1. System Dynamics Group Using Simulation-Based Learning Environments to Build Capacity for Managing Complexity Presented by: Babak Bahaddin SUNY University at Albany April 2015

2. System Dynamics Group 1.SBLEs CoastalProtectSim Model ReThink Model The Context

3. System Dynamics Group A simulation-based learning environment is a package of materials and scaffolded exercises designed around a simulation model that can be used by learners with limited external facilitation. This is what we are talking about. This SBLE

4. System Dynamics Group Last Colloquium I talked about SBLEs

5. System Dynamics Group 2) What we’ve done and what we’ll do Classroom activity (published) Workshop design for managers (the future) 3) NSF call Our team has sent a proposal for the CyberSEES program 4) Our proposal has three objectives: Helping the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) through the workshops Evaluating the participant’s progress, in terms of managing complexities Identifying a reusable framework for embedding domain knowledge with simulation techs. The Coastal Protection Problem

6. System Dynamics Group Aims to advance interdisciplinary research in which the science and engineering of sustainability are enabled by new advances in computing, and in which computational innovation is grounded in the context of sustainability problems. One component of the National Science Foundation's Science, Engineering, and Education for Sustainability (SEES) activities Full Proposal Deadline: February 24, 2015 Cyber-Innovation for Sustainability Science and Engineering (CyberSEES)

7. System Dynamics Group USACE has agreed to facilitate meetings with three coastal communities where we can test our SBLE and workshop model Avalon: one of the vulnerable places along the NJ coastline. Corps has good relationship with Avalon’s mayor/local emergency response chief. Workshop model: 1 day: simulator, causal mapping, problem elicitation, BOTs, basic structure elicitation Workshop in Avalon, NJ

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9. Coastal Protect Sim Model Overview (Pointe Claire Case) Michael Deegan U.S. Army Corps of Engineers September 30, 2014 9

10. System Dynamics Group Coastal Protect: 10

11. System Dynamics Group Where is Pointe Claire? The case is set in the Pointe Claire region on the Gulf Coast of the United States where community leaders are poised to engage the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers in a long range planning effort.

12. System Dynamics Group Control Panel: Policies, Scenarios, and Outputs 12

13. System Dynamics Group Problem Statement: Revenues and Expenditures If we continue the path set forth by our current policies, development in this community will be unsustainable. 13

14. System Dynamics Group Policies you can change Build Coastal Protection Mitigation Projects Enforce Stricter Building Codes Buyout properties in the floodplain Restrict zoning on future development Renourish beaches to maintain natural barriers 14

15. System Dynamics Group Evaluation? Why do we need to evaluate our work? Jay Forrester: Learning and creation of new knowledge about complex systems is one of the main goals of system dynamics

16. System Dynamics Group Some slides from reza

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19. Semi-structured interviews to measure the prior knowledge of participating experts on topics such as causal impact of policy option Different fields A baseline in critical areas Pre-test

20. System Dynamics Group Questionnaires Response efficacy Self-efficacy Response cost Pre-test

21. System Dynamics Group Scaffolded exercise (graphs over time) Written products (causal relationship, tradeoffs, risk perception) SBLE: testing their hypothesis Treatment

22. System Dynamics Group Interview (learning, satisfaction, change in perception Measures are self-reports Qualitative and objective analysis on baseline Post-test

23. System Dynamics Group NASPAA’s 2015 Student Simulation Competition, held February 28, 2015, was a resounding success! 181 students from 93 schools participated at 5 regional sites. Employed the ReThink Model.ReThink Model NASPAA Student Competition

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25. System Modelers: Jack Homer, Gary Hirsch, Bobby Milstein, Laura Landy, Elliot Fisher, John Sterman, Christina Ingersoll, Leigh Scherrer Science Advisors: Elliot Fisher (chair) and ~10 others Financial Sponsors: This work was sponsored by investments from the Fannie E. Rippel Foundation and California HealthCare Foundation, along with a variety of organizational allies and scores of collaborators across the country.Fannie E. Rippel FoundationCalifornia HealthCare Foundation Developers of the ReThink Health Model

26. System Dynamics Group Prior to the event Each student should have chosen 7 policies within the given series of policies in public health Reading instructions about logistics, interface and material Individual Self-Test

27. System Dynamics Group Prior to the event Choosing a name for their team Gathering the needed material Group Self-Test

28. System Dynamics Group In their group, they will design a package of health policy and finance options. Describing the rationale Impact on each of the five criteria Pitfalls Task 1

29. System Dynamics Group Using simulator Testing their first assumptions Trying to improve their policy package Describing the learning process How the elements worked synergistically Pitfalls Task 2

30. System Dynamics Group Stakeholder analysis Assigning stakeholder roles Criticizing task two solution Modifying task two solution to meet stakeholder needs Task 3

31. System Dynamics Group Give a 15 minute presentation of their final solution to their peers and a judge Answering their questions Task 4