1. Changing Demographics: Implications for the Housing Market Housing Finance Council Call Laurie Goodman Urban Institute July 1, 2015

2. Overview Household growth continues, mainly fueled by Hispanics and other non- whites  2010-20: 11.6 million net household growth; 2020-30: 10.4 million net growth  Hispanics make up 39% of growth in this decade, 46% in next Rental housing growth will outpace ownership housing growth  Renters grow by over 700K/year 2010s, 580K/year 2020s  Continued net growth of homeowners @ 450K/year both decades Homeownership slipping; African Americans hardest-hit  By 2030, overall homeownership falls to 61.3%  African Americans slip from 44.5% to 40% (lowest since before 1970)  Other minorities more stable as young immigrants age and integrate Huge growth in senior households  We’re adding 1 million senior households yearly  Senior renters will double, increasing pressure on affordable housing 2 Source: Laurie Goodman, Rolf Pendall and Jun Zhu. “Headship and Homeownership: What Does the Future Hold?”, Urban Institute, June 8, 2015.Headship and Homeownership: What Does the Future Hold?

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4. Annual household growth, millions 4 Source: U.S. Census 1990-2010, Urban Institute projections (p). Rental housing demand high from 2010 to 2030

5. 5 Homeownership Rates by Race/Ethnicity Race/ethnicity19902000201020202030 White70.172.472.270.869.7 Black45.246.344.341.140.0 Hispanic43.345.747.346.948.2 Other53.753.056.355.956.9 Total65.366.265.162.761.3

6. 6 Household Growth by Age Group millions