Mitigation Program 27 May 2005

28 28 Regional Habitat Preserve Planning Area with Mobility Network Environmental Mitigation Program 28

29 29 40 Year Expenditure Plan 29 Extension MajorHighway & TransitProjects(47) $4.65 LocalStreets & Roads $3.95 Transit Services $2.24 ( ( I I n n B B ill io n n s s,, 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 D D o o l l l l a a r r s s ) ) N N e e w w B B R R T T / / R R a a i i l l O O p p e e r r a a t t n n s s $ $ 1 1.. 1 1 A A d d m m i i n n i i s s t t r r a a t t n n $ $ 0 0.. 1 1 4 4 B B i i k k e & P P e e d d e e s s t t r r i i a a n n $ $ 0 0.. 2 2 8 8 Total Program $14 Billion

30 30 Environmental Mitigation Program Costs 30 Extension Total Program $850 Million Plus up to $30m in financing costs For advanced habitat acquisition ( ( In M M ill i i o o n n s s,, 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 D D o o l l l l a a r r s s ) ) T T r r a a n n s s p p o o r r t t a a t t i i o o n n P P r r o o j j e e c c t t M M i i t t i i g g a a t t i i o o n n F F u u n n d d $ $ 6 6 5 5 0m Major Highway & TransitProject Mitigation $450 $150 $50 Local Transportation Project Mitigation $200 R R e e g g i i o o n n a a l l H H a a b b i i t t a a t t C C o o n n s s e e r r v v a a t t i i o o n n F F u u n n d d $ $ 2 2 0 0 0m

31 31 “Economic Benefit” based on:  Purchasing mitigation land in advance of need in larger blocks at a lower cost  Preventing Mitigation Ratio “Creep” Environmental Mitigation Program 31

32 32 Conservation Benefits:  Large-scale acquisition, restoration and management of critical habitat areas  Make good on conservation programs promises  Develop biological database make available to public Environmental Mitigation Program 32

33 33 Transportation Benefits:  Approach provides mitigation assurances for future transportation improvements  Reduces future mitigation costs and allows for accelerated project delivery  Transportation project mitigation consistent with habitat conservation plans Environmental Mitigation Program 33

34 San Diego Regional Economic Prosperity Strategy Transportation: Helping Address the Three E’s


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